← Ipswich (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Ipswich 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 14,654 | 46.1% | 13 | 76.5% | 9 | 52.9% | +4 |
| Conservative Party | 10,797 | 34.0% | 3 | 17.6% | 6 | 35.3% | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,831 | 8.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 2,018 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,497 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 31,797 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- St Margaret's · 1 seat · won at 37.3% · −12.7 pts below quota
- Holywells · 1 seat · won at 43.1% · −6.9 pts below quota
- Whitton · 1 seat · won at 45.6% · −4.4 pts below quota
- Stoke Park · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · −3.3 pts below quota
- Sprites · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · −3.1 pts below quota
- Whitehouse · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Bixley · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
- Alexandra · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
- Bridge · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
- Gipping · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Westgate · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- St John's · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
- Rushmere · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
- Priory Heath · 1 seat · won at 59.2% · above quota
- Castle Hill · 2 seats · won at 44.0% · above quota
- Gainsborough · 1 seat · won at 68.2% · above quota
Race results
St Margaret's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,863
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliver Holmes | Liberal Democrats | 1,068 | 37.3% | −12.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Hardman | Conservative Party | 896 | 31.3% | — | |
| 3 | Steven Reynolds | Labour Party | 588 | 20.5% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Iddon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 178 | 6.2% | — | |
| 5 | Kirsty Wilmot | Green Party | 133 | 4.6% | — |
Holywells · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,917
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Studd | Labour Party | 827 | 43.1% | −6.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geraldine Mills | Conservative Party | 817 | 42.6% | — | |
| 3 | Thomas Wilmot | Green Party | 142 | 7.4% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Chambers | Liberal Democrats | 131 | 6.8% | — |
Whitton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,826
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sophie Meudec | Labour Party | 833 | 45.6% | −4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Downie | Conservative Party | 535 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Colin Gould | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 356 | 19.5% | — | |
| 4 | Moira Kleissner | Liberal Democrats | 102 | 5.6% | — |
Stoke Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,787
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Grant | Labour Party | 835 | 46.7% | −3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Benjamin Harvey | Conservative Party | 815 | 45.6% | — | |
| 3 | Trevor Powell | Liberal Democrats | 137 | 7.7% | — |
Sprites · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,908
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Smart | Labour Party | 895 | 46.9% | −3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Hall | Conservative Party | 603 | 31.6% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Cotterell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 372 | 19.5% | — | |
| 4 | Gareth Jones | Liberal Democrats | 38 | 2.0% | — |
Whitehouse · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,583
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glen Chisholm | Labour Party | 773 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eric Pearl | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 385 | 24.3% | — | |
| 3 | David Heffer | Conservative Party | 333 | 21.0% | — | |
| 4 | Anthony Dooley | Green Party | 50 | 3.2% | — | |
| 5 | Julie Fletcher | Liberal Democrats | 42 | 2.7% | — |
Bixley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,229
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Carnall | Conservative Party | 1,142 | 51.2% | +1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Anderson | Labour Party | 625 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | David Hurlbut | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 307 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Colin Boyd | Liberal Democrats | 155 | 7.0% | — |
Alexandra · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,893
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Leeder | Labour Party | 1,019 | 53.8% | +3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gangabada Perera | Conservative Party | 478 | 25.3% | — | |
| 3 | Barry Broom | Green Party | 219 | 11.6% | — | |
| 4 | Kenneth Toye | Liberal Democrats | 177 | 9.4% | — |
Bridge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,597
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryony Rudkin | Labour Party | 887 | 55.5% | +5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Dighton | Conservative Party | 419 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Charlotte Armstrong | Green Party | 191 | 12.0% | — | |
| 4 | Timothy Lockington | Liberal Democrats | 100 | 6.3% | — |
Gipping · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,573
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Ellesmere | Labour Party | 896 | 57.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kevin Algar | Conservative Party | 434 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Shaun McDonald | Green Party | 144 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Conrad Packwood | Liberal Democrats | 99 | 6.3% | — |
Westgate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,512
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carole Jones | Labour Party | 865 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Felix-Thomas | Conservative Party | 330 | 21.8% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Hore | Liberal Democrats | 193 | 12.8% | — | |
| 4 | John Mann | Green Party | 124 | 8.2% | — |
St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,196
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Macdonald | Labour Party | 1,261 | 57.4% | +7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jose Esteves | Conservative Party | 660 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Edmund Harrison | Green Party | 173 | 7.9% | — | |
| 4 | Robin Whitmore | Liberal Democrats | 102 | 4.6% | — |
Rushmere · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,231
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alasdair Ross | Labour Party | 1,285 | 57.6% | +7.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Cawthorn | Conservative Party | 712 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Maxwell Phillips | Green Party | 125 | 5.6% | — | |
| 4 | Nicholas Jacob | Liberal Democrats | 109 | 4.9% | — |
Priory Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,732
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Barber | Labour Party | 1,026 | 59.2% | +9.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Shannon | Conservative Party | 558 | 32.2% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Grange | Liberal Democrats | 148 | 8.5% | — |
Castle Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,699
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Fisher | Conservative Party | 823 | 24.2% | 48.5% | +15.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robin Vickery | Conservative Party | 748 | 22.0% | 44.0% | +10.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Annabel Mednick | Labour Party | 529 | 15.6% | 31.1% | — | |
| 4 | John Harris | Labour Party | 451 | 13.3% | 26.6% | — | |
| 5 | Philippa Gordon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 420 | 12.4% | 24.7% | — | |
| 6 | Malcolm Mitchell | Liberal Democrats | 230 | 6.8% | 13.5% | — | |
| 7 | Elizabeth Smith | Green Party | 196 | 5.8% | 11.5% | — |
Gainsborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,553
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Connelly | Labour Party | 1,059 | 68.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Quaid Combstock | Conservative Party | 494 | 31.8% | — |