← Havant (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Havant 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 13,094 | 46.9% | 11 | 78.6% | 7 | 50.0% | +4 |
| Labour Party | 5,764 | 20.7% | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 21.4% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 5,048 | 18.1% | 2 | 14.3% | 2 | 14.3% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,976 | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 14.3% | -2 |
| British National Party | 12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 27,894 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Battins · 1 seat · won at 31.5% · −18.5 pts below quota
- Warren Park · 1 seat · won at 36.2% · −13.8 pts below quota
- Bondfields · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · −12.8 pts below quota
- Stakes · 1 seat · won at 39.9% · −10.1 pts below quota
- Hayling East · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · −7.4 pts below quota
- St Faith's · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
- Barncroft · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Purbrook · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · −1.6 pts below quota
- Bedhampton · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Cowplain · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
- Emsworth · 1 seat · won at 52.7% · above quota
- Hayling West · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Waterloo · 1 seat · won at 62.0% · above quota
- Hart Plain · 1 seat · won at 62.3% · above quota
Race results
Battins · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 31.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,013
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Carpenter | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 319 | 31.5% | −18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ralph Cousins | Labour Party | 255 | 25.2% | — | |
| 3 | Johanna Lowe | Liberal Democrats | 243 | 24.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ian Payne | Conservative Party | 196 | 19.3% | — |
Warren Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 884
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Davis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 320 | 36.2% | −13.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Brown | Labour Party | 305 | 34.5% | — | |
| 3 | Hakan Ustabas | Conservative Party | 131 | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Margaret Brown | Liberal Democrats | 128 | 14.5% | — |
Bondfields · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,135
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terence Hart | Labour Party | 422 | 37.2% | −12.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Edmund Whiffen | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 272 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Curtis Stanfield | Conservative Party | 267 | 23.5% | — | |
| 4 | Catherine Billam | Liberal Democrats | 174 | 15.3% | — |
Stakes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,774
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dianne Lloyd | Conservative Party | 707 | 39.9% | −10.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carole Newnham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 519 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Anthony Berry | Labour Party | 364 | 20.5% | — | |
| 4 | Ann Bazley | Liberal Democrats | 184 | 10.4% | — |
Hayling East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,630
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lynne Turner | Conservative Party | 1,121 | 42.6% | −7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lesley Marsden | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 820 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Coates | Labour Party | 527 | 20.0% | — | |
| 4 | Natalie Willcocks | Liberal Democrats | 162 | 6.2% | — |
St Faith's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,658
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Guest | Conservative Party | 1,159 | 43.6% | −6.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philip Munday | Labour Party | 693 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Coates | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 436 | 16.4% | — | |
| 4 | Jane Briggs | Liberal Democrats | 370 | 13.9% | — |
Barncroft · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 921
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yvonne Weeks | Conservative Party | 417 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brenda Kerrin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 251 | 27.3% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Pearson | Labour Party | 209 | 22.7% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Bolt | Liberal Democrats | 44 | 4.8% | — |
Purbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,232
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caren Howard | Conservative Party | 1,081 | 48.4% | −1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anthony Gundry | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 560 | 25.1% | — | |
| 3 | Patricia Thomson | Labour Party | 400 | 17.9% | — | |
| 4 | Hilary Bolt | Liberal Democrats | 191 | 8.6% | — |
Bedhampton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,154
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Smith | Conservative Party | 1,051 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philippa Gray | Liberal Democrats | 750 | 34.8% | — | |
| 3 | Freya Savidge-Conway | Labour Party | 353 | 16.4% | — |
Cowplain · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,161
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Keast | Conservative Party | 1,095 | 50.7% | +0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Boxall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 545 | 25.2% | — | |
| 3 | Kenneth Monks | Labour Party | 293 | 13.6% | — | |
| 4 | John Jacobs | Liberal Democrats | 228 | 10.6% | — |
Emsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,260
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carole-Mary Bowerman | Conservative Party | 1,718 | 52.7% | +2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Bilbe | Labour Party | 637 | 19.5% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Maple | Liberal Democrats | 467 | 14.3% | — | |
| 4 | Brian Kerrin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 438 | 13.4% | — |
Hayling West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,619
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanne Thomas | Conservative Party | 1,384 | 52.8% | +2.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Humphrey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 568 | 21.7% | — | |
| 3 | Sheree Earnshaw | Labour Party | 418 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Gray | Liberal Democrats | 237 | 9.0% | — | |
| 5 | John-Laurence Moore | British National Party | 12 | 0.5% | — |
Waterloo · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,372
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Wade | Conservative Party | 1,471 | 62.0% | +12.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Fencott | Labour Party | 460 | 19.4% | — | |
| 3 | Scott Richardson | Liberal Democrats | 441 | 18.6% | — |
Hart Plain · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,081
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elaine Shimbart | Conservative Party | 1,296 | 62.3% | +12.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Howard Sherlock | Labour Party | 428 | 20.6% | — | |
| 3 | Fiona Drinan | Liberal Democrats | 357 | 17.2% | — |