← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Eastleigh 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 15 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 13,319 | 46.1% | 13 | 86.7% | 7 | 46.7% | +6 |
| Conservative Party | 7,287 | 25.2% | 2 | 13.3% | 4 | 26.7% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,596 | 15.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 13.3% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 3,345 | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 13.3% | -2 |
| Green Party | 362 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,909 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bishopstoke West · 1 seat · won at 33.6% · −16.4 pts below quota
- Fair Oak and Horton Heath · 1 seat · won at 39.2% · −10.8 pts below quota
- Eastleigh South · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · −10.2 pts below quota
- Eastleigh Central · 1 seat · won at 41.7% · −8.3 pts below quota
- Eastleigh North · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · −7.4 pts below quota
- Hedge End St John's · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · −3.4 pts below quota
- Bishopstoke East · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · −2.6 pts below quota
- Chandler's Ford East · 1 seat · won at 49.0% · −1.0 pts below quota
- Chandler's Ford West · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
- Botley · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
- Hiltingbury East · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
- Hamble-le-Rice and Butlocks Heath · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Hiltingbury West · 1 seat · won at 56.2% · above quota
- Bursledon and Old Netley · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota
- Netley Abbey · 1 seat · won at 69.3% · above quota
Race results
Bishopstoke West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,861
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Winstanley | Liberal Democrats | 625 | 33.6% | −16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Toher | Labour Party | 456 | 24.5% | — | |
| 3 | John Edwards | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 442 | 23.8% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Yates | Conservative Party | 191 | 10.3% | — | |
| 5 | David Hubble | Green Party | 147 | 7.9% | — |
Fair Oak and Horton Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,446
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Rushton | Liberal Democrats | 959 | 39.2% | −10.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Broomfield | Conservative Party | 661 | 27.0% | — | |
| 3 | Hugh McGuinness | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 547 | 22.4% | — | |
| 4 | Mary Shephard | Labour Party | 279 | 11.4% | — |
Eastleigh South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,141
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darshan Singh Mann | Liberal Democrats | 852 | 39.8% | −10.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pete Luffman | Labour Party | 543 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jan Weller | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 474 | 22.1% | — | |
| 4 | Nick Arnold | Conservative Party | 272 | 12.7% | — |
Eastleigh Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,491
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Balaam | Liberal Democrats | 1,039 | 41.7% | −8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Moore | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 627 | 25.2% | — | |
| 3 | Steve Phillips | Labour Party | 481 | 19.3% | — | |
| 4 | Simon Payne | Conservative Party | 344 | 13.8% | — |
Eastleigh North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,021
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 861 | 42.6% | −7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith McFarlane | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 408 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | Mike Holliday | Conservative Party | 359 | 17.8% | — | |
| 4 | Kathy O'Neill | Labour Party | 303 | 15.0% | — | |
| 5 | Alexander Hughes | Green Party | 90 | 4.5% | — |
Hedge End St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,416
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Garton | Liberal Democrats | 1,127 | 46.6% | −3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Piper | Conservative Party | 795 | 32.9% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Webber | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 301 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Terry Crow | Labour Party | 141 | 5.8% | — | |
| 5 | Liam Fleming | Green Party | 52 | 2.2% | — |
Bishopstoke East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,659
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Mignot | Liberal Democrats | 787 | 47.4% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Lyon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 423 | 25.5% | — | |
| 3 | Tom Yates | Conservative Party | 211 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Christine McKeone | Labour Party | 165 | 9.9% | — | |
| 5 | Ania Waterman | Green Party | 73 | 4.4% | — |
Chandler's Ford East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,436
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haulwen Broadhurst | Liberal Democrats | 703 | 49.0% | −1.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Reynolds | Conservative Party | 433 | 30.2% | — | |
| 3 | Pete House | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 179 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Sarah Mann | Labour Party | 121 | 8.4% | — |
Chandler's Ford West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,831
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Pragnell | Liberal Democrats | 937 | 51.2% | +1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Hatch | Conservative Party | 519 | 28.3% | — | |
| 3 | Andy Whitehouse | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 209 | 11.4% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Clayton | Labour Party | 166 | 9.1% | — |
Botley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,737
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rupert Kyrle | Liberal Democrats | 932 | 53.7% | +3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Bennett | Conservative Party | 387 | 22.3% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Greenwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 295 | 17.0% | — | |
| 4 | Kevin Williamson | Labour Party | 123 | 7.1% | — |
Hiltingbury East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,874
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Hatfield | Conservative Party | 1,013 | 54.1% | +4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Beverley Rose | Liberal Democrats | 607 | 32.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jean Leech | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 154 | 8.2% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Tibble | Labour Party | 100 | 5.3% | — |
Hamble-le-Rice and Butlocks Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,917
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcom Cross | Liberal Democrats | 1,052 | 54.9% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheelagh Cohen | Conservative Party | 619 | 32.3% | — | |
| 3 | Hilary Daniels | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 130 | 6.8% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Rogers | Labour Party | 116 | 6.1% | — |
Hiltingbury West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,722
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Hughes | Conservative Party | 967 | 56.2% | +6.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Duguid | Liberal Democrats | 621 | 36.1% | — | |
| 3 | Kevin Butt | Labour Party | 134 | 7.8% | — |
Bursledon and Old Netley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,848
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Holes | Liberal Democrats | 1,172 | 63.4% | +13.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephanie Arnold | Conservative Party | 350 | 18.9% | — | |
| 3 | Derek Daniels | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 233 | 12.6% | — | |
| 4 | Shere Sattar | Labour Party | 93 | 5.0% | — |
Netley Abbey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,509
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Airey | Liberal Democrats | 1,045 | 69.3% | +19.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Martin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 174 | 11.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jamie Mills | Conservative Party | 166 | 11.0% | — | |
| 4 | Siobhan O'Rourke | Labour Party | 124 | 8.2% | — |