← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
North Hertfordshire 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 9,380 | 36.0% | 7 | 43.8% | 6 | 37.5% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,384 | 28.4% | 6 | 37.5% | 5 | 31.3% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 5,675 | 21.8% | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 25.0% | -1 |
| Green Party | 2,757 | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.3% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 841 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 26,037 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Letchworth South West · 1 seat · won at 34.8% · −15.2 pts below quota
- Letchworth Grange · 1 seat · won at 38.0% · −12.0 pts below quota
- Royston Palace · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · −11.7 pts below quota
- Chesfield · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · −6.8 pts below quota
- Letchworth South East · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · −6.3 pts below quota
- Hitchin Walsworth · 1 seat · won at 44.9% · −5.1 pts below quota
- Royston Meridian · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Cadwell · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · −1.5 pts below quota
- Arbury · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Baldock Town · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
- Hitchin Bearton · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Royston Heath · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
- Ermine · 1 seat · won at 59.8% · above quota
- Hitchin Highbury · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
- Weston and Sandon · 1 seat · won at 79.7% · above quota
Race results
Letchworth South West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 34.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,298
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Prendergast | Liberal Democrats | 800 | 34.8% | −15.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lynda Needham | Conservative Party | 800 | 34.8% | — | |
| 3 | Jean Andrews | Labour Party | 279 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Wendy Gross | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 218 | 9.5% | — | |
| 5 | Nick Newson | Green Party | 201 | 8.7% | — |
Letchworth Grange · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,864
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan Derbyshire | Conservative Party | 708 | 38.0% | −12.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Conor Brogan | Labour Party | 563 | 30.2% | — | |
| 3 | Steven Adelantado | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 234 | 12.6% | — | |
| 4 | Josh Hamilton | Liberal Democrats | 187 | 10.0% | — | |
| 5 | Sarah Cope | Green Party | 172 | 9.2% | — |
Royston Palace · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,239
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Green | Conservative Party | 474 | 38.3% | −11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rob Inwood | Labour Party | 415 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Amy di Capite | Liberal Democrats | 180 | 14.5% | — | |
| 4 | Angela Clark | Green Party | 170 | 13.7% | — |
Chesfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,378
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Davies | Conservative Party | 595 | 43.2% | −6.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Abrahams | Liberal Democrats | 337 | 24.5% | — | |
| 3 | Yusuf Mayet | Labour Party | 226 | 16.4% | — | |
| 4 | Mary Marshall | Green Party | 220 | 16.0% | — |
Letchworth South East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,821
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adem Ruggiero-Cakir | Labour Party | 796 | 43.7% | −6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Clare | Conservative Party | 783 | 43.0% | — | |
| 3 | Sidney Start | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 242 | 13.3% | — |
Hitchin Walsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,212
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kay Tart | Labour Party | 994 | 44.9% | −5.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Russell | Conservative Party | 570 | 25.8% | — | |
| 3 | William Lavin | Green Party | 393 | 17.8% | — | |
| 4 | Ying Han | Liberal Democrats | 255 | 11.5% | — |
Royston Meridian · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,473
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Hunter | Conservative Party | 699 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Rice | Liberal Democrats | 340 | 23.1% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Arquati | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 147 | 10.0% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Lockett | Labour Party | 147 | 10.0% | — | |
| 5 | Karen Harmel | Green Party | 140 | 9.5% | — |
Cadwell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 726
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam North | Liberal Democrats | 352 | 48.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Goddard | Conservative Party | 207 | 28.5% | — | |
| 3 | David de Smet | Labour Party | 95 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Rosamund McGuire | Green Party | 72 | 9.9% | — |
Arbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,111
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Tyson | Liberal Democrats | 570 | 51.3% | +1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Schwick | Conservative Party | 453 | 40.8% | — | |
| 3 | Tim Lee | Green Party | 88 | 7.9% | — |
Baldock Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,813
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Muir | Conservative Party | 941 | 51.9% | +1.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rob Lambie | Liberal Democrats | 350 | 19.3% | — | |
| 3 | Colwyn Griffiths | Labour Party | 321 | 17.7% | — | |
| 4 | George Woolhouse | Green Party | 201 | 11.1% | — |
Hitchin Bearton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,132
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Judi Billing | Labour Party | 1,157 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jon Clayden | Liberal Democrats | 351 | 16.5% | — | |
| 3 | Gulshan Mangat | Conservative Party | 328 | 15.4% | — | |
| 4 | Anni Sander | Green Party | 296 | 13.9% | — |
Royston Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,754
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carol Stanier | Liberal Democrats | 963 | 54.9% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Dingley | Conservative Party | 538 | 30.7% | — | |
| 3 | Katherine Shann | Green Party | 134 | 7.6% | — | |
| 4 | Amy Bourke-Waite | Labour Party | 119 | 6.8% | — |
Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,074
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Barnard | Conservative Party | 1,149 | 55.4% | +5.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicky Clark | Green Party | 360 | 17.4% | — | |
| 3 | Marilyn Parkin | Liberal Democrats | 305 | 14.7% | — | |
| 4 | Anton Jungreuthmayer | Labour Party | 260 | 12.5% | — |
Ermine · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 823
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald Morris | Conservative Party | 492 | 59.8% | +9.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Suzie Anderton | Liberal Democrats | 187 | 22.7% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Gamon | Green Party | 104 | 12.6% | — | |
| 4 | Robin King | Labour Party | 40 | 4.9% | — |
Hitchin Highbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,565
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Hoskins | Liberal Democrats | 1,606 | 62.6% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Leon Emirali | Conservative Party | 534 | 20.8% | — | |
| 3 | Angela Griggs | Labour Party | 244 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Diana Newson | Green Party | 181 | 7.1% | — |
Weston and Sandon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 754
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Jarvis | Liberal Democrats | 601 | 79.7% | +29.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Hearn | Conservative Party | 109 | 14.5% | — | |
| 3 | Des Stephens | Green Party | 25 | 3.3% | — | |
| 4 | Headley Parkins | Labour Party | 19 | 2.5% | — |