← Gloucester (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Gloucester 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

18 ward races
39 seats
1 elected below the proportional quota
2.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party27,05244.6%2256.4%1846.2%+4
Labour Party16,30326.9%1025.6%1128.2%-1
Liberal Democrats9,90716.3%717.9%615.4%+1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)3,7516.2%00.0%25.1%-2
Green Party3,0575.0%00.0%25.1%-2
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition3540.6%00.0%00.0%0
Independent2850.5%00.0%00.0%0
Total60,709100.0%39100.0%39100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2016 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and on the eve of it (2015), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Coney Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 716

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lauren FearnLabour Party26637.2%−12.8 ptsElected
2Philip McLellanLiberal Democrats21830.4%
3Tarren RandleConservative Party13318.6%
4Phillip NashUK Independence Party (UKIP)9913.8%

EC ward code E05010954 · Back to ward index

Podsmead · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 716

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Deborah SmithLabour Party37252.0%+2.0 ptsElected
2Andrew MillerConservative Party34448.0%

EC ward code E05010963 · Back to ward index

Barnwood · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 37.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,838

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Elizabeth NoakesConservative Party87523.8%47.6%+14.3 ptsElected
2Joanne BrownLiberal Democrats68518.6%37.3%+3.9 ptsElected
3Davina BrownConservative Party68118.5%37.1%
4Jessica PalmerLiberal Democrats59416.2%32.3%
5Stephen PottageUK Independence Party (UKIP)2546.9%13.8%
6Cilla WoodmanLabour Party2476.7%13.4%
7Trevor HowardLabour Party2236.1%12.1%
8Brendan BakerGreen Party1173.2%6.4%

EC ward code E05010952 · Back to ward index

Quedgeley Severn Vale · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,139

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andrew LewisConservative Party58225.6%51.1%+17.8 ptsElected
2Hannah NormanConservative Party46220.3%40.6%+7.2 ptsElected
3Anna MozolLiberal Democrats44619.6%39.2%
4Mervyn HydeLabour Party30313.3%26.6%
5Helen PowellLiberal Democrats24510.8%21.5%
6Miles StaceyUK Independence Party (UKIP)23910.5%21.0%

EC ward code E05010965 · Back to ward index

Elmbridge · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,732

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Emily RyallLiberal Democrats91826.5%53.0%+19.7 ptsElected
2Howard HymanLiberal Democrats73421.2%42.4%+9.1 ptsElected
3Justin HudsonConservative Party51714.9%29.9%
4Shane HopkinsConservative Party47613.7%27.5%
5Roger MartinLabour Party3449.9%19.9%
6David MaceUK Independence Party (UKIP)2517.2%14.5%
7Frances GriffithsGreen Party1414.1%8.1%
8Jonathan InglebyGreen Party822.4%4.7%

EC ward code E05010955 · Back to ward index

Kingsholm and Wotton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,456

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jeremy HiltonLiberal Democrats77526.6%53.2%+19.9 ptsElected
2Isabel BrazilLiberal Democrats64122.0%44.0%+10.7 ptsElected
3Jonathan HoadLabour Party33111.4%22.7%
4Timothy JusticeConservative Party31010.6%21.3%
5Matthew FrancisConservative Party2769.5%19.0%
6Paul ThompsonLabour Party2759.4%18.9%
7James AlexanderUK Independence Party (UKIP)1746.0%12.0%
8Mairi MillsGreen Party1304.5%8.9%

EC ward code E05010958 · Back to ward index

Grange · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,540

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nigel HanmanConservative Party89329.0%58.0%+24.7 ptsElected
2Stephen MorganConservative Party74324.1%48.3%+14.9 ptsElected
3Daryl BaldwinLabour Party62620.3%40.7%
4Mathew McCallLabour Party42513.8%27.6%
5Rosemarie MarchmontUK Independence Party (UKIP)39212.7%25.5%

EC ward code E05010956 · Back to ward index

Abbeydale · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,797

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andrew GravellsConservative Party1,13831.7%63.3%+30.0 ptsElected
2Collette FinneganConservative Party88124.5%49.0%+15.7 ptsElected
3Steve LuggLabour Party3579.9%19.9%
4Danny SparkesUK Independence Party (UKIP)3499.7%19.4%
5Maisie SandersLabour Party3319.2%18.4%
6David HarberIndependent2857.9%15.9%
7Patrick WilsonLiberal Democrats1494.1%8.3%
8Emily HoddyGreen Party1032.9%5.7%

EC ward code E05010950 · Back to ward index

Tuffley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 50.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,283

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gerald DeeConservative Party67026.1%52.2%+18.9 ptsElected
2Colin OrganConservative Party65225.4%50.8%+17.5 ptsElected
3Tracy MillardLabour Party48618.9%37.9%
4Sadia HameedLabour Party36614.3%28.5%
5Daryl StanburyUK Independence Party (UKIP)27610.8%21.5%
6Eva-Maria Langrock-BircherGreen Party1164.5%9.0%

EC ward code E05010966 · Back to ward index

Abbeymead · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,348

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Laura PearsallConservative Party86232.0%64.0%+30.6 ptsElected
2Gordon TaylorConservative Party70926.3%52.6%+19.3 ptsElected
3Jonathan WhittakerLiberal Democrats37614.0%27.9%
4Abigail WilsonLiberal Democrats33512.4%24.9%
5Edward HodgesLabour Party2499.2%18.5%
6Michael RichardsonGreen Party1646.1%12.2%

EC ward code E05010951 · Back to ward index

Hucclecote · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,077

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David BrownLiberal Democrats1,28631.0%61.9%+28.6 ptsElected
2Declan WilsonLiberal Democrats1,10426.6%53.2%+19.8 ptsElected
3Christopher EtheridgeConservative Party75618.2%36.4%
4Lee DopsonConservative Party53212.8%25.6%
5Kay MillsLabour Party3247.8%15.6%
6Henry JonesGreen Party1513.6%7.3%

EC ward code E05010957 · Back to ward index

Moreland · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,813

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Neil HampsonLabour Party1,08019.9%59.6%+34.6 ptsElected
2Kevin StephensLabour Party87916.2%48.5%+23.5 ptsElected
3Terence PullenLabour Party87216.0%48.1%+23.1 ptsElected
4Lyn AckroydConservative Party86015.8%47.4%
5Peter CorryConservative Party5079.3%28.0%
6Jane WhiteConservative Party4628.5%25.5%
7Simon CollinsUK Independence Party (UKIP)4057.4%22.3%
8Matthew SidfordGreen Party3756.9%20.7%

EC ward code E05010962 · Back to ward index

Quedgeley Fieldcourt · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,023

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David NormanConservative Party63130.9%61.7%+28.4 ptsElected
2Lee HawthorneConservative Party57828.3%56.5%+23.2 ptsElected
3Janis GarbuttLabour Party35117.2%34.3%
4Kenneth GarbuttLabour Party33616.4%32.9%
5Gordon HeathLiberal Democrats1497.3%14.6%

EC ward code E05010964 · Back to ward index

Westgate · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,372

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pamela TraceyConservative Party90522.0%66.0%+41.0 ptsElected
2Paul TolemanConservative Party76518.6%55.8%+30.8 ptsElected
3Dawn Melvin BathConservative Party67916.5%49.5%+24.5 ptsElected
4Gabrielle HampsonLabour Party4069.9%29.6%
5Mark WallaceLabour Party3709.0%27.0%
6Mariana StratonGreen Party2766.7%20.1%
7Matthew KeighleyLiberal Democrats2105.1%15.3%
8Imogen CatererLiberal Democrats2055.0%14.9%
9Sarah DobsonLiberal Democrats1864.5%13.6%
10John EwersTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1142.8%8.3%

EC ward code E05010967 · Back to ward index

Matson and Robinswood · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,436

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thomas CooleLabour Party82219.1%57.2%+32.2 ptsElected
2Katherine HaighLabour Party76717.8%53.4%+28.4 ptsElected
3Janet LuggLabour Party71316.6%49.7%+24.7 ptsElected
4Gary CleaverUK Independence Party (UKIP)52112.1%36.3%
5Norman RavenhillConservative Party49211.4%34.3%
6Simon GriffithsConservative Party3688.5%25.6%
7Duncan HallConservative Party3538.2%24.6%
8Roslyn DurrantGreen Party2726.3%18.9%

EC ward code E05010961 · Back to ward index

Kingsway · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 59.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 778

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Richard CookConservative Party47030.2%60.4%+27.1 ptsElected
2Jennie DallimoreConservative Party46429.8%59.6%+26.3 ptsElected
3Emma FordLabour Party34021.9%43.7%
4Chloe FrenchGreen Party28218.1%36.2%

EC ward code E05010959 · Back to ward index

Barton and Tredworth · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,150

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Usman BhaimiaLabour Party1,23119.1%57.3%+32.3 ptsElected
2Ahmed HansdotLabour Party1,12117.4%52.1%+27.1 ptsElected
3Sajid PatelConservative Party1,11317.3%51.8%+26.8 ptsElected
4Garry MillsLabour Party79412.3%36.9%
5Rashid FarooqConservative Party6309.8%29.3%
6Daniel WoolfConservative Party5809.0%27.0%
7Kamila PawlowiczUK Independence Party (UKIP)2503.9%11.6%
8Charles BircherGreen Party1792.8%8.3%
9Gareth JohnGreen Party1752.7%8.1%
10James HarriesLiberal Democrats1362.1%6.3%
11Catherine BaileyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1161.8%5.4%
12Susan PowellTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition771.2%3.6%
13Richard PriceTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition470.7%2.2%

EC ward code E05010953 · Back to ward index

Longlevens · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,316

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kathleen WilliamsConservative Party1,65723.8%71.5%+46.5 ptsElected
2Paul JamesConservative Party1,63623.5%70.6%+45.6 ptsElected
3James PorterConservative Party1,41020.3%60.9%+35.9 ptsElected
4Terence HainesLabour Party69610.0%30.0%
5Susan CollierUK Independence Party (UKIP)5417.8%23.4%
6Paul HarrisLiberal Democrats5157.4%22.2%
7Christopher BrittonGreen Party4947.1%21.3%

EC ward code E05010960 · Back to ward index