← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Mole Valley 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 9,680 | 50.4% | 11 | 78.6% | 8 | 57.1% | +3 |
| Conservative Party | 4,697 | 24.5% | 2 | 14.3% | 4 | 28.6% | -2 |
| Green Party | 1,555 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Ashtead | 1,277 | 6.6% | 1 | 7.1% | 1 | 7.1% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 988 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 746 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 234 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Social Democratic Party | 32 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 19,209 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Leatherhead North · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · −7.4 pts below quota
- Okewood · 1 seat · won at 43.5% · −6.5 pts below quota
- Brockham, Betchworth and Buckland · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · −4.2 pts below quota
- Charlwood · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · −3.6 pts below quota
- Capel, Leigh and Newdigate · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
- Beare Green · 1 seat · won at 51.8% · above quota
- Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
- Holmwoods · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Box Hill and Headley · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
- Bookham South · 1 seat · won at 61.0% · above quota
- Ashtead Village · 1 seat · won at 67.3% · above quota
- Bookham North · 1 seat · won at 67.6% · above quota
- Dorking South · 1 seat · won at 67.6% · above quota
- Leith Hill · 1 seat · won at 76.1% · above quota
Race results
Leatherhead North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,706
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keira Vyvyan-Robinson | Liberal Democrats | 726 | 42.6% | −7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Pircell | Conservative Party | 564 | 33.1% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Coote | Labour Party | 175 | 10.3% | — | |
| 4 | David Payne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 154 | 9.0% | — | |
| 5 | Vicki Elcoate | Green Party | 87 | 5.1% | — |
Okewood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 552
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helyn Clack | Conservative Party | 240 | 43.5% | −6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Round | Liberal Democrats | 169 | 30.6% | — | |
| 3 | Leigh Jones | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 76 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Jennifer Smith | Green Party | 67 | 12.1% | — |
Brockham, Betchworth and Buckland · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,718
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Potter | Liberal Democrats | 787 | 45.8% | −4.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Muggeridge | Conservative Party | 636 | 37.0% | — | |
| 3 | Roger Abbot | Green Party | 260 | 15.1% | — | |
| 4 | Kevin Stroud | Labour Party | 35 | 2.0% | — |
Charlwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 608
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Yarwood | Conservative Party | 282 | 46.4% | −3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lisa Scott | Green Party | 171 | 28.1% | — | |
| 3 | Marjorie Dixon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 86 | 14.1% | — | |
| 4 | Timothy Brooks | Liberal Democrats | 69 | 11.3% | — |
Capel, Leigh and Newdigate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,640
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lesley Bushnell | Liberal Democrats | 835 | 50.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Corinna Osborne-Patterson | Conservative Party | 586 | 35.7% | — | |
| 3 | Geoff Cox | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 154 | 9.4% | — | |
| 4 | John Roche | Green Party | 65 | 4.0% | — |
Beare Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 685
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caroline Salmon | Liberal Democrats | 355 | 51.8% | +1.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michelle Watson | Conservative Party | 220 | 32.1% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Bignell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 68 | 9.9% | — | |
| 4 | Muriel Passmore | Green Party | 22 | 3.2% | — | |
| 5 | Christine Foster | Labour Party | 20 | 2.9% | — |
Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 828
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elsie Rosam | Liberal Democrats | 440 | 53.1% | +3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Duncan Irvine | Independent | 234 | 28.3% | — | |
| 3 | Gavin Musgrave | Conservative Party | 102 | 12.3% | — | |
| 4 | Susan McGrath | Green Party | 36 | 4.3% | — | |
| 5 | Kim Coote | Labour Party | 16 | 1.9% | — |
Holmwoods · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,676
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claire Malcolmson | Liberal Democrats | 912 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fiona Meadows | Conservative Party | 336 | 20.0% | — | |
| 3 | Margaret Curran | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 196 | 11.7% | — | |
| 4 | Tracey Harwood | Green Party | 120 | 7.2% | — | |
| 5 | Laurence Nasskau | Labour Party | 80 | 4.8% | — | |
| 6 | Pip English | Social Democratic Party | 32 | 1.9% | — |
Box Hill and Headley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 820
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Preedy | Liberal Democrats | 449 | 54.8% | +4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Malcolm Ladell | Conservative Party | 276 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Marion Woodville | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 95 | 11.6% | — |
Bookham South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,167
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nancy Goodacre | Liberal Democrats | 1,321 | 61.0% | +11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Chandler | Conservative Party | 648 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Damian McDevitt | Green Party | 158 | 7.3% | — | |
| 4 | Giles Cawley | Labour Party | 40 | 1.8% | — |
Ashtead Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,897
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Hunt | Ashtead | 1,277 | 67.3% | +17.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rita Antonelli | Liberal Democrats | 236 | 12.4% | — | |
| 3 | Angus Gillan | Conservative Party | 219 | 11.5% | — | |
| 4 | Jacquetta Fewster | Green Party | 85 | 4.5% | — | |
| 5 | Clive Scott | Labour Party | 80 | 4.2% | — |
Bookham North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,800
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger Adams | Liberal Democrats | 1,217 | 67.6% | +17.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Essex | Green Party | 455 | 25.3% | — | |
| 3 | Marc Green | Labour Party | 128 | 7.1% | — |
Dorking South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,413
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Cooksey | Liberal Democrats | 1,632 | 67.6% | +17.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Roger Jones | Conservative Party | 450 | 18.6% | — | |
| 3 | James Stringer | Labour Party | 172 | 7.1% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Foulston | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 159 | 6.6% | — |
Leith Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 699
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hazel Watson | Liberal Democrats | 532 | 76.1% | +26.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Mir | Conservative Party | 138 | 19.7% | — | |
| 3 | Lucy Barford | Green Party | 29 | 4.1% | — |