← Runnymede (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Runnymede 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

14 ward races
15 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
26.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party9,36551.5%1386.7%960.0%+4
Labour Party3,39418.7%00.0%320.0%-3
UK Independence Party (UKIP)2,34612.9%00.0%213.3%-2
RIRG1,92510.6%213.3%16.7%+1
Liberal Democrats7033.9%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party4362.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total18,169100.0%15100.0%15100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Egham Hythe · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,263

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Yvonna LayConservative Party49339.0%−11.0 ptsElected
2Robert KingLabour Party38030.1%
3Alexander BalkanUK Independence Party (UKIP)26921.3%
4Aidan WatsonLiberal Democrats1219.6%

EC ward code E05007353 · Back to ward index

Chertsey St Ann's · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,424

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Myles WillingaleConservative Party60042.1%−7.9 ptsElected
2Arran NeatheyLabour Party40028.1%
3William BrunoUK Independence Party (UKIP)31522.1%
4Sylvia WhyteLiberal Democrats1097.7%

EC ward code E05007351 · Back to ward index

Englefield Green West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 860

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nigel KingConservative Party36542.4%−7.6 ptsElected
2Abby KingLabour Party25830.0%
3David HuntUK Independence Party (UKIP)23727.6%

EC ward code E05007356 · Back to ward index

Chertsey Meads · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,268

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mark NutiConservative Party61648.6%−1.4 ptsElected
2Judith MiddletonLabour Party29022.9%
3Christopher ButcherUK Independence Party (UKIP)27121.4%
4Lee-Anne LawranceGreen Party917.2%

EC ward code E05007350 · Back to ward index

Foxhills · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,436

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Iftikhar ChaudhriConservative Party77554.0%+4.0 ptsElected
2Christopher BrowneUK Independence Party (UKIP)42629.7%
3Fiona DentLabour Party23516.4%

EC ward code E05007357 · Back to ward index

Thorpe · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,399

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Elaine GillRIRG79056.5%+6.5 ptsElected
2John GynnUK Independence Party (UKIP)34224.4%
3Mark PearceConservative Party15511.1%
4Jacqueline FletcherLabour Party1128.0%

EC ward code E05007359 · Back to ward index

Chertsey South and Row Town · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,379

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Scott LewisConservative Party78556.9%+6.9 ptsElected
2Richard MillerGreen Party34525.0%
3Philip MartinLabour Party24918.1%

EC ward code E05007352 · Back to ward index

Virginia Water · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,209

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Carol ManducaConservative Party68957.0%+7.0 ptsElected
2Brian ClarkeRIRG36630.3%
3Ross ThompsonUK Independence Party (UKIP)15412.7%

EC ward code E05007360 · Back to ward index

Addlestone Bourneside · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,327

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cherith SimmonsConservative Party77258.2%+8.2 ptsElected
2June TilburyLabour Party40730.7%
3Donald WhyteLiberal Democrats14811.2%

EC ward code E05007348 · Back to ward index

Addlestone North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,207

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stewart MackayConservative Party72259.8%+9.8 ptsElected
2Anne Emerson-MillerLabour Party48540.2%

EC ward code E05007349 · Back to ward index

Egham Town · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,235

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David KnightRIRG76962.3%+12.3 ptsElected
2Liane GibsonConservative Party27922.6%
3Helen JewellLabour Party18715.1%

EC ward code E05007354 · Back to ward index

New Haw · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,204

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Adrian TollettConservative Party75062.3%+12.3 ptsElected
2James MullettLabour Party23019.1%
3Jennifer CoulonLiberal Democrats22418.6%

EC ward code E05007358 · Back to ward index

Englefield Green East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 764

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Marisa HeathConservative Party50265.7%+15.7 ptsElected
2Benjamin TozerLabour Party16121.1%
3Catherine WatsonLiberal Democrats10113.2%

EC ward code E05007355 · Back to ward index

Woodham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 82.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +48.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,097

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thomas GraceyConservative Party96143.8%87.6%+54.3 ptsElected
2David Anderson-BasseyConservative Party90141.1%82.1%+48.8 ptsElected
3Valerie WoodhouseUK Independence Party (UKIP)33215.1%30.3%

EC ward code E05007361 · Back to ward index