← Pendle (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Pendle 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 11,044 | 41.4% | 9 | 50.0% | 8 | 44.4% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 8,862 | 33.2% | 5 | 27.8% | 6 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,388 | 20.2% | 4 | 22.2% | 4 | 22.2% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 642 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| British National Party | 437 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 287 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 26,690 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Waterside · 1 seat · won at 36.0% · −14.0 pts below quota
- Vivary Bridge · 1 seat · won at 36.8% · −13.2 pts below quota
- Marsden · 1 seat · won at 39.4% · −10.6 pts below quota
- Reedley · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Bradley · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · −2.9 pts below quota
- Horsfield · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · −1.7 pts below quota
- Coates · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Earby · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Southfield · 1 seat · won at 55.1% · above quota
- Boulsworth · 1 seat · won at 60.0% · above quota
- Craven · 2 seats · won at 46.8% · above quota
- Clover Hill · 1 seat · won at 66.3% · above quota
- Walverden · 1 seat · won at 67.1% · above quota
- Brierfield · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
- Barrowford · 2 seats · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Whitefield · 1 seat · won at 81.0% · above quota
Race results
Waterside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,266
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Greaves | Liberal Democrats | 456 | 36.0% | −14.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ash Sutcliffe | Conservative Party | 423 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Graham | Labour Party | 317 | 25.0% | — | |
| 4 | David Penney | Green Party | 70 | 5.5% | — |
Vivary Bridge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,315
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan McCollum | Conservative Party | 484 | 36.8% | −13.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Glennda Clegg | Liberal Democrats | 441 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Tweedie | Labour Party | 390 | 29.7% | — |
Marsden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,202
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy Cooney | Conservative Party | 473 | 39.4% | −10.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Rowe | British National Party | 437 | 36.4% | — | |
| 3 | John Richardson | Labour Party | 292 | 24.3% | — |
Reedley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,467
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Musawar Arshad | Conservative Party | 1,119 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mohammad Hanif | Labour Party | 985 | 39.9% | — | |
| 3 | Nigel Lofthouse | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 186 | 7.5% | — | |
| 4 | James Wood | Liberal Democrats | 147 | 6.0% | — | |
| 5 | Jackie Grunsell | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 30 | 1.2% | — |
Bradley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,245
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Sakib | Labour Party | 1,057 | 47.1% | −2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mohammad Aslam | Conservative Party | 932 | 41.5% | — | |
| 3 | Howard Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 256 | 11.4% | — |
Horsfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,145
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Petty | Conservative Party | 553 | 48.3% | −1.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ann Wrigley | Labour Party | 357 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Louise Whitehead | Liberal Democrats | 235 | 20.5% | — |
Coates · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,392
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marjorie Adams | Liberal Democrats | 680 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Harry Purcell | Conservative Party | 547 | 39.3% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Wood | Green Party | 95 | 6.8% | — | |
| 4 | Ghulam Ullah | Labour Party | 70 | 5.0% | — |
Earby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,702
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosemary Carroll | Conservative Party | 886 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Lyons | Liberal Democrats | 525 | 30.8% | — | |
| 3 | Russell Tennant | Labour Party | 291 | 17.1% | — |
Southfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,484
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheila Wicks | Labour Party | 817 | 55.1% | +5.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Saanval Safir | Conservative Party | 667 | 44.9% | — |
Boulsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,442
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Margaret Foxley | Conservative Party | 865 | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Heather Greaves | Liberal Democrats | 323 | 22.4% | — | |
| 3 | David Johns | Labour Party | 254 | 17.6% | — |
Craven · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 46.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,262
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jenny Purcell | Conservative Party | 608 | 24.1% | 48.2% | +14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ken Hartley | Liberal Democrats | 590 | 23.4% | 46.8% | +13.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Anthony Lancaster | Liberal Democrats | 498 | 19.7% | 39.5% | — | |
| 4 | Valerie Langtree | Conservative Party | 451 | 17.9% | 35.7% | — | |
| 5 | Richard Oliver | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 190 | 7.5% | 15.1% | — | |
| 6 | Mark Porter | Labour Party | 187 | 7.4% | 14.8% | — |
Clover Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,207
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eileen Ansar | Labour Party | 800 | 66.3% | +16.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Janice Taylor | Conservative Party | 407 | 33.7% | — |
Walverden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,150
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Adam | Labour Party | 772 | 67.1% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Abdul Aziz | Conservative Party | 378 | 32.9% | — |
Brierfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,652
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naeem Ashraf | Labour Party | 1,141 | 69.1% | +19.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Wilkinson | Conservative Party | 511 | 30.9% | — |
Barrowford · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 54.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,485
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ken Turner | Conservative Party | 880 | 29.6% | 59.3% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christian Wakeford | Conservative Party | 815 | 27.4% | 54.9% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sue Nike | Labour Party | 517 | 17.4% | 34.8% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Oliver | Labour Party | 370 | 12.5% | 24.9% | — | |
| 5 | Mick Waddington | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 266 | 9.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Barnett | Green Party | 122 | 4.1% | 8.2% | — |
Whitefield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,527
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nadeem Ahmed | Liberal Democrats | 1,237 | 81.0% | +31.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adrian Barrett | Labour Party | 245 | 16.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jess McNamara | Conservative Party | 45 | 2.9% | — |