← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Eastleigh 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 17,305 | 52.1% | 12 | 92.3% | 8 | 61.5% | +4 |
| Conservative Party | 6,495 | 19.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 23.1% | -3 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,201 | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 2,296 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,977 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,952 | 5.9% | 1 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Total | 33,226 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Fair Oak and Horton Heath · 1 seat · won at 40.3% · −9.7 pts below quota
- Bishopstoke · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · −3.7 pts below quota
- Eastleigh Central · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Eastleigh North · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- Hiltingbury · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
- Eastleigh South · 1 seat · won at 54.6% · above quota
- Chandler's Ford · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
- West End South · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
- Hamble and Netley · 1 seat · won at 59.1% · above quota
- West End North · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota
- Hedge End North · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota
- Bursledon and Hound North · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
- Hedge End South · 1 seat · won at 61.6% · above quota
Race results
Fair Oak and Horton Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,988
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Marsh | Liberal Democrats | 1,205 | 40.3% | −9.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Broomfield | Conservative Party | 821 | 27.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jack Stapleton | Green Party | 415 | 13.9% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Lyon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 391 | 13.1% | — | |
| 5 | Jillian Payne | Labour Party | 156 | 5.2% | — |
Bishopstoke · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,599
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raymond Dean | Independent | 1,666 | 46.3% | −3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Trevor Mignot | Liberal Democrats | 1,287 | 35.8% | — | |
| 3 | John Edwards | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 277 | 7.7% | — | |
| 4 | Phillip Parkinson-Shanley | Conservative Party | 225 | 6.3% | — | |
| 5 | Christine McKeone | Labour Party | 144 | 4.0% | — |
Eastleigh Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,271
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jephthe Doguie | Liberal Democrats | 1,111 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joshua Constable | Labour Party | 400 | 17.6% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Moore | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 318 | 14.0% | — | |
| 4 | Nicholas Arnold | Conservative Party | 267 | 11.8% | — | |
| 5 | Nicholas Tann | Green Party | 175 | 7.7% | — |
Eastleigh North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,429
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara Tyson-Payne | Liberal Democrats | 1,195 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Payne | Conservative Party | 297 | 12.2% | — | |
| 3 | David Betts | Independent | 286 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Kathleen O'Neill | Labour Party | 238 | 9.8% | — | |
| 5 | John Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 229 | 9.4% | — | |
| 6 | Alexander Hughes | Green Party | 184 | 7.6% | — |
Hiltingbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,767
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Duguid | Liberal Democrats | 1,905 | 50.6% | +0.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Hughes | Conservative Party | 1,370 | 36.4% | — | |
| 3 | Janice Openshaw | Green Party | 199 | 5.3% | — | |
| 4 | Jean Leech | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 184 | 4.9% | — | |
| 5 | John Prior | Labour Party | 109 | 2.9% | — |
Eastleigh South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,071
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darshan Singh Mann | Liberal Democrats | 1,130 | 54.6% | +4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gordon Clark | Labour Party | 344 | 16.6% | — | |
| 3 | Glenn Bryan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 338 | 16.3% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Wildin | Conservative Party | 259 | 12.5% | — |
Chandler's Ford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,168
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothy Groves | Liberal Democrats | 1,736 | 54.8% | +4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Daniel Newcombe | Conservative Party | 748 | 23.6% | — | |
| 3 | Peter House | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 295 | 9.3% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Openshaw | Green Party | 212 | 6.7% | — | |
| 5 | Jennifer Prior | Labour Party | 177 | 5.6% | — |
West End South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,591
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothy Bearder | Liberal Democrats | 899 | 56.5% | +6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeremy Hall | Conservative Party | 342 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Greenwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 161 | 10.1% | — | |
| 4 | Tracy Weeks | Green Party | 100 | 6.3% | — | |
| 5 | Stephen Willoughby | Labour Party | 89 | 5.6% | — |
Hamble and Netley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,774
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Manning | Liberal Democrats | 1,640 | 59.1% | +9.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeanette Fox | Conservative Party | 453 | 16.3% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Robson | Green Party | 263 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Whitehouse | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 247 | 8.9% | — | |
| 5 | Trudi White | Labour Party | 171 | 6.2% | — |
West End North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,480
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Gomer | Liberal Democrats | 882 | 59.6% | +9.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Benjamin Burcombe-Filer | Conservative Party | 273 | 18.4% | — | |
| 3 | George McGuinness | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 140 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Glynn Fleming | Green Party | 125 | 8.4% | — | |
| 5 | Geoffrey Kosted | Labour Party | 60 | 4.1% | — |
Hedge End North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,104
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Corben | Liberal Democrats | 1,255 | 59.6% | +9.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Allen | Conservative Party | 378 | 18.0% | — | |
| 3 | Rosanna Campbell | Green Party | 187 | 8.9% | — | |
| 4 | John Tomlin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 146 | 6.9% | — | |
| 5 | Geoff Budd | Labour Party | 138 | 6.6% | — |
Bursledon and Hound North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,934
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lindsey Rich | Liberal Democrats | 1,182 | 61.1% | +11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lisa Moody | Conservative Party | 396 | 20.5% | — | |
| 3 | Janet Weller | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 214 | 11.1% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Chilton | Labour Party | 142 | 7.3% | — |
Hedge End South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,050
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Garton | Liberal Democrats | 1,878 | 61.6% | +11.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christopher Yates | Conservative Party | 666 | 21.8% | — | |
| 3 | Benjamin Jones | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 261 | 8.6% | — | |
| 4 | Betty Layland | Labour Party | 128 | 4.2% | — | |
| 5 | Chetana Greenwood | Green Party | 117 | 3.8% | — |