← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Rushmoor 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,024 | 39.1% | 8 | 61.5% | 6 | 46.2% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 5,287 | 25.8% | 4 | 30.8% | 3 | 23.1% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,492 | 21.9% | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 23.1% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,557 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,124 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 43 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 20,527 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- St Mark's · 1 seat · won at 39.2% · −10.8 pts below quota
- Rowhill · 1 seat · won at 41.3% · −8.7 pts below quota
- Cherrywood · 1 seat · won at 43.9% · −6.1 pts below quota
- Manor Park · 1 seat · won at 43.9% · −6.1 pts below quota
- St John's · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · −5.4 pts below quota
- Aldershot Park · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · −4.1 pts below quota
- Cove and Southwood · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · −1.4 pts below quota
- Empress · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · −0.5 pts below quota
- West Heath · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Fernhill · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
- Knellwood · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
- Wellington · 1 seat · won at 63.0% · above quota
- North Town · 1 seat · won at 68.7% · above quota
Race results
St Mark's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,560
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diane Bedford | Conservative Party | 611 | 39.2% | −10.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Abul Koher Chowdhury | Liberal Democrats | 439 | 28.1% | — | |
| 3 | Colin Southon | Labour Party | 219 | 14.0% | — | |
| 4 | Simon Austridge | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 178 | 11.4% | — | |
| 5 | Gary Simpson | Green Party | 70 | 4.5% | — | |
| 6 | Carl Hewitt | Independent | 43 | 2.8% | — |
Rowhill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,744
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maurice Sheehan | Conservative Party | 721 | 41.3% | −8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kevin Betsworth | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 457 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Julie Considine | Labour Party | 417 | 23.9% | — | |
| 4 | Peta Howell | Green Party | 149 | 8.5% | — |
Cherrywood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,683
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clive Grattan | Labour Party | 738 | 43.9% | −6.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Derek Cornwell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 442 | 26.3% | — | |
| 3 | Martha Makunura | Conservative Party | 360 | 21.4% | — | |
| 4 | Shaun Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 143 | 8.5% | — |
Manor Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,859
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Clifford | Conservative Party | 816 | 43.9% | −6.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dominique Swaddling | Labour Party | 447 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Adair | Liberal Democrats | 359 | 19.3% | — | |
| 4 | David Collett | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 237 | 12.7% | — |
St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,658
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Moyle | Conservative Party | 740 | 44.6% | −5.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christopher Harding | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 486 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Suzan Gadsby | Labour Party | 303 | 18.3% | — | |
| 4 | Philip Thompson | Liberal Democrats | 129 | 7.8% | — |
Aldershot Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,144
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Roberts | Labour Party | 525 | 45.9% | −4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeffery Boxall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 314 | 27.4% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Collins | Conservative Party | 264 | 23.1% | — | |
| 4 | Lucy Perrin | Green Party | 41 | 3.6% | — |
Cove and Southwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,684
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Carter | Conservative Party | 818 | 48.6% | −1.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennifer Parsons | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 389 | 23.1% | — | |
| 3 | Madi Jabbi | Labour Party | 233 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Alain Dekker | Liberal Democrats | 168 | 10.0% | — | |
| 5 | Mark Palmer | Green Party | 76 | 4.5% | — |
Empress · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,626
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Munro | Conservative Party | 805 | 49.5% | −0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Donna Wallace | Green Party | 425 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Hayward | Labour Party | 203 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Colin Nixon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 193 | 11.9% | — |
West Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,919
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Staplehurst | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,002 | 52.2% | +2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Morgan | Conservative Party | 449 | 23.4% | — | |
| 3 | Trevor Simpson | Labour Party | 253 | 13.2% | — | |
| 4 | Josephine Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 122 | 6.4% | — | |
| 5 | Paula Marshall | Green Party | 93 | 4.8% | — |
Fernhill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,553
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Woolley | Conservative Party | 822 | 52.9% | +2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Harry Nelson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 352 | 22.7% | — | |
| 3 | Leonard Amos | Labour Party | 260 | 16.7% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Coule | Green Party | 119 | 7.7% | — |
Knellwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,993
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Taylor | Conservative Party | 1,159 | 58.2% | +8.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | William Tootill | Labour Party | 279 | 14.0% | — | |
| 3 | Rosemary Bell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 243 | 12.2% | — | |
| 4 | Jeffrey de Noronha | Liberal Democrats | 161 | 8.1% | — | |
| 5 | Amy Lewry | Green Party | 151 | 7.6% | — |
Wellington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 611
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Crawford | Labour Party | 385 | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Attika Choudhary | Conservative Party | 190 | 31.1% | — | |
| 3 | Abu Koher | Liberal Democrats | 36 | 5.9% | — |
North Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,493
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Dibble | Labour Party | 1,025 | 68.7% | +18.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Armitage | Conservative Party | 269 | 18.0% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Letties | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 199 | 13.3% | — |