← Folkestone and Hythe (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort

Folkestone and Hythe 2019

Local elections held 2 May 2019.

13 ward races
30 seats
1 elected below the proportional quota
3.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 30 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party22,07236.4%1343.3%1136.7%+2
Green Party15,26825.2%620.0%826.7%-2
Labour Party11,42218.8%620.0%620.0%0
Liberal Democrats6,82111.3%26.7%310.0%-1
Independent2,4234.0%13.3%13.3%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)2,1623.6%26.7%13.3%+1
Fndtn3840.6%00.0%00.0%0
Soc590.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total60,611100.0%30100.0%30100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2019 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and on the eve of it (2018), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2019)
Previous (2018)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Folkestone Harbour · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 33.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,186

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nicola KeenLabour Party40216.9%33.9%+0.6 ptsElected
2Ray FieldLabour Party39516.7%33.3%0.0 ptsElected
3Mary LawesFndtn38416.2%32.4%
4Sandy McConnellGreen Party33414.1%28.2%
5Sue WallaceConservative Party28612.1%24.1%
6Dhan GurungConservative Party25910.9%21.8%
7Danielle AnsonLiberal Democrats25310.7%21.3%
8Andy ThomasSoc592.5%5.0%

EC ward code E05010019 · Back to ward index

New Romney · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,787

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David WimbleIndependent1,03228.9%57.8%+24.4 ptsElected
2Patricia RolfeConservative Party62417.5%34.9%+1.6 ptsElected
3Russell TillsonConservative Party58316.3%32.6%
4John CrampLabour Party46713.1%26.1%
5Malcolm WatkinsonGreen Party43112.1%24.1%
6Val LosebyLiberal Democrats2587.2%14.4%
7Janet PaiceLabour Party1785.0%10.0%

EC ward code E05010022 · Back to ward index

Romney Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 38.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,131

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ian MeyersUK Independence Party (UKIP)85120.0%39.9%+6.6 ptsElected
2Terry MullardUK Independence Party (UKIP)81019.0%38.0%+4.7 ptsElected
3Roger WilkinsConservative Party63014.8%29.6%
4Eddie GoddardConservative Party55313.0%26.0%
5Penny GrahamGreen Party55213.0%25.9%
6Chrissie CooperLabour Party3097.3%14.5%
7Tony CooperLabour Party2856.7%13.4%
8Michel la RueLiberal Democrats2726.4%12.8%

EC ward code E05010025 · Back to ward index

North Downs West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,006

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Susan CareyConservative Party94523.6%47.1%+13.8 ptsElected
2Jennifer HollingsbeeConservative Party84721.1%42.2%+8.9 ptsElected
3Susan ChiversGreen Party75618.8%37.7%
4Liz PhillipsUK Independence Party (UKIP)50112.5%25.0%
5Neil MatthewsLiberal Democrats47411.8%23.6%
6Sophia Moffatt-WhiteLabour Party2626.5%13.1%
7Sophie MortLabour Party2265.6%11.3%

EC ward code E05010024 · Back to ward index

East Folkestone · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,634

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Michelle DorrellLabour Party63913.0%39.1%+14.1 ptsElected
2Jackie MeadeLabour Party62312.7%38.1%+13.1 ptsElected
3Connor McConvilleLabour Party55811.4%34.2%+9.2 ptsElected
4Dylan JeffreyConservative Party54611.1%33.4%
5Jennifer HawkinsGreen Party50310.3%30.8%
6Dave PascoeConservative Party50210.2%30.7%
7Clive HawkinsGreen Party4489.1%27.4%
8Neil JonesConservative Party3958.1%24.2%
9Hugh Robertson-RichieLiberal Democrats3687.5%22.5%
10Carol SacreIndependent3196.5%19.5%

EC ward code E05010017 · Back to ward index

Broadmead · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 980

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ann BerryConservative Party58259.4%+9.4 ptsElected
2John O'HaraLabour Party22022.4%
3Harrison Scott-SansomLiberal Democrats17818.2%

EC ward code E05010015 · Back to ward index

Folkestone Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,936

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Laura DavisonLabour Party74212.8%38.3%+13.3 ptsElected
2Dan BrookConservative Party72612.5%37.5%+12.5 ptsElected
3David MonkConservative Party67511.6%34.9%+9.9 ptsElected
4David HortonLabour Party65611.3%33.9%
5Belinda WalkerLabour Party64011.0%33.1%
6Dick PascoeConservative Party63510.9%32.8%
7Sally MatthewsLiberal Democrats4818.3%24.8%
8Tom McNeiceLiberal Democrats4738.1%24.4%
9Oliver RobinsonLiberal Democrats4227.3%21.8%
10Bryan RylandsIndependent3576.1%18.4%

EC ward code E05010018 · Back to ward index

Cheriton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,049

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Peter GaneConservative Party85413.9%41.7%+16.7 ptsElected
2Rebecca ShoobGreen Party84613.8%41.3%+16.3 ptsElected
3John CollierConservative Party79312.9%38.7%+13.7 ptsElected
4Roger WestConservative Party78112.7%38.1%
5Paul BinghamLabour Party66210.8%32.3%
6Jonathan GrahamLabour Party65510.7%32.0%
7Laura SullivanLabour Party5799.4%28.3%
8Martin BerridgeLiberal Democrats5328.7%26.0%
9Ross ClarkLiberal Democrats4457.2%21.7%

EC ward code E05010016 · Back to ward index

Hythe Rural · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,730

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Douglas WadeGreen Party97828.3%56.5%+23.2 ptsElected
2John WingGreen Party86124.9%49.8%+16.4 ptsElected
3Paul PeacockConservative Party54515.8%31.5%
4Michael LyonsConservative Party50814.7%29.4%
5Harry WilliamsIndependent2627.6%15.1%
6Nicola DeaneLabour Party1745.0%10.1%
7Tony GoodeLabour Party1313.8%7.6%

EC ward code E05010021 · Back to ward index

Walland and Denge Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 50.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,666

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Clive GoddardConservative Party85825.8%51.5%+18.2 ptsElected
2Tony HillsConservative Party83625.1%50.2%+16.9 ptsElected
3Len LawsIndependent45313.6%27.2%
4Ross CarterGreen Party39211.8%23.5%
5Ted LastLiberal Democrats3139.4%18.8%
6Paul CareyLabour Party2487.4%14.9%
7John DaviesLabour Party2316.9%13.9%

EC ward code E05010027 · Back to ward index

Sandgate and West Folkestone · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,606

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tim PraterLiberal Democrats96230.0%59.9%+26.6 ptsElected
2Gary FullerLiberal Democrats84426.3%52.6%+19.2 ptsElected
3Rory LoveConservative Party48715.2%30.3%
4Jan HolbenConservative Party47114.7%29.3%
5Verity SandlesLabour Party2447.6%15.2%
6Abena Akfuffo-KellyLabour Party2046.4%12.7%

EC ward code E05010026 · Back to ward index

North Downs East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 53.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,194

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David GodfreyConservative Party1,27419.4%58.1%+33.1 ptsElected
2Stuart PeallConservative Party1,21318.4%55.3%+30.3 ptsElected
3Philip MartinConservative Party1,18117.9%53.8%+28.8 ptsElected
4Stephen ScoffhamGreen Party79712.1%36.3%
5David WilliamsGreen Party65810.0%30.0%
6Cyril TriceLiberal Democrats5468.3%24.9%
7Andy CsiszarLabour Party3335.1%15.2%
8Peter McLarenLabour Party3295.0%15.0%
9Joe YusufLabour Party2503.8%11.4%

EC ward code E05010023 · Back to ward index

Hythe · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,992

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jim MartinGreen Party2,65622.2%66.5%+41.5 ptsElected
2Lesley WhybrowGreen Party2,64822.1%66.3%+41.3 ptsElected
3Georgina TreloarGreen Party2,40820.1%60.3%+35.3 ptsElected
4Malcolm DeardenConservative Party1,19710.0%30.0%
5Alan Ewart-JamesConservative Party1,1509.6%28.8%
6David OwenConservative Party1,1369.5%28.5%
7Christopher DeaneLabour Party2932.4%7.3%
8Lynne SmithLabour Party2652.2%6.6%
9Gary SnowLabour Party2221.9%5.6%

EC ward code E05010020 · Back to ward index