← North East Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
North East Lincolnshire 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 12 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 9,661 | 35.7% | 7 | 58.3% | 5 | 41.7% | +2 |
| Conservative Party | 7,907 | 29.2% | 3 | 25.0% | 4 | 33.3% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 5,091 | 18.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 16.7% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,935 | 10.8% | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 8.3% | +1 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 833 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 667 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 27,094 | 100.0% | 12 | 100.0% | 12 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Park · 1 seat · won at 32.2% · −17.8 pts below quota
- Scartho · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · −14.8 pts below quota
- Croft Baker · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · −9.5 pts below quota
- Immingham · 1 seat · won at 42.3% · −7.7 pts below quota
- Sidney Sussex · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · −4.3 pts below quota
- Heneage · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · −2.6 pts below quota
- Yarborough · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · −1.7 pts below quota
- Freshney · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Humberston and New Waltham · 1 seat · won at 53.4% · above quota
- South · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
- East Marsh · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Haverstoe · 1 seat · won at 61.9% · above quota
Race results
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 32.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,812
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Barfield | Liberal Democrats | 905 | 32.2% | −17.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jonathan Spurr | Labour Party | 617 | 21.9% | — | |
| 3 | Tony Blake | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 586 | 20.8% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Johnson | Conservative Party | 541 | 19.2% | — | |
| 5 | Vicky Dunn | Green Party | 124 | 4.4% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Radford | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 39 | 1.4% | — |
Scartho · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,871
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ron Shepherd | Conservative Party | 1,011 | 35.2% | −14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Janet Goodwin | Labour Party | 813 | 28.3% | — | |
| 3 | Beckey Brumpton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 716 | 24.9% | — | |
| 4 | David de Freitas | Liberal Democrats | 313 | 10.9% | — | |
| 5 | Joe Carter | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 18 | 0.6% | — |
Croft Baker · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,410
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kathryn Wheatley | Labour Party | 975 | 40.5% | −9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Victoria Mutton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 551 | 22.9% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Rudkin | Conservative Party | 389 | 16.1% | — | |
| 4 | Roy Horobin | Liberal Democrats | 348 | 14.4% | — | |
| 5 | James Barker | Green Party | 99 | 4.1% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Barlow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 48 | 2.0% | — |
Immingham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,669
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Watson | Labour Party | 1,128 | 42.3% | −7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stewart Swinburn | Conservative Party | 1,073 | 40.2% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Cragg | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 282 | 10.6% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Reed | Green Party | 186 | 7.0% | — |
Sidney Sussex · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,722
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catherine Rogers | Labour Party | 787 | 45.7% | −4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tanya Brasted | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 538 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Callum Procter | Conservative Party | 246 | 14.3% | — | |
| 4 | Graham Nicholson | Liberal Democrats | 83 | 4.8% | — | |
| 5 | Angela Greenfield | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 68 | 3.9% | — |
Heneage · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,002
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ros James | Labour Party | 948 | 47.4% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Whittingham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 500 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Holly Hill | Conservative Party | 345 | 17.2% | — | |
| 4 | Gloria Lond | Liberal Democrats | 158 | 7.9% | — | |
| 5 | Val O'Flynn | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 51 | 2.5% | — |
Yarborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,095
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Hyldon-King | Labour Party | 1,012 | 48.3% | −1.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jane Whittingham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 590 | 28.2% | — | |
| 3 | Deborah Hill | Conservative Party | 453 | 21.6% | — | |
| 4 | Val Pow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 40 | 1.9% | — |
Freshney · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,793
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cliff Barber | Labour Party | 876 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Guy Haxby | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 434 | 24.2% | — | |
| 3 | Max Burnett | Conservative Party | 386 | 21.5% | — | |
| 4 | Andy Lingwood | Green Party | 68 | 3.8% | — | |
| 5 | Julian Best | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 29 | 1.6% | — |
Humberston and New Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,776
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Fenty | Conservative Party | 1,481 | 53.4% | +3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Monica Brasted | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 693 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Nichols | Labour Party | 519 | 18.7% | — | |
| 4 | Andy Dickson | Green Party | 54 | 1.9% | — | |
| 5 | David Mitchell | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 29 | 1.0% | — |
South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,701
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ray Oxby | Labour Party | 913 | 53.7% | +3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ludmila Berezina | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 483 | 28.4% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Hardy | Conservative Party | 251 | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Karen Manley | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 54 | 3.2% | — |
East Marsh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,576
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Rudd | Liberal Democrats | 901 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Trenchard | Labour Party | 507 | 32.2% | — | |
| 3 | Phil Tuplin | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 87 | 5.5% | — | |
| 4 | James Chaudry | Conservative Party | 81 | 5.1% | — |
Haverstoe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,667
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Parkinson | Conservative Party | 1,650 | 61.9% | +11.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Naulls | Labour Party | 566 | 21.2% | — | |
| 3 | Katherine Collett | Liberal Democrats | 227 | 8.5% | — | |
| 4 | Catherine Harper | Green Party | 136 | 5.1% | — | |
| 5 | Cameron Best | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 88 | 3.3% | — |