← Rochford (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Rochford 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

13 ward races
39 seats
0 elected below the proportional quota
0.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party24,04646.1%2153.8%2051.3%+1
Labour Party6,69912.8%00.0%512.8%-5
Rochford6,20311.9%615.4%512.8%+1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)5,94111.4%410.3%410.3%0
Liberal Democrats4,5838.8%410.3%37.7%+1
Green Party3,3916.5%37.7%25.1%+1
Rayleigh9371.8%12.6%00.0%+1
Independent3580.7%00.0%00.0%0
Total52,158100.0%39100.0%39100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2016 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and on the eve of it (2015), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Roche North and Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,204

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1George IoannouConservative Party64017.7%53.2%+28.2 ptsElected
2Nicholas CooperUK Independence Party (UKIP)57816.0%48.0%+23.0 ptsElected
3Laureen ShawConservative Party46612.9%38.7%+13.7 ptsElected
4Kevin SaltLabour Party45912.7%38.1%
5Mark DanielsLabour Party42211.7%35.0%
6Philip ShawConservative Party41911.6%34.8%
7Myra WeirLabour Party41811.6%34.7%
8Daniel IrlamLiberal Democrats2105.8%17.4%

EC ward code E05010852 · Back to ward index

Foulness and the Wakerings · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,537

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Neil HookwayUK Independence Party (UKIP)64914.1%42.2%+17.2 ptsElected
2Daniel EfdeUK Independence Party (UKIP)62313.5%40.5%+15.5 ptsElected
3Tina HughesUK Independence Party (UKIP)61513.3%40.0%+15.0 ptsElected
4Barbara WilkinsConservative Party49810.8%32.4%
5Tony PorterConservative Party48110.4%31.3%
6Ann HollandConservative Party4149.0%26.9%
7Trevor GoodwinIndependent3587.8%23.3%
8Jack NewmanLabour Party2856.2%18.5%
9David LenchLabour Party1954.2%12.7%
10Paul WhiteLabour Party1713.7%11.1%
11Simon CrossGreen Party1513.3%9.8%
12Tracy ArnoldLiberal Democrats902.0%5.9%
13Mark ArnoldLiberal Democrats811.8%5.3%

EC ward code E05010845 · Back to ward index

Roche South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 41.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 997

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Michael Lucas-GillConservative Party45715.3%45.8%+20.8 ptsElected
2Arthur WilliamsConservative Party42214.1%42.3%+17.3 ptsElected
3Mike SteptoeConservative Party41213.8%41.3%+16.3 ptsElected
4John JefferiesLabour Party38612.9%38.7%
5Victoria WilliamsLabour Party35711.9%35.8%
6Richard LodingUK Independence Party (UKIP)33011.0%33.1%
7Marion SawyerUK Independence Party (UKIP)31510.5%31.6%
8Simon GosdenLabour Party31210.4%31.3%

EC ward code E05010853 · Back to ward index

Hullbridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,862

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Michael HoyGreen Party1,22021.8%65.5%+40.5 ptsElected
2Diane HoyGreen Party1,18521.2%63.6%+38.6 ptsElected
3Stuart WilsonGreen Party83514.9%44.8%+19.8 ptsElected
4John BullUK Independence Party (UKIP)64011.5%34.4%
5Angela HaleConservative Party3947.1%21.2%
6Mark HaleConservative Party3666.6%19.7%
7Angelina MarriottConservative Party3225.8%17.3%
8David FlackLabour Party2714.9%14.6%
9Robin HumeLabour Party2013.6%10.8%
10Roger NevilleLabour Party1522.7%8.2%

EC ward code E05010850 · Back to ward index

Hawkwell West · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,292

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Christine MasonRochford1,05827.3%81.9%+56.9 ptsElected
2John MasonRochford1,03026.6%79.7%+54.7 ptsElected
3Julie GoodingConservative Party59515.3%46.0%+21.0 ptsElected
4Liz MarlowConservative Party50413.0%39.0%
5Robert ClemensonLabour Party3458.9%26.7%
6Alex Holland-MartinConservative Party3458.9%26.7%

EC ward code E05010847 · Back to ward index

Sweyne Park and Grange · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,195

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Toby MountainRochford84723.6%70.9%+45.9 ptsElected
2June LumleyConservative Party78521.9%65.7%+40.7 ptsElected
3James NewportLiberal Democrats59916.7%50.1%+25.1 ptsElected
4Carol PavelinConservative Party51414.3%43.0%
5Margeret SpencerConservative Party46412.9%38.8%
6Craig ArcherLabour Party37510.5%31.4%

EC ward code E05010854 · Back to ward index

Hockley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,319

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Irena CassarRochford88322.3%66.9%+41.9 ptsElected
2Adrian EvesRochford82220.8%62.3%+37.3 ptsElected
3Brian HazlewoodConservative Party73518.6%55.7%+30.7 ptsElected
4Malcolm MaddocksConservative Party59515.0%45.1%
5Keith HudsonConservative Party58514.8%44.4%
6Ian RookeLabour Party3378.5%25.5%

EC ward code E05010848 · Back to ward index

Lodge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,483

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bob MilneConservative Party93621.0%63.1%+38.1 ptsElected
2Ian WardConservative Party89120.0%60.1%+35.1 ptsElected
3Simon SmithConservative Party82718.6%55.8%+30.8 ptsElected
4Richard LambourneRochford61013.7%41.1%
5Carol TwydellUK Independence Party (UKIP)56612.7%38.2%
6Bernadette HannonLabour Party3107.0%20.9%
7Stephen TrellisLiberal Democrats3107.0%20.9%

EC ward code E05010851 · Back to ward index

Trinity · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 57.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,736

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David SperringConservative Party1,09621.0%63.1%+38.1 ptsElected
2Cheryl RoeConservative Party1,08120.8%62.3%+37.3 ptsElected
3David MerrickConservative Party99619.1%57.4%+32.4 ptsElected
4John HayterUK Independence Party (UKIP)91217.5%52.5%
5Keith GibbsUK Independence Party (UKIP)71313.7%41.1%
6Stephen CooperLabour Party4107.9%23.6%

EC ward code E05010855 · Back to ward index

Wheatley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,257

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jamie BurtonRayleigh93724.9%74.6%+49.6 ptsElected
2John GriffinConservative Party74819.8%59.5%+34.5 ptsElected
3Robin DrayConservative Party73919.6%58.8%+33.8 ptsElected
4Jack LawmonConservative Party62416.6%49.7%
5Michael HandfordLiberal Democrats3729.9%29.6%
6Luke HoughtonLabour Party3509.3%27.9%

EC ward code E05010856 · Back to ward index

Downhall and Rawreth · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 61.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,406

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chris BlackLiberal Democrats1,11126.3%79.0%+54.0 ptsElected
2Ron OathamLiberal Democrats94522.4%67.2%+42.2 ptsElected
3Chris StanleyLiberal Democrats86520.5%61.5%+36.5 ptsElected
4Keith PoddConservative Party3057.2%21.7%
5Deborah MercerConservative Party3037.2%21.5%
6John ChaffinRochford2796.6%19.8%
7Tony HollisConservative Party2666.3%18.9%
8Shaun CainLabour Party1453.4%10.3%

EC ward code E05010844 · Back to ward index

Hawkwell East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,024

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lesley ButcherConservative Party80226.1%78.3%+53.3 ptsElected
2Mike WebbConservative Party68722.4%67.1%+42.1 ptsElected
3Elliot MasonRochford67421.9%65.8%+40.8 ptsElected
4Jo McPhersonConservative Party55618.1%54.3%
5Gill GibsonLabour Party35311.5%34.5%

EC ward code E05010846 · Back to ward index

Hockley and Ashingdon · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 76.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,074

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Carole WestonConservative Party1,02131.7%95.1%+70.1 ptsElected
2Mike CarterConservative Party93829.1%87.4%+62.4 ptsElected
3Terry CutmoreConservative Party81725.4%76.1%+51.1 ptsElected
4Stephen WillisLabour Party44513.8%41.4%

EC ward code E05010849 · Back to ward index