← Fareham (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Fareham 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 15 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 17,184 | 52.3% | 12 | 75.0% | 9 | 56.3% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,739 | 23.6% | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 25.0% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 4,256 | 13.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 12.5% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 2,542 | 7.7% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| Green Party | 963 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 143 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 32,827 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Stubbington · 1 seat · won at 35.0% · −15.0 pts below quota
- Fareham North-West · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
- Fareham South · 1 seat · won at 43.9% · −6.1 pts below quota
- Portchester East · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Hill Head · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Fareham North · 1 seat · won at 51.8% · above quota
- Portchester West · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Titchfield Common · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota
- Fareham East · 2 seats · won at 43.1% · above quota
- Park Gate · 1 seat · won at 66.4% · above quota
- Titchfield · 1 seat · won at 67.7% · above quota
- Fareham West · 1 seat · won at 69.9% · above quota
- Sarisbury · 1 seat · won at 71.7% · above quota
- Locks Heath · 1 seat · won at 72.2% · above quota
- Warsash · 1 seat · won at 78.1% · above quota
Race results
Stubbington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,566
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolyn Heneghan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 899 | 35.0% | −15.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jim Forrest | Liberal Democrats | 772 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Pal Hayre | Conservative Party | 772 | 30.1% | — | |
| 4 | Mark Harrison | Labour Party | 123 | 4.8% | — |
Fareham North-West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,787
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fred Birkett | Conservative Party | 780 | 43.6% | −6.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stefan Charidge | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 416 | 23.3% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Ovenden | Labour Party | 281 | 15.7% | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Wong | Liberal Democrats | 167 | 9.3% | — | |
| 5 | David Whittingham | Independent | 143 | 8.0% | — |
Fareham South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,798
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Barton | Conservative Party | 790 | 43.9% | −6.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Sturgess | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 448 | 24.9% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Ryan | Labour Party | 389 | 21.6% | — | |
| 4 | Teigan Newman | Liberal Democrats | 171 | 9.5% | — |
Portchester East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,149
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaun Cunningham | Liberal Democrats | 1,433 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Trevor Alford | Conservative Party | 1,221 | 38.8% | — | |
| 3 | Stuart Rose | Labour Party | 495 | 15.7% | — |
Hill Head · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,601
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Mandry | Conservative Party | 1,343 | 51.6% | +1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Cast | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 779 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Benjamin Powell | Liberal Democrats | 292 | 11.2% | — | |
| 4 | Cameron Crouchman | Labour Party | 187 | 7.2% | — |
Fareham North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,202
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louise Clubley | Conservative Party | 1,140 | 51.8% | +1.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Trott | Liberal Democrats | 586 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | James Sebley | Labour Party | 271 | 12.3% | — | |
| 4 | David Harrison | Green Party | 205 | 9.3% | — |
Portchester West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,118
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholas Walker | Conservative Party | 1,104 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gerry Kelly | Liberal Democrats | 803 | 37.9% | — | |
| 3 | Leslie Ricketts | Labour Party | 211 | 10.0% | — |
Titchfield Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,668
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Pankhurst | Conservative Party | 996 | 59.7% | +9.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Francis | Liberal Democrats | 295 | 17.7% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Mooney | Labour Party | 223 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Fiona Harvey | Green Party | 154 | 9.2% | — |
Fareham East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 43.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,038
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katrina Trott | Liberal Democrats | 1,376 | 33.8% | 67.5% | +34.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Maryam Brady | Liberal Democrats | 879 | 21.6% | 43.1% | +9.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tom Davies | Conservative Party | 755 | 18.5% | 37.1% | — | |
| 4 | Jackie Hudson | Conservative Party | 570 | 14.0% | 28.0% | — | |
| 5 | Susan Brown | Labour Party | 292 | 7.2% | 14.3% | — | |
| 6 | James Webb | Labour Party | 203 | 5.0% | 10.0% | — |
Park Gate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,650
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Martin | Conservative Party | 1,096 | 66.4% | +16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Carr | Labour Party | 310 | 18.8% | — | |
| 3 | Anthony Stainer | Green Party | 244 | 14.8% | — |
Titchfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,790
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tiffany Harper | Conservative Party | 1,212 | 67.7% | +17.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Prior | Labour Party | 292 | 16.3% | — | |
| 3 | Jill Underwood | Liberal Democrats | 286 | 16.0% | — |
Fareham West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,300
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tina Ellis | Conservative Party | 1,608 | 69.9% | +19.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul King | Labour Party | 351 | 15.3% | — | |
| 3 | Rowena Palmer | Liberal Democrats | 341 | 14.8% | — |
Sarisbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,603
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Butts | Conservative Party | 1,149 | 71.7% | +21.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jim Weeks | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 15.0% | — | |
| 3 | Angela Carr | Labour Party | 214 | 13.3% | — |
Locks Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,732
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Evans | Conservative Party | 1,251 | 72.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicholas Knight | Labour Party | 259 | 15.0% | — | |
| 3 | John Burdfield | Green Party | 222 | 12.8% | — |
Warsash · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 78.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,788
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Ford | Conservative Party | 1,397 | 78.1% | +28.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicola Moore | Labour Party | 155 | 8.7% | — | |
| 3 | Miles Grindey | Green Party | 138 | 7.7% | — | |
| 4 | James Palmer | Liberal Democrats | 98 | 5.5% | — |