← Lincoln (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Lincoln 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 7,805 | 44.2% | 10 | 90.9% | 5 | 45.5% | +5 |
| Conservative Party | 5,430 | 30.7% | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 36.4% | -3 |
| Green Party | 2,264 | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 9.1% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,074 | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 9.1% | -1 |
| Independent | 86 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 17,659 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Abbey · 1 seat · won at 41.6% · −8.4 pts below quota
- Minster · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · −7.1 pts below quota
- Glebe · 1 seat · won at 43.5% · −6.5 pts below quota
- Carholme · 1 seat · won at 43.5% · −6.5 pts below quota
- Moorland · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Boultham · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · −2.6 pts below quota
- Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Castle · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · −0.5 pts below quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
- Witham · 1 seat · won at 55.3% · above quota
Race results
Abbey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,631
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Loffhagen | Labour Party | 679 | 41.6% | −8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clare Smalley | Liberal Democrats | 478 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Adam Clegg | Conservative Party | 260 | 15.9% | — | |
| 4 | Edward Francis | Green Party | 214 | 13.1% | — |
Minster · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,738
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naomi Tweddle | Labour Party | 745 | 42.9% | −7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jake Monteiro | Conservative Party | 633 | 36.4% | — | |
| 3 | Valerie Wilkinson | Green Party | 202 | 11.6% | — | |
| 4 | Nicole Pouncey | Liberal Democrats | 158 | 9.1% | — |
Glebe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,471
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackie Kirk | Labour Party | 640 | 43.5% | −6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Storer | Conservative Party | 480 | 32.6% | — | |
| 3 | Fiona McKenna | Green Party | 232 | 15.8% | — | |
| 4 | William Francis | Liberal Democrats | 119 | 8.1% | — |
Carholme · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,895
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Murray | Labour Party | 825 | 43.5% | −6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Oliver Craven | Liberal Democrats | 609 | 32.1% | — | |
| 3 | Alexander Newman-Taylor | Conservative Party | 198 | 10.4% | — | |
| 4 | Nicola Watson | Green Party | 177 | 9.3% | — | |
| 5 | Charles Shaw | Independent | 86 | 4.5% | — |
Moorland · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,404
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Bushell | Labour Party | 638 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Fido | Conservative Party | 505 | 36.0% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Padley | Green Party | 170 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Ross Pepper | Liberal Democrats | 91 | 6.5% | — |
Hartsholme · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,039
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biff Bean | Labour Party | 965 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sophie Bennett | Conservative Party | 713 | 35.0% | — | |
| 3 | John Radford | Green Party | 268 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Chapman | Liberal Democrats | 93 | 4.6% | — |
Boultham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,263
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Bushell | Labour Party | 599 | 47.4% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sharon Longthorne | Conservative Party | 380 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Simon Tooke | Green Party | 176 | 13.9% | — | |
| 4 | Kian Hearnshaw | Liberal Democrats | 108 | 8.6% | — |
Birchwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,624
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosanne Kirk | Labour Party | 771 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dave Clarkson | Conservative Party | 618 | 38.1% | — | |
| 3 | Seth Goddard | Green Party | 154 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Matthew Brooks | Liberal Democrats | 81 | 5.0% | — |
Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,518
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rebecca Longbottom | Labour Party | 752 | 49.5% | −0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Oliver Peeke | Conservative Party | 390 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Lynne Allison | Green Party | 259 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | James Brown | Liberal Democrats | 117 | 7.7% | — |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,213
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Burke | Labour Party | 669 | 55.2% | +5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Butroid | Conservative Party | 222 | 18.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sally Horscroft | Green Party | 210 | 17.3% | — | |
| 4 | Natasha Chapman | Liberal Democrats | 112 | 9.2% | — |
Witham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,863
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Dyer | Conservative Party | 1,031 | 55.3% | +5.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Calum Watt | Labour Party | 522 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Michele Servaud | Green Party | 202 | 10.8% | — | |
| 4 | Oliver Hemming | Liberal Democrats | 108 | 5.8% | — |