← North East Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
North East Lincolnshire 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 15 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 15,539 | 48.6% | 10 | 62.5% | 8 | 50.0% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 8,826 | 27.6% | 4 | 25.0% | 5 | 31.3% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,718 | 11.6% | 1 | 6.3% | 2 | 12.5% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,100 | 6.6% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,146 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| SocAlt | 421 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 232 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 31,982 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Freshney · 1 seat · won at 35.3% · −14.7 pts below quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 37.1% · −12.9 pts below quota
- West Marsh · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · −11.0 pts below quota
- Sidney Sussex · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · −9.6 pts below quota
- Heneage · 1 seat · won at 41.1% · −8.9 pts below quota
- Yarborough · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Croft Baker · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · −3.3 pts below quota
- South · 2 seats · won at 35.8% · above quota
- East Marsh · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
- Scartho · 1 seat · won at 58.1% · above quota
- Immingham · 1 seat · won at 60.8% · above quota
- Wolds · 1 seat · won at 76.9% · above quota
- Haverstoe · 1 seat · won at 77.8% · above quota
- Humberston and New Waltham · 1 seat · won at 82.7% · above quota
- Waltham · 1 seat · won at 85.7% · above quota
Race results
Freshney · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,018
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Furneaux | Conservative Party | 713 | 35.3% | −14.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheldon Mill | Labour Party | 580 | 28.7% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Grant | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 363 | 18.0% | — | |
| 4 | Mick Kiff | Independent | 362 | 17.9% | — |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,788
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debbie Woodward | Conservative Party | 1,034 | 37.1% | −12.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David de Freitas | Liberal Democrats | 781 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Barrow | Labour Party | 491 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | Anthony Blake | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 482 | 17.3% | — |
West Marsh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,050
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Wilson | Labour Party | 410 | 39.0% | −11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Barker | Independent | 310 | 29.5% | — | |
| 3 | Adrian Jackson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 212 | 20.2% | — | |
| 4 | Hugh Riches | Conservative Party | 118 | 11.2% | — |
Sidney Sussex · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,771
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marie Green | Labour Party | 715 | 40.4% | −9.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Reynolds | Conservative Party | 544 | 30.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Hancock | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 512 | 28.9% | — |
Heneage · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,947
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Patrick | Labour Party | 800 | 41.1% | −8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Smith | Conservative Party | 595 | 30.6% | — | |
| 3 | John Stockton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 552 | 28.4% | — |
Yarborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,910
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garry Abel | Conservative Party | 867 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Wheatley | Labour Party | 622 | 32.6% | — | |
| 3 | Kieran Barlow | SocAlt | 421 | 22.0% | — |
Croft Baker · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,245
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Callison | Conservative Party | 1,049 | 46.7% | −3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Judy Nichols | Labour Party | 808 | 36.0% | — | |
| 3 | Roy Horobin | Liberal Democrats | 388 | 17.3% | — |
South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,476
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Janet Goodwin | Labour Party | 532 | 18.0% | 36.0% | +2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jane Bramley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 528 | 17.9% | 35.8% | +2.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ian Rodwell | Labour Party | 442 | 15.0% | 29.9% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Batson | Conservative Party | 381 | 12.9% | 25.8% | — | |
| 5 | Liudmila Berezina | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 363 | 12.3% | 24.6% | — | |
| 6 | Deborah Hill | Independent | 314 | 10.6% | 21.3% | — | |
| 7 | Loyd Emmerson | Green Party | 232 | 7.9% | 15.7% | — | |
| 8 | Roy Long | Independent | 160 | 5.4% | 10.8% | — |
East Marsh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,378
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Walker | Liberal Democrats | 738 | 53.6% | +3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Gee | Labour Party | 296 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Phillip Moulson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 264 | 19.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Townend | Conservative Party | 80 | 5.8% | — |
Scartho · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,969
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Lindley | Conservative Party | 1,725 | 58.1% | +8.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Haddock | Labour Party | 609 | 20.5% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen White | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 442 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Louise Horobin | Liberal Democrats | 193 | 6.5% | — |
Immingham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,087
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Swinburn | Conservative Party | 1,269 | 60.8% | +10.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Bolton | Labour Party | 818 | 39.2% | — |
Wolds · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,748
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Henry Hudson | Conservative Party | 1,344 | 76.9% | +26.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Karl Quibell | Labour Party | 404 | 23.1% | — |
Haverstoe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 77.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,521
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Brookes | Conservative Party | 1,962 | 77.8% | +27.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Bailey | Labour Party | 559 | 22.2% | — |
Humberston and New Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 82.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,781
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stan Shreeve | Conservative Party | 2,301 | 82.7% | +32.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheldon Ellis | Labour Party | 480 | 17.3% | — |
Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 85.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,817
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Jackson | Conservative Party | 1,557 | 85.7% | +35.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Vikki Verity | Labour Party | 260 | 14.3% | — |