← Rochdale (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Rochdale 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 23,461 | 49.4% | 16 | 80.0% | 11 | 55.0% | +5 |
| Conservative Party | 10,110 | 21.3% | 3 | 15.0% | 4 | 20.0% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 7,069 | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 15.0% | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,156 | 10.8% | 1 | 5.0% | 2 | 10.0% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,731 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 47,527 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Littleborough Lakeside · 1 seat · won at 34.7% · −15.3 pts below quota
- Balderstone and Kirkholt · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Healey · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · −3.8 pts below quota
- Castleton · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- South Middleton · 1 seat · won at 47.7% · −2.3 pts below quota
- Bamford · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · −2.2 pts below quota
- Wardle and West Littleborough · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- West Heywood · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · −0.7 pts below quota
- Hopwood Hall · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
- North Heywood · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
- North Middleton · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
- Norden · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
- West Middleton · 1 seat · won at 56.2% · above quota
- East Middleton · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
- Smallbridge and Firgrove · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
- Milnrow and Newhey · 1 seat · won at 60.0% · above quota
- Spotland and Falinge · 1 seat · won at 61.7% · above quota
- Kingsway · 1 seat · won at 70.2% · above quota
- Central Rochdale · 1 seat · won at 78.7% · above quota
- Milkstone and Deeplish · 1 seat · won at 83.8% · above quota
Race results
Littleborough Lakeside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 34.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,531
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Besford | Labour Party | 879 | 34.7% | −15.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ann Stott | Conservative Party | 687 | 27.1% | — | |
| 3 | Kathryn Clegg | Liberal Democrats | 433 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Mitchell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 336 | 13.3% | — | |
| 5 | Stuart Howard-Cofield | Green Party | 196 | 7.7% | — |
Balderstone and Kirkholt · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,957
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Meredith | Labour Party | 880 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Guy Bradley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 380 | 19.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Alcock | Liberal Democrats | 369 | 18.9% | — | |
| 4 | John Kershaw | Conservative Party | 204 | 10.4% | — | |
| 5 | James O'Meara | Green Party | 124 | 6.3% | — |
Healey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,577
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shah Wazir | Labour Party | 1,190 | 46.2% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert McLean | Conservative Party | 582 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Frederick Willis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 440 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | John Rodgers | Liberal Democrats | 365 | 14.2% | — |
Castleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,179
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Hornby | Labour Party | 1,035 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Cullen | Conservative Party | 481 | 22.1% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Izzo | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 375 | 17.2% | — | |
| 4 | Jonathan Kershaw | Green Party | 197 | 9.0% | — | |
| 5 | Stephen Thornley | Liberal Democrats | 91 | 4.2% | — |
South Middleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,484
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Williams | Labour Party | 1,184 | 47.7% | −2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Anstee | Conservative Party | 648 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Partington | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 440 | 17.7% | — | |
| 4 | Sue Curzon | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 8.5% | — |
Bamford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,137
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patricia Sullivan | Conservative Party | 1,499 | 47.8% | −2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mohammad Arshad | Labour Party | 1,048 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Sanderson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 251 | 8.0% | — | |
| 4 | Sarah Croke | Green Party | 199 | 6.3% | — | |
| 5 | Barrie Nicholson | Liberal Democrats | 140 | 4.5% | — |
Wardle and West Littleborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,464
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rina Paolucci-Escobar | Conservative Party | 1,213 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Julian Farnell | Labour Party | 595 | 24.1% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Clegg | Liberal Democrats | 336 | 13.6% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Neave | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 320 | 13.0% | — |
West Heywood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,944
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacqui Beswick | Labour Party | 958 | 49.3% | −0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael O'Brien | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 699 | 36.0% | — | |
| 3 | Darren Bayman | Conservative Party | 287 | 14.8% | — |
Hopwood Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,127
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Emmott | Labour Party | 1,095 | 51.5% | +1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Angela Gardner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 572 | 26.9% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Ellison | Conservative Party | 460 | 21.6% | — |
North Heywood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,768
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ray Dutton | Labour Party | 968 | 54.8% | +4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bernard Akin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 526 | 29.8% | — | |
| 3 | Adrian Coan | Conservative Party | 274 | 15.5% | — |
North Middleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,937
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara Rowbotham | Labour Party | 1,061 | 54.8% | +4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas Barnes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 592 | 30.6% | — | |
| 3 | Rachel McLachlan | Conservative Party | 284 | 14.7% | — |
Norden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,586
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Winkler | Conservative Party | 1,428 | 55.2% | +5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shaukat Ali | Labour Party | 483 | 18.7% | — | |
| 3 | Beverley Taylor-King | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 270 | 10.4% | — | |
| 4 | Nigel Sarbutts | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 8.4% | — | |
| 5 | Adam Mir | Green Party | 187 | 7.2% | — |
West Middleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,938
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Burke | Labour Party | 1,089 | 56.2% | +6.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lee Seville | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 576 | 29.7% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Neilson | Conservative Party | 273 | 14.1% | — |
East Middleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,024
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donna Martin | Labour Party | 1,162 | 57.4% | +7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Mudd | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 520 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jacqueline Holt | Conservative Party | 342 | 16.9% | — |
Smallbridge and Firgrove · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,273
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aftab Hussain | Labour Party | 1,335 | 58.7% | +8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Laurent Baudry | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 410 | 18.0% | — | |
| 3 | Eleanor Kelly | Liberal Democrats | 294 | 12.9% | — | |
| 4 | Leonard Branton | Conservative Party | 234 | 10.3% | — |
Milnrow and Newhey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,855
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andy Kelly | Liberal Democrats | 1,714 | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Butterworth | Labour Party | 595 | 20.8% | — | |
| 3 | Hillary Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 362 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Edward Carpenter | Conservative Party | 184 | 6.4% | — |
Spotland and Falinge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,743
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rachel Massey | Labour Party | 1,692 | 61.7% | +11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Scholes | Conservative Party | 429 | 15.6% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Coats | Green Party | 426 | 15.5% | — | |
| 4 | Joseph Marsden | Liberal Democrats | 196 | 7.1% | — |
Kingsway · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,534
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elsie Wraighte | Labour Party | 1,778 | 70.2% | +20.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Hollinrake | Green Party | 268 | 10.6% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Duckworth | Conservative Party | 267 | 10.5% | — | |
| 4 | Anthony Hughes | Liberal Democrats | 221 | 8.7% | — |
Central Rochdale · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 78.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,914
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ali Ahmed | Labour Party | 2,292 | 78.7% | +28.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rifat Mahmood | Liberal Democrats | 422 | 14.5% | — | |
| 3 | Roger Howarth | Conservative Party | 200 | 6.9% | — |
Milkstone and Deeplish · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 83.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,555
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammed Zaman | Labour Party | 2,142 | 83.8% | +33.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Eden-Maughan | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 5.7% | — | |
| 3 | Feruz Ali | Green Party | 134 | 5.2% | — | |
| 4 | Keith Taylor | Conservative Party | 134 | 5.2% | — |