← Test Valley (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Test Valley 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

20 ward races
43 seats
1 elected below the proportional quota
2.3% of seats below quota
7 unfairly awarded seats
16.3% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 43 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats33,74745.7%1739.5%2148.8%-4
Conservative Party31,53442.7%2660.5%1944.2%+7
Labour Party2,8673.9%00.0%12.3%-1
Independent2,8543.9%00.0%12.3%-1
Green Party2,6923.6%00.0%12.3%-1
Heritage Party710.1%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)490.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total73,814100.0%43100.0%43100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2023)
Previous (2022)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Charlton and the Pentons · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 894

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lashbrook, L.Conservative Party42948.0%−2.0 ptsElected
2Reynolds, J.Liberal Democrats25328.3%
3Howland, P.Green Party16318.2%
4Woods, N.UK Independence Party (UKIP)495.5%

Electorate 2,606 · Back to ward index

Harewood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,253

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Drew, D.Conservative Party65252.0%+2.0 ptsElected
2Clark, D.Liberal Democrats60148.0%

Electorate 2,616 · Back to ward index

Andover Winton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,288

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gillies, A.Conservative Party64525.0%50.1%+16.7 ptsElected
2Matthews, L.Conservative Party55221.4%42.9%+9.5 ptsElected
3Hughes, J.Liberal Democrats41015.9%31.8%
4Hall-Cooper, A.Liberal Democrats33012.8%25.6%
5Meyer, R.Independent28311.0%22.0%
6Horsnell, A.Independent1957.6%15.1%
7Rowles, R.Independent1616.3%12.5%

Electorate 4,837 · Back to ward index

Blackwater · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,261

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Adams-King, N.Conservative Party1,46532.4%64.8%+31.5 ptsElected
2Bailey, G.Conservative Party96921.4%42.9%+9.5 ptsElected
3Ezard, T.Liberal Democrats85819.0%37.9%
4Craig, C.Independent64314.2%28.4%
5Reeves, J.Green Party2946.5%13.0%
6Beesley, A.Liberal Democrats2936.5%13.0%

Electorate 5,049 · Back to ward index

Ampfield and Braishfield · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 990

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Yalden, S.Liberal Democrats61462.0%+12.0 ptsElected
2Rawson-Smith, M.Conservative Party37638.0%

Electorate 2,209 · Back to ward index

Andover Millway · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,977

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brooks, Z.Conservative Party93615.8%47.4%+22.4 ptsElected
2Neal, J.Conservative Party79413.4%40.2%+15.2 ptsElected
3Leech, M.Conservative Party77013.0%39.0%+14.0 ptsElected
4Gregory, T.Liberal Democrats75612.7%38.2%
5McGarry, M.Liberal Democrats69811.8%35.3%
6Simmonds, N.Liberal Democrats5298.9%26.8%
7Hosen, C.Green Party4247.2%21.5%
8Farren, M.Independent4217.1%21.3%
9Pomphrey, A.Green Party3696.2%18.7%
10Emmerson, D.Independent2333.9%11.8%

Electorate 6,761 · Back to ward index

Bourne Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 894

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1North, P.Conservative Party57664.4%+14.4 ptsElected
2Walters, G.Liberal Democrats31835.6%

Electorate 2,465 · Back to ward index

Andover St Mary's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,264

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andersen, I.Conservative Party67617.8%53.5%+28.5 ptsElected
2Cattell, D.Conservative Party53814.2%42.6%+17.6 ptsElected
3Budzynski, J.Conservative Party50413.3%39.9%+14.9 ptsElected
4Fitchet, A.Labour Party47912.6%37.9%
5Bird, K.Liberal Democrats45712.1%36.2%
6Cole, J.Labour Party42611.2%33.7%
7Waue, S.Independent3068.1%24.2%
8Briggs, A.Liberal Democrats2065.4%16.3%
9Hurst, P.Liberal Democrats2005.3%15.8%

Electorate 5,974 · Back to ward index

Andover Harroway · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,623

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gregori, L.Liberal Democrats78116.0%48.1%+23.1 ptsElected
2Hughes, R.Liberal Democrats71614.7%44.1%+19.1 ptsElected
3Borg-Neal, C.Conservative Party65213.4%40.2%+15.2 ptsElected
4Burley, T.Conservative Party64513.2%39.7%
5Hamilton, K.Conservative Party64213.2%39.6%
6Reynolds, E.Liberal Democrats58111.9%35.8%
7Mitchell, L.Green Party3096.3%19.0%
8Roll, P.Labour Party2956.1%18.2%
9Juliff, G.Independent2485.1%15.3%

Electorate 7,286 · Back to ward index

Andover Romans · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,363

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sangster, J.Liberal Democrats65916.1%48.3%+23.3 ptsElected
2Brooks, K.Conservative Party57714.1%42.3%+17.3 ptsElected
3North, K.Conservative Party55713.6%40.9%+15.9 ptsElected
4Msonthi, J.Liberal Democrats55413.5%40.6%
5Kidd, R.Liberal Democrats54913.4%40.3%
6Preston, T.Conservative Party54013.2%39.6%
7Hardstaff, S.Independent3648.9%26.7%
8Lindfield, S.Labour Party2907.1%21.3%

Electorate 7,357 · Back to ward index

Bellinger · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 799

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lashbrook, P.Conservative Party53166.5%+16.5 ptsElected
2Johnson, G.Liberal Democrats26833.5%

Electorate 2,574 · Back to ward index

Romsey Abbey · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 54.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,867

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gidley, S.Liberal Democrats1,13230.3%60.6%+27.3 ptsElected
2Daas, N.Liberal Democrats1,01727.2%54.5%+21.2 ptsElected
3Michell, N.Conservative Party70418.9%37.7%
4Dwyer, J.Conservative Party64217.2%34.4%
5Berg, B.Labour Party1674.5%8.9%
6Peterson, A.Heritage Party711.9%3.8%

Electorate 4,776 · Back to ward index

Andover Downlands · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 55.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 815

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Donnelly, C.Conservative Party52632.3%64.5%+31.2 ptsElected
2Lodge, N.Conservative Party45127.7%55.3%+22.0 ptsElected
3Hughes, K.Liberal Democrats26116.0%32.0%
4Cotter, K.Labour Party20012.3%24.5%
5Burgess, C.Liberal Democrats19211.8%23.6%

Electorate 4,497 · Back to ward index

Mid Test · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,753

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Johnston, A.Conservative Party1,40217.0%50.9%+25.9 ptsElected
2Jeffrey, I.Conservative Party1,38216.7%50.2%+25.2 ptsElected
3MacDonald, S.Conservative Party1,35116.4%49.1%+24.1 ptsElected
4Hall, D.Liberal Democrats1,22514.8%44.5%
5Marshall, A.Liberal Democrats97211.8%35.3%
6Theron, R.Liberal Democrats89710.9%32.6%
7Shaw, C.Green Party4054.9%14.7%
8Cotterell, J.Green Party3684.5%13.4%
9Elliott, J.Labour Party2563.1%9.3%

Electorate 7,221 · Back to ward index

Chilworth, Nursling and Rownhams · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,190

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dunleavey, K.Liberal Democrats1,19018.1%54.3%+29.3 ptsElected
2Bundy, P.Conservative Party1,14417.4%52.2%+27.2 ptsElected
3Swain, T.Conservative Party1,09116.6%49.8%+24.8 ptsElected
4Berry, L.Liberal Democrats1,06016.1%48.4%
5Gomer, J.Liberal Democrats1,04816.0%47.9%
6Maltby, M.Conservative Party1,03715.8%47.4%

Electorate 6,584 · Back to ward index

Anna · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 60.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,838

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Flood, M.Conservative Party1,37337.4%74.7%+41.4 ptsElected
2Hasselmann, S.Conservative Party1,10230.0%60.0%+26.6 ptsElected
3Burnage, P.Liberal Democrats45412.4%24.7%
4Thom, C.Liberal Democrats38710.5%21.1%
5Bartholomew, C.Green Party3609.8%19.6%

Electorate 4,933 · Back to ward index

Romsey Cupernham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,192

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Burnage, J.Liberal Democrats1,43521.8%65.5%+40.5 ptsElected
2Gwynne, N.Liberal Democrats1,32720.2%60.5%+35.5 ptsElected
3Kohli, R.Liberal Democrats1,18718.1%54.2%+29.2 ptsElected
4Mayer, T.Conservative Party86913.2%39.6%
5Ray, J.Conservative Party76811.7%35.0%
6Maslen, D.Conservative Party66410.1%30.3%
7Chillingworth, A.Labour Party3265.0%14.9%

Electorate 6,519 · Back to ward index

Romsey Tadburn · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 67.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,936

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cooper, M.Liberal Democrats1,46337.8%75.6%+42.2 ptsElected
2Parker, J.Liberal Democrats1,30433.7%67.4%+34.0 ptsElected
3Collier, C.Conservative Party49412.8%25.5%
4Bloomfield, D.Conservative Party41010.6%21.2%
5Nixson, C.Labour Party2015.2%10.4%

Electorate 4,617 · Back to ward index

North Baddesley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 66.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +41.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,816

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ford, A.Liberal Democrats1,37325.2%75.6%+50.6 ptsElected
2Cooper, G.Liberal Democrats1,23922.7%68.2%+43.2 ptsElected
3Warnes, A.Liberal Democrats1,19822.0%66.0%+41.0 ptsElected
4Colton, L.Conservative Party5139.4%28.2%
5Billett, J.Conservative Party4838.9%26.6%
6Franke, R.Conservative Party4167.6%22.9%
7Jackson, C.Labour Party2274.2%12.5%

Electorate 5,769 · Back to ward index

Valley Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 75.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,721

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dowden, A.Liberal Democrats1,45842.4%84.7%+51.4 ptsElected
2Dowden, C.Liberal Democrats1,29737.7%75.4%+42.1 ptsElected
3Ball, M.Conservative Party35610.3%20.7%
4Davies, S.Conservative Party3309.6%19.2%

Electorate 4,638 · Back to ward index