← Rugby (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Rugby 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 9,922 | 41.3% | 8 | 57.1% | 6 | 42.9% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 6,341 | 26.4% | 3 | 21.4% | 4 | 28.6% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,472 | 22.8% | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 21.4% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,577 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 729 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 24,041 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Coton and Boughton · 1 seat · won at 40.3% · −9.7 pts below quota
- Newbold and Brownsover · 1 seat · won at 42.2% · −7.8 pts below quota
- New Bilton · 1 seat · won at 42.2% · −7.8 pts below quota
- Benn · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · −3.1 pts below quota
- Admirals and Cawston · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · −2.9 pts below quota
- Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Bilton · 1 seat · won at 53.3% · above quota
- Wolston and the Lawfords · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Paddox · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
- Rokeby and Overslade · 1 seat · won at 63.2% · above quota
- Dunsmore · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota
- Revel and Binley Woods · 1 seat · won at 73.3% · above quota
- Leam Valley · 1 seat · won at 81.2% · above quota
Race results
Coton and Boughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,683
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seb Lowe | Conservative Party | 679 | 40.3% | −9.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Gore | Labour Party | 503 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Bramble | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 204 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | James Moran | Liberal Democrats | 158 | 9.4% | — | |
| 5 | Maralyn Pickup | Green Party | 139 | 8.3% | — |
Newbold and Brownsover · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,443
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Ellis | Labour Party | 609 | 42.2% | −7.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Tomlin | Conservative Party | 511 | 35.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Summers | Green Party | 233 | 16.1% | — | |
| 4 | Hossain Tafazzal | Liberal Democrats | 90 | 6.2% | — |
New Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,352
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbara Brown | Labour Party | 571 | 42.2% | −7.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eve Hassell | Conservative Party | 322 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | David Barker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 202 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Beggs | Green Party | 134 | 9.9% | — | |
| 5 | Keith Ward | Liberal Democrats | 123 | 9.1% | — |
Benn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,498
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Mahoney | Labour Party | 703 | 46.9% | −3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rachel Lowe | Conservative Party | 268 | 17.9% | — | |
| 3 | Rebecca Stevenson | Green Party | 222 | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Hugh Trimble | Liberal Democrats | 172 | 11.5% | — | |
| 5 | Enid Niven | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 133 | 8.9% | — |
Admirals and Cawston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,905
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Stokes | Conservative Party | 898 | 47.1% | −2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sharron Goldingay | Labour Party | 606 | 31.8% | — | |
| 3 | Lee Chase | Liberal Democrats | 401 | 21.0% | — |
Eastlands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,910
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Sandison | Liberal Democrats | 910 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ben Law | Labour Party | 385 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | Carolyn Watson-Merret | Conservative Party | 306 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Roy Harvey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 190 | 9.9% | — | |
| 5 | Patrick Steel | Green Party | 119 | 6.2% | — |
Hillmorton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,587
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kathryn Lawrence | Conservative Party | 800 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Feeney | Labour Party | 450 | 28.4% | — | |
| 3 | Julie Douglas | Liberal Democrats | 181 | 11.4% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Reynolds | Green Party | 156 | 9.8% | — |
Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,910
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisa Parker | Conservative Party | 1,018 | 53.3% | +3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Phil Hemsley | Labour Party | 474 | 24.8% | — | |
| 3 | Lesley George | Liberal Democrats | 418 | 21.9% | — |
Wolston and the Lawfords · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,767
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Poole | Conservative Party | 961 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lesley Summers | Green Party | 425 | 24.1% | — | |
| 3 | Graham Bliss | Labour Party | 381 | 21.6% | — |
Paddox · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,194
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerry Roodhouse | Liberal Democrats | 1,266 | 57.7% | +7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adam Daly | Conservative Party | 440 | 20.1% | — | |
| 3 | Jonathan Vickers | Labour Party | 339 | 15.5% | — | |
| 4 | Roy Sandison | Green Party | 149 | 6.8% | — |
Rokeby and Overslade · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,020
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Long | Liberal Democrats | 1,276 | 63.2% | +13.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Beck Hemsley | Labour Party | 373 | 18.5% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Johnson | Conservative Party | 371 | 18.4% | — |
Dunsmore · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,172
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Eccleson | Conservative Party | 1,374 | 63.3% | +13.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Louise Bennett | Liberal Democrats | 477 | 22.0% | — | |
| 3 | Peter McLaverty | Labour Party | 321 | 14.8% | — |
Revel and Binley Woods · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,733
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heather Timms | Conservative Party | 1,270 | 73.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Harrington | Labour Party | 463 | 26.7% | — |
Leam Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 867
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emma Crane | Conservative Party | 704 | 81.2% | +31.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bob Hughes | Labour Party | 163 | 18.8% | — |