← Portsmouth (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Portsmouth 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 13,291 | 27.8% | 6 | 40.0% | 4 | 26.7% | +2 |
| Conservative Party | 12,564 | 26.3% | 7 | 46.7% | 4 | 26.7% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 11,966 | 25.0% | 2 | 13.3% | 4 | 26.7% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 6,664 | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 13.3% | -2 |
| Green Party | 2,752 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.7% | -1 |
| NHAction | 344 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| VPP | 117 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| JACP | 75 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 47,773 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- St Jude · 1 seat · won at 32.6% · −17.4 pts below quota
- Eastney and Craneswater · 1 seat · won at 35.0% · −15.0 pts below quota
- Copnor · 1 seat · won at 36.5% · −13.5 pts below quota
- Hilsea · 1 seat · won at 37.0% · −13.0 pts below quota
- Paulsgrove · 1 seat · won at 37.0% · −13.0 pts below quota
- Fratton · 1 seat · won at 38.6% · −11.4 pts below quota
- Charles Dickens · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · −10.2 pts below quota
- St Thomas · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · −10.0 pts below quota
- Milton · 1 seat · won at 41.1% · −8.9 pts below quota
- Nelson · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · −6.8 pts below quota
- Baffins · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · −5.2 pts below quota
- Central Southsea · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · −4.3 pts below quota
- Drayton and Farlington · 1 seat · won at 54.6% · above quota
- Cosham · 2 seats · won at 38.3% · above quota
Race results
St Jude · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 32.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −17.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,255
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Heaney | Labour Party | 1,061 | 32.6% | −17.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tracy McClure | Liberal Democrats | 851 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Timothy Forer | Conservative Party | 766 | 23.5% | — | |
| 4 | Darren Fry | Green Party | 310 | 9.5% | — | |
| 5 | Ian DuCane | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 245 | 7.5% | — | |
| 6 | Claudiu-Bogdan Babii | JACP | 22 | 0.7% | — |
Eastney and Craneswater · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,019
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Symes | Conservative Party | 1,406 | 35.0% | −15.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennie Brent | Liberal Democrats | 1,003 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Luke Evans | Labour Party | 910 | 22.6% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Walters | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 365 | 9.1% | — | |
| 5 | Menno Groen | Green Party | 282 | 7.0% | — | |
| 6 | Steve Oldfield | JACP | 53 | 1.3% | — |
Copnor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,914
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert New | Conservative Party | 1,064 | 36.5% | −13.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rumal Khan | Labour Party | 658 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Bill Haley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 541 | 18.6% | — | |
| 4 | Ross Campbell | Liberal Democrats | 365 | 12.5% | — | |
| 5 | Ken Hawkins | Green Party | 286 | 9.8% | — |
Hilsea · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,857
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Payter-Harris | Conservative Party | 1,058 | 37.0% | −13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Castillon | Labour Party | 627 | 21.9% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Roberts | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 518 | 18.1% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Williams | Liberal Democrats | 380 | 13.3% | — | |
| 5 | Emma Murphy | Green Party | 274 | 9.6% | — |
Paulsgrove · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,608
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemma New | Conservative Party | 966 | 37.0% | −13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Isabelle Sene | Labour Party | 669 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Stuart Potter | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 647 | 24.8% | — | |
| 4 | Iain Sutherland | Liberal Democrats | 209 | 8.0% | — | |
| 5 | Robert Wilson | VPP | 117 | 4.5% | — |
Fratton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,957
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Ashmore | Liberal Democrats | 1,141 | 38.6% | −11.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Trevor Morgan | Labour Party | 844 | 28.5% | — | |
| 3 | Kevan Chippindall-Higgin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 395 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Tim Sheerman-Chase | Green Party | 289 | 9.8% | — | |
| 5 | Elliot Russell | Conservative Party | 288 | 9.7% | — |
Charles Dickens · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,568
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Corkery | Labour Party | 1,023 | 39.8% | −10.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Graham | Liberal Democrats | 619 | 24.1% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Harvey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 504 | 19.6% | — | |
| 4 | Ronnie Taffurelli-Hutchings | Conservative Party | 254 | 9.9% | — | |
| 5 | Sarah Gilbert | Green Party | 168 | 6.5% | — |
St Thomas · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,415
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Attwell | Liberal Democrats | 1,366 | 40.0% | −10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sumel Chowdhury | Labour Party | 849 | 24.9% | — | |
| 3 | Terry Henderson | Conservative Party | 747 | 21.9% | — | |
| 4 | Colin Galloway | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 270 | 7.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rebecca Kingsley-Smith | Green Party | 183 | 5.4% | — |
Milton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,923
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Vernon-Jackson | Liberal Democrats | 1,611 | 41.1% | −8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paula Savage | Labour Party | 1,036 | 26.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jenny Dobson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 543 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Gorys | Conservative Party | 457 | 11.6% | — | |
| 5 | Tamara Groen | Green Party | 276 | 7.0% | — |
Nelson · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,603
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Hunt | Liberal Democrats | 1,125 | 43.2% | −6.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mo Quinn | Labour Party | 472 | 18.1% | — | |
| 3 | Mike Jerome | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 456 | 17.5% | — | |
| 4 | Lewis Gosling | Conservative Party | 374 | 14.4% | — | |
| 5 | Duncan Robinson | Green Party | 176 | 6.8% | — |
Baffins · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,682
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lynne Stagg | Liberal Democrats | 1,649 | 44.8% | −5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ryan Brent | Conservative Party | 776 | 21.1% | — | |
| 3 | Todd Sweeney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 547 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Kasey Clark | Labour Party | 470 | 12.8% | — | |
| 5 | Bob Simmonds | Green Party | 240 | 6.5% | — |
Central Southsea · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,854
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suzy Horton | Liberal Democrats | 1,760 | 45.7% | −4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Charlotte Gerada | Labour Party | 1,235 | 32.0% | — | |
| 3 | Ruben Bell | Conservative Party | 328 | 8.5% | — | |
| 4 | Eloise Shavelar | Green Party | 268 | 7.0% | — | |
| 5 | Michael Nawrot | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 263 | 6.8% | — |
Drayton and Farlington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,529
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Norton | Conservative Party | 1,927 | 54.6% | +4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rebecca Light | Labour Party | 729 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | Derek Jennings | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 471 | 13.3% | — | |
| 4 | Delwar Baig | Liberal Democrats | 402 | 11.4% | — |
Cosham · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 38.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,795
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Mason | Conservative Party | 1,082 | 19.4% | 38.7% | +5.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Atkins | Conservative Party | 1,071 | 19.2% | 38.3% | +5.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | George Madgwick | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 899 | 16.1% | 32.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Boxall | Labour Party | 756 | 13.5% | 27.1% | — | |
| 5 | Yahiya Chowdhury | Labour Party | 627 | 11.2% | 22.4% | — | |
| 6 | Simon Sansbury | Liberal Democrats | 427 | 7.6% | 15.3% | — | |
| 7 | Catherine Cole | Liberal Democrats | 383 | 6.9% | 13.7% | — | |
| 8 | Veronika Wagner | NHAction | 344 | 6.2% | 12.3% | — |