← Three Rivers (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Three Rivers 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

13 ward races
14 seats
2 elected below the proportional quota
14.3% of seats below quota
2 unfairly awarded seats
14.3% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats9,94041.9%857.1%642.9%+2
Conservative Party7,70132.5%428.6%535.7%-1
Labour Party3,30013.9%17.1%214.3%-1
Green Party2,78911.8%17.1%17.1%0
Total23,730100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and immediately before it (2022). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2023 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2023)
Previous (2022)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Rickmansworth Town · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,093

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Raw, D.Conservative Party90143.0%−7.0 ptsElected
2Harman, P.Liberal Democrats78537.5%
3Cullen, J.Labour Party21510.3%
4Stungo, C.Green Party1929.2%

Electorate 5,560 · Back to ward index

Penn and Mill End · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,471

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Humphreys, T.Liberal Democrats73049.6%−0.4 ptsElected
2Sims, M.Conservative Party47432.2%
3Waldron, M.Labour Party15710.7%
4Chandra, D.Green Party1107.5%

Electorate 5,142 · Back to ward index

Gade Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,345

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Whately-Smith, C.Liberal Democrats70452.3%+2.3 ptsElected
2Edwards, V.Conservative Party33424.8%
3Prochnik, B.Labour Party23517.5%
4Gallagher, A.Green Party725.4%

Electorate 4,993 · Back to ward index

Oxhey Hall and Hayling · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,724

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Martin, K.Liberal Democrats91553.1%+3.1 ptsElected
2Leahy, C.Labour Party39122.7%
3Ahmad, A.Conservative Party34520.0%
4Chabrel, M.Green Party734.2%

Electorate 5,293 · Back to ward index

Leavesden · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,581

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tankard, J.Liberal Democrats85354.0%+4.0 ptsElected
2Jervis, A.Conservative Party39625.0%
3Nolan, M.Labour Party25316.0%
4Perry, B.Green Party795.0%

Electorate 5,805 · Back to ward index

Abbots Langley and Bedmond · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,638

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Major, D.Liberal Democrats88854.2%+4.2 ptsElected
2Pollard, D.Conservative Party43826.7%
3Farrington, J.Labour Party21413.1%
4Rayment, M.Green Party986.0%

Electorate 4,955 · Back to ward index

Dickinsons · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,133

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sian, N.Green Party1,17154.9%+4.9 ptsElected
2Smith, T.Liberal Democrats85239.9%
3Gillett, J.Labour Party1105.2%

Electorate 5,036 · Back to ward index

Durrants · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,777

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Solomons, J.Liberal Democrats98955.7%+5.7 ptsElected
2Glasser, A.Green Party44224.9%
3Elvey, G.Conservative Party23213.1%
4Grillo, J.Labour Party1146.4%

Electorate 4,946 · Back to ward index

Chorleywood North and Sarratt · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,839

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cooper, O.Conservative Party1,08158.8%+8.8 ptsElected
2Mahon-Daly, F.Liberal Democrats51728.1%
3Loader, P.Green Party1307.1%
4Gallagher, M.Labour Party1116.0%

Electorate 5,681 · Back to ward index

South Oxhey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,175

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cox, S.Labour Party69759.3%+9.3 ptsElected
2Alley, C.Conservative Party32427.6%
3Southall, R.Liberal Democrats877.4%
4Lawrence, C.Green Party675.7%

Electorate 5,335 · Back to ward index

Carpenders Park · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,652

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Morris, I.Conservative Party1,02161.8%+11.8 ptsElected
2Waite, W.Labour Party38123.1%
3Hames, P.Liberal Democrats18811.4%
4Trevett, K.Green Party623.8%

Electorate 5,245 · Back to ward index

Moor Park and Eastbury · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,441

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ranger, R.Conservative Party1,05473.1%+23.1 ptsElected
2Thompson, L.Liberal Democrats21014.6%
3Khan, M.Labour Party1027.1%
4Martin, S.Green Party755.2%

Electorate 4,496 · Back to ward index

Chorleywood South and Maple Cross · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,931

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Khiroya, R.Liberal Democrats1,12529.1%58.3%+24.9 ptsElected
2Price, L.Liberal Democrats1,09728.4%56.8%+23.5 ptsElected
3Al-Damluji, S.Conservative Party58715.2%30.4%
4Thakar, D.Conservative Party51413.3%26.6%
5Stafford, R.Green Party2185.6%11.3%
6Roden, I.Labour Party1945.0%10.0%
7Gray, C.Labour Party1263.3%6.5%

Electorate 5,749 · Back to ward index