← Lincoln (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Lincoln 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 33 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 26,399 | 50.2% | 27 | 81.8% | 18 | 54.5% | +9 |
| Conservative Party | 16,386 | 31.2% | 6 | 18.2% | 11 | 33.3% | -5 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,210 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 6.1% | -2 |
| Green Party | 2,700 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,628 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% | -1 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 254 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 52,577 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2016 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and on the eve of it (2015), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Hartsholme · 3 seats · won at 34.6% · above quota
- Witham · 3 seats · won at 39.5% · above quota
- Birchwood · 3 seats · won at 40.1% · above quota
- Minster · 3 seats · won at 48.0% · above quota
- Glebe · 3 seats · won at 48.1% · above quota
- Park · 3 seats · won at 49.1% · above quota
- Moorland · 3 seats · won at 50.3% · above quota
- Abbey · 3 seats · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Carholme · 3 seats · won at 59.1% · above quota
- Boultham · 3 seats · won at 60.0% · above quota
- Castle · 3 seats · won at 62.0% · above quota
Race results
Hartsholme · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,044
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronald Hills | Conservative Party | 887 | 14.5% | 43.4% | +18.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Biff Bean | Labour Party | 860 | 14.0% | 42.1% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Andrew Kerry | Conservative Party | 707 | 11.5% | 34.6% | +9.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Marika Riddick | Conservative Party | 702 | 11.5% | 34.4% | — | |
| 5 | Adelle Ellis | Labour Party | 687 | 11.2% | 33.6% | — | |
| 6 | Liz Massey | Labour Party | 663 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 7 | Nick Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 403 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — | |
| 8 | Jeff McGeachie | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 396 | 6.5% | 19.4% | — | |
| 9 | Nicola Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 389 | 6.3% | 19.0% | — | |
| 10 | Angela Porter | Green Party | 132 | 2.2% | 6.5% | — | |
| 11 | Mervyn Hobden | Liberal Democrats | 109 | 1.8% | 5.3% | — | |
| 12 | Tony Gaskelll | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 1.7% | 5.2% | — | |
| 13 | Peaceful Warrior | Green Party | 90 | 1.5% | 4.4% | — |
Witham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,834
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Weaver | Conservative Party | 790 | 14.4% | 43.1% | +18.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas Dyer | Conservative Party | 756 | 13.7% | 41.2% | +16.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jane Loffhagen | Labour Party | 724 | 13.2% | 39.5% | +14.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bill Bilton | Labour Party | 710 | 12.9% | 38.7% | — | |
| 5 | Matthew Wilson | Conservative Party | 675 | 12.3% | 36.8% | — | |
| 6 | Funmi Adeyemi | Labour Party | 620 | 11.3% | 33.8% | — | |
| 7 | Tim Richens | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 442 | 8.0% | 24.1% | — | |
| 8 | Barry Stoneham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 369 | 6.7% | 20.1% | — | |
| 9 | Andrew Byrne | Liberal Democrats | 217 | 3.9% | 11.8% | — | |
| 10 | Elizabeth Bathory-Porther | Green Party | 199 | 3.6% | 10.9% | — |
Birchwood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,615
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmund Strengiel | Conservative Party | 703 | 14.5% | 43.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rosanne Kirk | Labour Party | 682 | 14.1% | 42.2% | +17.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Paul Gowen | Labour Party | 647 | 13.4% | 40.1% | +15.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | David Denman | Conservative Party | 644 | 13.3% | 39.9% | — | |
| 5 | Tony Gray | Labour Party | 618 | 12.8% | 38.3% | — | |
| 6 | Jenine Butroid | Conservative Party | 498 | 10.3% | 30.8% | — | |
| 7 | Elaine Warde | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 397 | 8.2% | 24.6% | — | |
| 8 | Tony Wells | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 383 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 9 | John Radford | Green Party | 167 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 10 | Morgan Aran | Liberal Democrats | 107 | 2.2% | 6.6% | — |
Minster · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,709
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yvonne Bodger | Conservative Party | 843 | 16.4% | 49.3% | +24.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Naomi Tweddle | Labour Party | 824 | 16.1% | 48.2% | +23.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Liz Maxwell | Labour Party | 820 | 16.0% | 48.0% | +23.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Dave Callow | Labour Party | 783 | 15.3% | 45.8% | — | |
| 5 | Tony Higgs | Conservative Party | 757 | 14.8% | 44.3% | — | |
| 6 | Christopher Reid | Conservative Party | 705 | 13.8% | 41.3% | — | |
| 7 | James Easter | Liberal Democrats | 204 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 8 | Nicole Pouncey | Liberal Democrats | 191 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — |
Glebe · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,538
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ric Metcalfe | Labour Party | 841 | 18.2% | 54.7% | +29.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jackie Kirk | Labour Party | 778 | 16.9% | 50.6% | +25.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Patrick Vaughan | Labour Party | 740 | 16.0% | 48.1% | +23.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Andrew Bradley | Conservative Party | 528 | 11.4% | 34.3% | — | |
| 5 | Jamie Bartch | Conservative Party | 510 | 11.1% | 33.2% | — | |
| 6 | Peter McNeil | Conservative Party | 484 | 10.5% | 31.5% | — | |
| 7 | Fiona McKenna | Green Party | 207 | 4.5% | 13.5% | — | |
| 8 | Norman Haigh | Green Party | 194 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 9 | Adam Holman | Green Party | 155 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — | |
| 10 | Stephen Lonsdale | Liberal Democrats | 101 | 2.2% | 6.6% | — | |
| 11 | Keri Lowe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 75 | 1.6% | 4.9% | — |
Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,380
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Burke | Labour Party | 799 | 19.3% | 57.9% | +32.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Burke | Labour Party | 735 | 17.8% | 53.3% | +28.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Helana Mair | Labour Party | 677 | 16.4% | 49.1% | +24.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Roly Bunce | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 280 | 6.8% | 20.3% | — | |
| 5 | Liam Sperrin | Conservative Party | 245 | 5.9% | 17.8% | — | |
| 6 | Richard Butroid | Conservative Party | 221 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 7 | Sally Horscroft | Green Party | 213 | 5.1% | 15.4% | — | |
| 8 | Allegra Wild | Green Party | 211 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — | |
| 9 | Janusz Kala | Conservative Party | 210 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — | |
| 10 | Lauren Finka | Green Party | 189 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 11 | Natasha Chapman | Liberal Democrats | 159 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — | |
| 12 | Sean Oxpring | Liberal Democrats | 108 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 13 | Aarron Smith | Liberal Democrats | 92 | 2.2% | 6.7% | — |
Moorland · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,508
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geoff Ellis | Labour Party | 905 | 20.0% | 60.0% | +35.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bob Bushell | Labour Party | 857 | 18.9% | 56.8% | +31.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Adrianna McNulty | Labour Party | 759 | 16.8% | 50.3% | +25.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | David Kerry | Conservative Party | 557 | 12.3% | 36.9% | — | |
| 5 | Sharon Longthorne | Conservative Party | 494 | 10.9% | 32.8% | — | |
| 6 | Vasos Melides | Conservative Party | 366 | 8.1% | 24.3% | — | |
| 7 | Kevin Harrington | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 340 | 7.5% | 22.5% | — | |
| 8 | Lynn Pepper | Liberal Democrats | 136 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 9 | Ross Pepper | Liberal Democrats | 111 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — |
Abbey · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,515
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kathleen Brothwell | Labour Party | 877 | 19.3% | 57.9% | +32.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fay Smith | Labour Party | 833 | 18.3% | 55.0% | +30.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Peter West | Labour Party | 790 | 17.4% | 52.1% | +27.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Graham Bratby | Conservative Party | 381 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 5 | Douglas Collison | Conservative Party | 303 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — | |
| 6 | Caleb Harris | Conservative Party | 286 | 6.3% | 18.9% | — | |
| 7 | Chris Butler | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 271 | 6.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 8 | Kenneth Yates | Green Party | 247 | 5.4% | 16.3% | — | |
| 9 | Clare Smalley | Liberal Democrats | 191 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 10 | Michael Brown | Liberal Democrats | 188 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 11 | Nick Parker | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 64 | 1.4% | 4.2% | — | |
| 12 | Gavyn Graham | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 61 | 1.3% | 4.0% | — | |
| 13 | Jac Green | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 54 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — |
Carholme · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 59.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,740
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Lee | Labour Party | 1,176 | 22.5% | 67.6% | +42.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Murray | Labour Party | 1,076 | 20.6% | 61.9% | +36.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tony Speakman | Labour Party | 1,029 | 19.7% | 59.1% | +34.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Matthew Fido | Conservative Party | 414 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 5 | David Smith | Conservative Party | 341 | 6.5% | 19.6% | — | |
| 6 | Katya Roures Salvador | Conservative Party | 311 | 6.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 7 | Nicola Watson | Green Party | 293 | 5.6% | 16.8% | — | |
| 8 | Benjamin Loryman | Green Party | 223 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — | |
| 9 | Christopher Padley | Green Party | 180 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 10 | Charles Shaw | Liberal Democrats | 176 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — |
Boultham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,267
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ralph Toofany | Labour Party | 778 | 20.5% | 61.4% | +36.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gill Clayton-Hewson | Labour Party | 764 | 20.1% | 60.3% | +35.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gary Hewson | Labour Party | 760 | 20.0% | 60.0% | +35.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Alan Briggs | Conservative Party | 393 | 10.3% | 31.0% | — | |
| 5 | Caroline Wilson | Conservative Party | 312 | 8.2% | 24.6% | — | |
| 6 | Roger Hansard | Conservative Party | 297 | 7.8% | 23.4% | — | |
| 7 | Hannah Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 243 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 8 | Heather Cullen | Liberal Democrats | 146 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — | |
| 9 | Ryan Cullen | Liberal Democrats | 107 | 2.8% | 8.4% | — |
Castle · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,376
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Hanrahan | Labour Party | 867 | 21.0% | 63.0% | +38.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Donald Nannestad | Labour Party | 867 | 21.0% | 63.0% | +38.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Loraine Woolley | Labour Party | 853 | 20.7% | 62.0% | +37.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Rod Archer | Conservative Party | 378 | 9.2% | 27.5% | — | |
| 5 | David Wright | Conservative Party | 370 | 9.0% | 26.9% | — | |
| 6 | Malcolm Barham | Conservative Party | 318 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 7 | David Warde | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 297 | 7.2% | 21.6% | — | |
| 8 | Daphne Shaw | Liberal Democrats | 179 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — |