← Tandridge (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Tandridge 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races
16 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
31.3% of seats below quota
1 unfairly awarded seats
6.3% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party8,25636.3%743.8%637.5%+1
Liberal Democrats5,64524.8%425.0%425.0%0
Independent3,91617.2%318.8%318.8%0
RES2,82712.4%212.5%212.5%0
Labour Party1,9428.5%00.0%16.3%-1
Green Party1050.5%00.0%00.0%0
ND590.3%00.0%00.0%0
Total22,750100.0%16100.0%16100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Westway · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,220

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1O'Driscoll T.D.S.Conservative Party49140.2%−9.8 ptsElected
2Rujbally H.M.Liberal Democrats47639.0%
3Clements R.B.Labour Party18615.2%
4Windsor H.M.Independent675.5%

Electorate 3,510 · EC ward code E05007406 · Back to ward index

Harestone · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,439

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cooper M.J.W.Conservative Party58140.4%−9.6 ptsElected
2Evans A.Liberal Democrats55738.7%
3Heaton C.E.Independent18713.0%
4Mills A.C.Labour Party1147.9%

Electorate 3,263 · EC ward code E05007395 · Back to ward index

Burstow Horne and Outwood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,697

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gillman M.Independent69140.7%−9.3 ptsElected
2Fitzgerald H.J.Conservative Party66739.3%
3Wilkinson J.Liberal Democrats1277.5%
4Moss A.J.Labour Party1076.3%
5Baart J.J.C.Green Party1056.2%

Electorate 4,872 · EC ward code E05007410 · Back to ward index

Bletchingley and Nutfield · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,882

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hammond L.G.F.Conservative Party81543.3%−6.7 ptsElected
2Pinard C.Independent60632.2%
3Fowler R.B.Liberal Democrats30316.1%
4Baharier L.R.Labour Party1588.4%

Electorate 4,519 · EC ward code E05007409 · Back to ward index

Whyteleafe · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,093

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lee D.J.Liberal Democrats52247.8%−2.2 ptsElected
2Bradbury S.Conservative Party41838.2%
3Kamara F.Labour Party15314.0%

Electorate 3,281 · EC ward code E05007407 · Back to ward index

Oxted South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,078

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Shiner D.RES1,04850.4%+0.4 ptsElected
2Parker L.Conservative Party70934.1%
3Kerr S.J.Labour Party24311.7%
4Caxton M.Liberal Democrats783.8%

Electorate 4,854 · EC ward code E05007399 · Back to ward index

Portley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,245

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Botten C.Liberal Democrats68254.8%+4.8 ptsElected
2Grasso M.R.Conservative Party45836.8%
3Giddings I.Labour Party1058.4%

Electorate 3,438 · EC ward code E05007400 · Back to ward index

Warlingham East and Chelsham and Farleigh · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,780

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pursehouse J.Independent1,05759.4%+9.4 ptsElected
2Adams N.Conservative Party46726.2%
3Wilson M.E.Labour Party1307.3%
4Haley M.A.Independent1267.1%

Electorate 4,408 · EC ward code E05007404 · Back to ward index

Warlingham West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,197

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Prew K.Conservative Party72660.7%+10.7 ptsElected
2Cooper N.S.Liberal Democrats40533.8%
3Manning D.J.Labour Party665.5%

Electorate 2,860 · EC ward code E05007405 · Back to ward index

Godstone · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,795

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Crane M.Independent1,10461.5%+11.5 ptsElected
2Blake-Thomas E.R.Conservative Party45125.1%
3Wantling B.A.Labour Party1206.7%
4Redman M.L.Liberal Democrats1206.7%

Electorate 4,570 · EC ward code E05007394 · Back to ward index

Queens Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 50.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,115

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Groves M.P.Conservative Party57525.8%51.6%+18.2 ptsElected
2Duck G.Conservative Party56125.2%50.3%+17.0 ptsElected
3Robinson V.Liberal Democrats49622.2%44.5%
4Rujbally J.Liberal Democrats37616.9%33.7%
5Stewart R.I.K.Labour Party1265.7%11.3%
6Vince R.L.Labour Party964.3%8.6%

Electorate 2,958 · EC ward code E05007401 · Back to ward index

Woldingham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 689

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1North C.L.Conservative Party47969.5%+19.5 ptsElected
2Farrar-Wilson A.H.Liberal Democrats13319.3%
3Manning N.C.Labour Party7711.2%

Electorate 1,584 · EC ward code E05007408 · Back to ward index

Valley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,051

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gaffney J.Liberal Democrats64530.7%61.4%+28.0 ptsElected
2Jones A.A.Liberal Democrats60628.8%57.7%+24.3 ptsElected
3Emmanuel V.Conservative Party27112.9%25.8%
4Knight D.Conservative Party26312.5%25.0%
5Lessey C.Labour Party994.7%9.4%
6Chuter W.R.Labour Party813.9%7.7%
7Roberts P.R.A.Independent783.7%7.4%
8Bolter J.W.ND592.8%5.6%

Electorate 3,249 · EC ward code E05007403 · Back to ward index

Oxted North and Tandridge · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 77.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,303

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Wren J.RES1,77977.2%+27.2 ptsElected
2Standen A.Conservative Party32414.1%
3McCann R.J.Liberal Democrats1195.2%
4Wheale J.P.Labour Party813.5%

Electorate 4,529 · EC ward code E05007398 · Back to ward index