← Rugby (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Rugby 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,861 | 36.1% | 7 | 50.0% | 6 | 42.9% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 6,252 | 25.4% | 3 | 21.4% | 4 | 28.6% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,300 | 17.5% | 3 | 21.4% | 2 | 14.3% | +1 |
| Independent | 1,916 | 7.8% | 1 | 7.1% | 1 | 7.1% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,846 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,020 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 381 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 24,576 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · −8.8 pts below quota
- Newbold and Brownsover · 1 seat · won at 44.9% · −5.1 pts below quota
- Coton and Boughton · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · −3.7 pts below quota
- Paddox · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · −0.9 pts below quota
- Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Admirals and Cawston · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
- New Bilton · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
- Rokeby and Overslade · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Bilton · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
- Benn · 1 seat · won at 55.0% · above quota
- Revel and Binley Woods · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Wolston and the Lawfords · 1 seat · won at 60.5% · above quota
- Clifton, Newton and Churchover · 1 seat · won at 69.2% · above quota
- Dunsmore · 1 seat · won at 75.7% · above quota
Race results
Hillmorton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,630
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Cranham | Conservative Party | 672 | 41.2% | −8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Ellis | Labour Party | 514 | 31.5% | — | |
| 3 | Patricia Wyatt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 283 | 17.4% | — | |
| 4 | Terence White | Liberal Democrats | 92 | 5.6% | — | |
| 5 | Paul Machin | Green Party | 69 | 4.2% | — |
Newbold and Brownsover · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,402
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kieren Brown | Labour Party | 630 | 44.9% | −5.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sara Last | Conservative Party | 491 | 35.0% | — | |
| 3 | Lorna Dunleavy | Green Party | 175 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Jerome Perrier | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 7.6% | — |
Coton and Boughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,413
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolyn Robbins | Conservative Party | 654 | 46.3% | −3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alan Webb | Labour Party | 424 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | David McLean | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 223 | 15.8% | — | |
| 4 | Gwendoline Hotten | Liberal Democrats | 112 | 7.9% | — |
Paddox · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,229
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Douglas | Liberal Democrats | 1,095 | 49.1% | −0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Greg Lyttle | Conservative Party | 455 | 20.4% | — | |
| 3 | Janine O'Brien | Labour Party | 307 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Kenneth Armstrong | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 244 | 10.9% | — | |
| 5 | Julie-Ann Machin | Green Party | 128 | 5.7% | — |
Eastlands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,965
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Roodhouse | Liberal Democrats | 981 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Weston | Labour Party | 373 | 19.0% | — | |
| 3 | Tony Meeson | Conservative Party | 334 | 17.0% | — | |
| 4 | Frank McGowan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 179 | 9.1% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Reynolds | Green Party | 72 | 3.7% | — | |
| 6 | Robert Johnson | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 26 | 1.3% | — |
Admirals and Cawston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,809
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Butlin | Conservative Party | 917 | 50.7% | +0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hamish Livingstone | Labour Party | 622 | 34.4% | — | |
| 3 | Lee Chase | Liberal Democrats | 170 | 9.4% | — | |
| 4 | Steve Edkins | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 100 | 5.5% | — |
New Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,372
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ish Mistry | Labour Party | 702 | 51.2% | +1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kevin McLoughlin | Conservative Party | 403 | 29.4% | — | |
| 3 | Roy Sandison | Green Party | 126 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Ally MacGregor | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 71 | 5.2% | — | |
| 5 | Hossain Tafazzal | Liberal Democrats | 70 | 5.1% | — |
Rokeby and Overslade · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,330
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carie-Anne Dumbleton | Liberal Democrats | 1,196 | 51.3% | +1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ravi Mistry | Conservative Party | 527 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Howard Avis | Labour Party | 471 | 20.2% | — | |
| 4 | Kate Crowley | Green Party | 88 | 3.8% | — | |
| 5 | Julie Weekes | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 48 | 2.1% | — |
Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,976
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julie A'Barrow | Conservative Party | 1,070 | 54.1% | +4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Bull | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 305 | 15.4% | — | |
| 3 | Lesley George | Liberal Democrats | 290 | 14.7% | — | |
| 4 | Pawel Ignatowicz | Labour Party | 220 | 11.1% | — | |
| 5 | Steven Wright | Green Party | 91 | 4.6% | — |
Benn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,522
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maggie O'Rourke | Labour Party | 837 | 55.0% | +5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Charlie Hull | Conservative Party | 245 | 16.1% | — | |
| 3 | Alex Speirs | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 179 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Graham Bliss | Green Party | 133 | 8.7% | — | |
| 5 | Hugh Trimble | Liberal Democrats | 128 | 8.4% | — |
Revel and Binley Woods · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,007
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Gillias | Conservative Party | 1,162 | 57.9% | +7.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Birch | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 433 | 21.6% | — | |
| 3 | Rob Bevin | Labour Party | 412 | 20.5% | — |
Wolston and the Lawfords · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,796
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sally Bragg | Conservative Party | 1,086 | 60.5% | +10.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Doreen Cox | Labour Party | 436 | 24.3% | — | |
| 3 | Elanor Roderick | Green Party | 138 | 7.7% | — | |
| 4 | Pete McLaren | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 136 | 7.6% | — |
Clifton, Newton and Churchover · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 594
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leigh Hunt | Conservative Party | 411 | 69.2% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Catherine Rose | Labour Party | 123 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | Keith Ward | Liberal Democrats | 60 | 10.1% | — |
Dunsmore · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,531
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard Roberts | Independent | 1,916 | 75.7% | +25.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Picker | Conservative Party | 434 | 17.1% | — | |
| 3 | Bob Hughes | Labour Party | 181 | 7.2% | — |