← Newcastle-under-Lyme (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Newcastle-under-Lyme 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 9,697 | 37.9% | 11 | 55.0% | 8 | 40.0% | +3 |
| Conservative Party | 7,724 | 30.2% | 7 | 35.0% | 6 | 30.0% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,478 | 17.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 20.0% | -4 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,853 | 11.1% | 2 | 10.0% | 2 | 10.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 396 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 242 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| EDP | 148 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 65 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 25,603 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Halmerend · 1 seat · won at 32.2% · −17.8 pts below quota
- Clayton · 1 seat · won at 38.9% · −11.1 pts below quota
- Ravenscliffe · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · −10.0 pts below quota
- Porthill · 1 seat · won at 44.4% · −5.6 pts below quota
- Chesterton · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · −5.2 pts below quota
- Seabridge · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · −3.8 pts below quota
- Audley and Bignall End · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Newchapel · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Loggerheads and Whitmore · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Westlands · 2 seats · won at 35.3% · above quota
- Cross Heath · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Kidsgrove · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Holditch · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Bradwell · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
- May Bank · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Town · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Butt Lane · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
- Thistleberry · 1 seat · won at 56.1% · above quota
- Talke · 1 seat · won at 59.8% · above quota
Race results
Halmerend · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 32.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,048
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laura Bloor | Conservative Party | 337 | 32.2% | −17.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marie Joyce | Labour Party | 270 | 25.8% | — | |
| 3 | Hilary Jones | Liberal Democrats | 245 | 23.4% | — | |
| 4 | Neil Farrow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 196 | 18.7% | — |
Clayton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,231
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Parker | Conservative Party | 479 | 38.9% | −11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Shenton | Labour Party | 464 | 37.7% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Coventry | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 237 | 19.3% | — | |
| 4 | Robin Studd | Liberal Democrats | 51 | 4.1% | — |
Ravenscliffe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,059
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laura Dillon | Labour Party | 424 | 40.0% | −10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoffrey Locke | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 341 | 32.2% | — | |
| 3 | Gill Burnett | Conservative Party | 294 | 27.8% | — |
Porthill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 998
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Cooper | Conservative Party | 443 | 44.4% | −5.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Snape | Labour Party | 366 | 36.7% | — | |
| 3 | Dean Page | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 18.9% | — |
Chesterton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,308
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allison Gardner | Labour Party | 586 | 44.8% | −5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Barlow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 413 | 31.6% | — | |
| 3 | Rachel Mundy | Conservative Party | 218 | 16.7% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Moore | Liberal Democrats | 74 | 5.7% | — | |
| 5 | Angela Craig | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 17 | 1.3% | — |
Seabridge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,399
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chloe Mancey | Conservative Party | 647 | 46.2% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Imogen Wilkes | Labour Party | 392 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Gary Fedtschyschak | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 276 | 19.7% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Andras | Liberal Democrats | 84 | 6.0% | — |
Audley and Bignall End · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,538
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Wilkes | Liberal Democrats | 727 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Moffat | Labour Party | 559 | 36.3% | — | |
| 3 | David Cooper | Conservative Party | 252 | 16.4% | — |
Newchapel · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 764
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionel Burch | Labour Party | 385 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jill Waring | Conservative Party | 379 | 49.6% | — |
Loggerheads and Whitmore · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,959
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Panter | Conservative Party | 1,010 | 51.6% | +1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Maria Foy | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 331 | 16.9% | — | |
| 3 | David Lee | Labour Party | 247 | 12.6% | — | |
| 4 | Gary White | Independent | 242 | 12.4% | — | |
| 5 | Verity Ventner | Green Party | 129 | 6.6% | — |
Westlands · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,468
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Hailstones | Conservative Party | 869 | 29.6% | 59.2% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Olszewski | Labour Party | 518 | 17.6% | 35.3% | +2.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Andrew Fox-Hewitt | Labour Party | 421 | 14.3% | 28.7% | — | |
| 4 | David Cooper | Conservative Party | 395 | 13.5% | 26.9% | — | |
| 5 | Edward Evans | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 253 | 8.6% | 17.2% | — | |
| 6 | Bernadette Wilde | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 199 | 6.8% | 13.6% | — | |
| 7 | Katharine Mitchell | Liberal Democrats | 119 | 4.1% | 8.1% | — | |
| 8 | Anne Adam | Green Party | 73 | 2.5% | 5.0% | — | |
| 9 | Gordon Pearson | Green Party | 55 | 1.9% | 3.7% | — | |
| 10 | Eric Durber | Liberal Democrats | 33 | 1.1% | 2.2% | — |
Cross Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,356
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joan Winfield | Labour Party | 705 | 52.0% | +2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lynn Dean | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 409 | 30.2% | — | |
| 3 | Rita Gilmore | Conservative Party | 160 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Nigel Jones | Liberal Democrats | 52 | 3.8% | — | |
| 5 | Jamie Rogers | Green Party | 30 | 2.2% | — |
Kidsgrove · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,207
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reginald Bailey | Labour Party | 631 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alexander Wright | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 395 | 32.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Heesom | Conservative Party | 146 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Becky Carter | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 35 | 2.9% | — |
Holditch · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 768
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Spence | Labour Party | 402 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gordon Davies | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 225 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Rupert Adcock | Conservative Party | 71 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Bryn Richards | Liberal Democrats | 57 | 7.4% | — | |
| 5 | Jack Williams | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 13 | 1.7% | — |
Bradwell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,360
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Jones | Labour Party | 732 | 53.8% | +3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wendy Rees | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 329 | 24.2% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Humphreys | Conservative Party | 254 | 18.7% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Virr | Liberal Democrats | 45 | 3.3% | — |
May Bank · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,793
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Matthews | Conservative Party | 974 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mick Clarke | Labour Party | 516 | 28.8% | — | |
| 3 | Kay Rees | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 140 | 7.8% | — | |
| 4 | Sean Adam | Green Party | 109 | 6.1% | — | |
| 5 | Edward Moss | Liberal Democrats | 54 | 3.0% | — |
Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 968
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Wright | Labour Party | 526 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alan Fox | Conservative Party | 201 | 20.8% | — | |
| 3 | Kevin Raftery | EDP | 148 | 15.3% | — | |
| 4 | Morgan Inwood | Liberal Democrats | 93 | 9.6% | — |
Butt Lane · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,195
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sylvia Burgess | Labour Party | 660 | 55.2% | +5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ray Williams | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 380 | 31.8% | — | |
| 3 | Pamela Jellyman | Conservative Party | 155 | 13.0% | — |
Thistleberry · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,825
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Reddish | Liberal Democrats | 1,023 | 56.1% | +6.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Forrester-O'Neill | Labour Party | 360 | 19.7% | — | |
| 3 | James Vernon | Conservative Party | 277 | 15.2% | — | |
| 4 | Rob Tring | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 165 | 9.0% | — |
Talke · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 892
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Stubbs | Labour Party | 533 | 59.8% | +9.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Stringer | Liberal Democrats | 196 | 22.0% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Cooper | Conservative Party | 163 | 18.3% | — |