← Harlow (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Harlow 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 7,665 | 40.1% | 7 | 63.6% | 5 | 45.5% | +2 |
| Conservative Party | 6,661 | 34.8% | 4 | 36.4% | 4 | 36.4% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,343 | 22.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 18.2% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 370 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 19,118 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Harlow Common · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · −11.0 pts below quota
- Staple Tye · 1 seat · won at 41.6% · −8.4 pts below quota
- Mark Hall · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · −5.7 pts below quota
- Great Parndon · 1 seat · won at 44.7% · −5.3 pts below quota
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · −3.9 pts below quota
- Old Harlow · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · −3.7 pts below quota
- Bush Fair · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · −3.3 pts below quota
- Netteswell · 1 seat · won at 47.7% · −2.3 pts below quota
- Toddbrook · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
- Little Parndon and Hare Street · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Church Langley · 1 seat · won at 55.1% · above quota
Race results
Harlow Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,011
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emma Toal | Labour Party | 785 | 39.0% | −11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hannah Ellis | Conservative Party | 672 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mike Carr | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 475 | 23.6% | — | |
| 4 | Gary Roberts | Independent | 79 | 3.9% | — |
Staple Tye · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,386
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stefan Mullard | Labour Party | 576 | 41.6% | −8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Hardware | Conservative Party | 485 | 35.0% | — | |
| 3 | Dan Mason | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 325 | 23.4% | — |
Mark Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,694
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lanie Shears | Labour Party | 751 | 44.3% | −5.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Janet Doyle | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 449 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Steer | Conservative Party | 390 | 23.0% | — | |
| 4 | Lesley Rideout | Liberal Democrats | 104 | 6.1% | — |
Great Parndon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,764
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eddie Johnson | Conservative Party | 789 | 44.7% | −5.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon John Vincent | Labour Party | 571 | 32.4% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Staunton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 404 | 22.9% | — |
Sumners and Kingsmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,730
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russell Perrin | Conservative Party | 797 | 46.1% | −3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Allan Jolley | Labour Party | 582 | 33.6% | — | |
| 3 | Steve Witt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 351 | 20.3% | — |
Old Harlow · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,912
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Garnett | Conservative Party | 885 | 46.3% | −3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eugenie Harvey | Labour Party | 650 | 34.0% | — | |
| 3 | Harry Mason | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 311 | 16.3% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Millington | Liberal Democrats | 66 | 3.5% | — |
Bush Fair · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,706
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Ingall | Labour Party | 796 | 46.7% | −3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Patsy Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 429 | 25.1% | — | |
| 3 | Ash Malik | Conservative Party | 370 | 21.7% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Robins | Liberal Democrats | 111 | 6.5% | — |
Netteswell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,571
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bibi Forman | Labour Party | 749 | 47.7% | −2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Amanda Maison | Conservative Party | 372 | 23.7% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Leverett | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 361 | 23.0% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Thurston | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 5.7% | — |
Toddbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,655
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Waite | Labour Party | 835 | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Steer | Conservative Party | 412 | 24.9% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Ward | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 408 | 24.7% | — |
Little Parndon and Hare Street · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,878
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Clempner | Labour Party | 1,021 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Lamb | Conservative Party | 492 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Richardson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 365 | 19.4% | — |
Church Langley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,811
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Carter | Conservative Party | 997 | 55.1% | +5.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jerry Crawford | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 465 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jake Shepherd | Labour Party | 349 | 19.3% | — |