← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
North Hertfordshire 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 15 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 10,383 | 40.1% | 7 | 46.7% | 7 | 46.7% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 7,087 | 27.3% | 6 | 40.0% | 4 | 26.7% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,893 | 15.0% | 2 | 13.3% | 2 | 13.3% | 0 |
| Green Party | 2,224 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.7% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 2,035 | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.7% | -1 |
| Independent | 291 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 25,913 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Letchworth Grange · 1 seat · won at 35.1% · −14.9 pts below quota
- Letchworth Wilbury · 1 seat · won at 38.2% · −11.8 pts below quota
- Letchworth East · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · −11.5 pts below quota
- Hitchin Walsworth · 1 seat · won at 38.8% · −11.2 pts below quota
- Letchworth South East · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · −11.0 pts below quota
- Chesfield · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · −7.5 pts below quota
- Hitchin Priory · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · −5.7 pts below quota
- Hitchin Highbury · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · −4.8 pts below quota
- Baldock East · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · −3.9 pts below quota
- Hitchin Bearton · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · −1.4 pts below quota
- Baldock Town · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Letchworth South West · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · −0.9 pts below quota
- Hitchin Oughton · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · −0.7 pts below quota
- Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
- Knebworth · 1 seat · won at 62.9% · above quota
Race results
Letchworth Grange · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,951
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clare Billing | Labour Party | 685 | 35.1% | −14.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Berman | Conservative Party | 654 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Tyler Davis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 334 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Penny | Liberal Democrats | 153 | 7.8% | — | |
| 5 | Elizabeth Hancock | Green Party | 125 | 6.4% | — |
Letchworth Wilbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,291
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deepak Sangha | Labour Party | 493 | 38.2% | −11.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Frankland | Conservative Party | 480 | 37.2% | — | |
| 3 | Maryla Hart | Green Party | 169 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Scuoler | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 149 | 11.5% | — |
Letchworth East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,311
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Mantle | Labour Party | 505 | 38.5% | −11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Wakelin | Conservative Party | 347 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Ross | Independent | 136 | 10.4% | — | |
| 4 | Rosemary Bland | Green Party | 126 | 9.6% | — | |
| 5 | Mark Hughes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 111 | 8.5% | — | |
| 6 | Jane Fae | Liberal Democrats | 86 | 6.6% | — |
Hitchin Walsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,078
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Dennis | Labour Party | 806 | 38.8% | −11.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ray Shakespeare-Smith | Conservative Party | 668 | 32.1% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Cano | Green Party | 278 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Croft | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 193 | 9.3% | — | |
| 5 | Andrew Ircha | Liberal Democrats | 133 | 6.4% | — |
Letchworth South East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,888
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Levett | Conservative Party | 737 | 39.0% | −11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Stears-Handscomb | Labour Party | 609 | 32.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sidney Start | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 309 | 16.4% | — | |
| 4 | Barry Neale | Liberal Democrats | 134 | 7.1% | — | |
| 5 | Dean Cartwright | Green Party | 99 | 5.2% | — |
Chesfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,572
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Tyler | Liberal Democrats | 668 | 42.5% | −7.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Henry | Conservative Party | 545 | 34.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Hayes | Labour Party | 266 | 16.9% | — | |
| 4 | Felicity Power | Green Party | 93 | 5.9% | — |
Hitchin Priory · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,545
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Thake | Conservative Party | 684 | 44.3% | −5.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Winstanley | Labour Party | 281 | 18.2% | — | |
| 3 | Ewan Wilkie | Liberal Democrats | 164 | 10.6% | — | |
| 4 | Jacqueline McDonald | Independent | 155 | 10.0% | — | |
| 5 | Des Stephens | Green Party | 142 | 9.2% | — | |
| 6 | Allan Newey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 119 | 7.7% | — |
Hitchin Highbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,532
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Clark | Liberal Democrats | 1,144 | 45.2% | −4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Leal-Bennett | Conservative Party | 836 | 33.0% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Burke | Labour Party | 401 | 15.8% | — | |
| 4 | Rosamund McGuire | Green Party | 151 | 6.0% | — |
Baldock East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,021
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentine Shanley | Conservative Party | 471 | 46.1% | −3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Winter | Liberal Democrats | 272 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Gillian Tyler | Labour Party | 121 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | Brian Alderton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 109 | 10.7% | — | |
| 5 | Jane Turner | Green Party | 48 | 4.7% | — |
Hitchin Bearton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,131
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Albert | Labour Party | 1,036 | 48.6% | −1.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Serena Farrow | Conservative Party | 580 | 27.2% | — | |
| 3 | Stuart Alder | Liberal Democrats | 272 | 12.8% | — | |
| 4 | William Lavin | Green Party | 243 | 11.4% | — |
Baldock Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,831
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Weeks | Conservative Party | 896 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geraldine Dobson | Labour Party | 377 | 20.6% | — | |
| 3 | Brian Munnery | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 251 | 13.7% | — | |
| 4 | Emily Beswarick | Green Party | 169 | 9.2% | — | |
| 5 | Marcus Keighley | Liberal Democrats | 138 | 7.5% | — |
Letchworth South West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,233
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Hone | Conservative Party | 1,096 | 49.1% | −0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jean Andrews | Labour Party | 441 | 19.7% | — | |
| 3 | Ursula Winder | Liberal Democrats | 286 | 12.8% | — | |
| 4 | Mario May | Green Party | 212 | 9.5% | — | |
| 5 | Gemma Hughes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 198 | 8.9% | — |
Hitchin Oughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,024
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Watson | Labour Party | 505 | 49.3% | −0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pauline Scully | Conservative Party | 328 | 32.0% | — | |
| 3 | George Howe | Green Party | 102 | 10.0% | — | |
| 4 | Louise Peace | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 8.7% | — |
Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,068
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claire Strong | Conservative Party | 1,157 | 55.9% | +5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gary Jones | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 262 | 12.7% | — | |
| 3 | David O'Brien | Labour Party | 251 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Johnson | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 10.3% | — | |
| 5 | Alex Longmore | Green Party | 186 | 9.0% | — |
Knebworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,437
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Deakin-Davies | Conservative Party | 904 | 62.9% | +12.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ed Smith | Labour Party | 310 | 21.6% | — | |
| 3 | Charlie Wilson | Liberal Democrats | 142 | 9.9% | — | |
| 4 | Claire Taylor | Green Party | 81 | 5.6% | — |