← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Elmbridge 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 13,284 | 38.1% | 6 | 37.5% | 8 | 50.0% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,707 | 22.1% | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 25.0% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 2,613 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.3% | -1 |
| Molesey | 2,479 | 7.1% | 2 | 12.5% | 1 | 6.3% | +1 |
| HWWGRA | 1,766 | 5.1% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| TDWGRA | 1,577 | 4.5% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| Walton | 1,235 | 3.5% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| WStGI | 1,201 | 3.4% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Esher | 1,138 | 3.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Hersham | 780 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 745 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 354 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 34,879 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Walton North · 1 seat · won at 46.0% · −4.0 pts below quota
- Esher · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · −3.3 pts below quota
- Cobham and Downside · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · −2.6 pts below quota
- Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · −2.0 pts below quota
- Walton South · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Weybridge St George's Hill · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
- Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 57.8% · above quota
- Oatlands and Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 60.3% · above quota
- Claygate · 1 seat · won at 63.0% · above quota
- Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 63.5% · above quota
- Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · 1 seat · won at 65.5% · above quota
- Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 67.4% · above quota
- Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 73.6% · above quota
Race results
Walton North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,513
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rachael Lake | Conservative Party | 696 | 46.0% | −4.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Ashurst | Labour Party | 424 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Nicholas Gosling | Liberal Democrats | 393 | 26.0% | — |
Esher · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,438
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Williams | Esher | 1,138 | 46.7% | −3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard John | Conservative Party | 965 | 39.6% | — | |
| 3 | Laura Harmour | Green Party | 222 | 9.1% | — | |
| 4 | Susan Dennis | Labour Party | 113 | 4.6% | — |
Cobham and Downside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,904
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorothy Mitchell | Conservative Party | 902 | 47.4% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Bellchamber | Liberal Democrats | 598 | 31.4% | — | |
| 3 | Elaine Kingston | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 238 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Hugh Bryant | Labour Party | 166 | 8.7% | — |
Weybridge Riverside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,312
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashley Tilling | Liberal Democrats | 1,101 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Wood | Conservative Party | 955 | 41.3% | — | |
| 3 | Warren Weertman | Labour Party | 140 | 6.1% | — | |
| 4 | Nicholas Wood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 116 | 5.0% | — |
Molesey East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,643
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lesley Yauner | Molesey | 1,268 | 48.0% | −2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Xingang Wang | Conservative Party | 790 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Fergy | Liberal Democrats | 252 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Lisa Howard | Green Party | 208 | 7.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rosie Rendall | Labour Party | 125 | 4.7% | — |
Walton South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,061
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Cross | Conservative Party | 1,048 | 50.8% | +0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Margaret Hawkes | Liberal Democrats | 727 | 35.3% | — | |
| 3 | Vera-Anne Anderson | Labour Party | 286 | 13.9% | — |
Weybridge St George's Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,290
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Catton | WStGI | 1,201 | 52.4% | +2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John O'Reilly | Conservative Party | 907 | 39.6% | — | |
| 3 | Heather Bokota | Labour Party | 182 | 7.9% | — |
Hersham Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,228
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mary Sheldon | Conservative Party | 1,177 | 52.8% | +2.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sam Thompson | Hersham | 780 | 35.0% | — | |
| 3 | Julie Crook | Labour Party | 271 | 12.2% | — |
Walton Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,168
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Woolgar | Walton | 1,235 | 57.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kristopher Januszajtis-Neale | Conservative Party | 723 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | Gerry O'Driscoll | Labour Party | 210 | 9.7% | — |
Long Ditton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,065
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Houston | Liberal Democrats | 1,194 | 57.8% | +7.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Claudia Riley-Hards | Conservative Party | 757 | 36.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Fryer | Labour Party | 114 | 5.5% | — |
Oatlands and Burwood Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,086
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilary Butler | Conservative Party | 1,258 | 60.3% | +10.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adriana Dredge | Liberal Democrats | 405 | 19.4% | — | |
| 3 | Annie Connell | Green Party | 315 | 15.1% | — | |
| 4 | Angus Rendall | Labour Party | 108 | 5.2% | — |
Claygate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,269
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Coomes | Liberal Democrats | 1,429 | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Sugden | Conservative Party | 775 | 34.2% | — | |
| 3 | Sean Byrne | Labour Party | 65 | 2.9% | — |
Molesey West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,907
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Popham | Molesey | 1,211 | 63.5% | +13.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Gould | Conservative Party | 295 | 15.5% | — | |
| 3 | Alastair Sturgis | Liberal Democrats | 227 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | David Sheldrake | Labour Party | 174 | 9.1% | — |
Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Lewis | Conservative Party | 1,480 | 65.5% | +15.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dorothy Ford | Liberal Democrats | 681 | 30.2% | — | |
| 3 | Christine Bailey | Labour Party | 97 | 4.3% | — |
Thames Ditton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,339
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Randolph | TDWGRA | 1,577 | 67.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jez Langham | Liberal Democrats | 340 | 14.5% | — | |
| 3 | Rory Simpson | Conservative Party | 284 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Howarth | Labour Party | 138 | 5.9% | — |
Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,398
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Janet Turner | HWWGRA | 1,766 | 73.6% | +23.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Ambekar | Liberal Democrats | 360 | 15.0% | — | |
| 3 | Geoff Herbert | Conservative Party | 272 | 11.3% | — |