← Harlow (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Harlow 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 6,288 | 38.7% | 7 | 63.6% | 5 | 45.5% | +2 |
| Conservative Party | 5,762 | 35.5% | 4 | 36.4% | 4 | 36.4% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 2,380 | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 9.1% | -1 |
| HlowAll | 1,333 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 9.1% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 480 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 16,243 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Staple Tye · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · −9.5 pts below quota
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 1 seat · won at 40.9% · −9.1 pts below quota
- Harlow Common · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · −7.5 pts below quota
- Bush Fair · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · −7.5 pts below quota
- Mark Hall · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · −7.5 pts below quota
- Netteswell · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Great Parndon · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · −4.1 pts below quota
- Toddbrook · 1 seat · won at 51.4% · above quota
- Old Harlow · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
- Church Langley · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Little Parndon and Hare Street · 1 seat · won at 56.7% · above quota
Race results
Staple Tye · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,148
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Strachan | Labour Party | 465 | 40.5% | −9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stevie Souter | Conservative Party | 364 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Gough | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 319 | 27.8% | — |
Sumners and Kingsmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,412
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clive Souter | Conservative Party | 578 | 40.9% | −9.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jake Payne | Labour Party | 429 | 30.4% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Leverett | HlowAll | 405 | 28.7% | — |
Harlow Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,523
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Wilkinson | Labour Party | 647 | 42.5% | −7.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Steer | Conservative Party | 381 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Dan Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 294 | 19.3% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Carr | HlowAll | 201 | 13.2% | — |
Bush Fair · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,447
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jodi Dunne | Labour Party | 615 | 42.5% | −7.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andreea Hardware | Conservative Party | 438 | 30.3% | — | |
| 3 | Anita Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 302 | 20.9% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Robins | Liberal Democrats | 92 | 6.4% | — |
Mark Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,441
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Davis | Labour Party | 613 | 42.5% | −7.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Holloway | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 354 | 24.6% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Colley | Conservative Party | 335 | 23.2% | — | |
| 4 | Lesley Rideout | Liberal Democrats | 139 | 9.6% | — |
Netteswell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,261
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nancy Watson | Labour Party | 571 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Colleen Morrison | Conservative Party | 314 | 24.9% | — | |
| 3 | Edward Hockham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 246 | 19.5% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Thurston | Liberal Democrats | 130 | 10.3% | — |
Great Parndon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,485
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Carter | Conservative Party | 681 | 45.9% | −4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicholas Taylor | HlowAll | 416 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Allan Jolley | Labour Party | 388 | 26.1% | — |
Toddbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,387
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frances Mason | Labour Party | 713 | 51.4% | +1.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Reynolds | Conservative Party | 363 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Troup | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 311 | 22.4% | — |
Old Harlow · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,849
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Livings | Conservative Party | 969 | 52.4% | +2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Thornton | Labour Party | 569 | 30.8% | — | |
| 3 | Harry Mason | HlowAll | 311 | 16.8% | — |
Church Langley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,809
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Johnson | Conservative Party | 982 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Colin Monehen | Labour Party | 439 | 24.3% | — | |
| 3 | Patsy Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 269 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Millington | Liberal Democrats | 119 | 6.6% | — |
Little Parndon and Hare Street · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,481
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Clark | Labour Party | 839 | 56.7% | +6.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adam Jolles | Conservative Party | 357 | 24.1% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Staunton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 285 | 19.2% | — |