← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Rushmoor 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,239 | 41.9% | 9 | 69.2% | 7 | 53.8% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 5,798 | 29.5% | 3 | 23.1% | 4 | 30.8% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,162 | 11.0% | 1 | 7.7% | 1 | 7.7% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,825 | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Independent | 688 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 486 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| CollDemU | 262 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| BUSP | 184 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 19,644 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- West Heath · 1 seat · won at 31.4% · −18.6 pts below quota
- Rowhill · 1 seat · won at 34.9% · −15.1 pts below quota
- Empress · 1 seat · won at 37.8% · −12.2 pts below quota
- St Mark's · 1 seat · won at 38.2% · −11.8 pts below quota
- Knellwood · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Wellington · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · −3.1 pts below quota
- Cove and Southwood · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · −0.7 pts below quota
- Cherrywood · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · −0.6 pts below quota
- Manor Park · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
- Aldershot Park · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- North Town · 1 seat · won at 62.5% · above quota
- Fernhill · 1 seat · won at 63.8% · above quota
- St John's · 1 seat · won at 72.4% · above quota
Race results
West Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 31.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −18.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,677
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeffers | Conservative Party | 527 | 31.4% | −18.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Bell | Independent | 427 | 25.5% | — | |
| 3 | Rebekkah Thomas | Labour Party | 250 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Craig Card | Liberal Democrats | 239 | 14.3% | — | |
| 5 | Christopher Harding | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 234 | 14.0% | — |
Rowhill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 34.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,958
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Salim Choudhary | Conservative Party | 683 | 34.9% | −15.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennifer Evans | Labour Party | 466 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Hilliar | Liberal Democrats | 421 | 21.5% | — | |
| 4 | Tommy Anderson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 293 | 15.0% | — | |
| 5 | Kevin Betsworth | CollDemU | 95 | 4.9% | — |
Empress · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,565
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian Newell | Conservative Party | 592 | 37.8% | −12.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Donna Wallace | Green Party | 486 | 31.1% | — | |
| 3 | William O'Donovan | Labour Party | 379 | 24.2% | — | |
| 4 | John Peckham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 108 | 6.9% | — |
St Mark's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,457
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alain Dekker | Liberal Democrats | 556 | 38.2% | −11.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Corps | Conservative Party | 491 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Carl Hewitt | Labour Party | 226 | 15.5% | — | |
| 4 | Zack Culshaw | BUSP | 184 | 12.6% | — |
Knellwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,005
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calum Stewart | Conservative Party | 902 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicholas March | Liberal Democrats | 400 | 20.0% | — | |
| 3 | Kevin Joyce | Independent | 261 | 13.0% | — | |
| 4 | Gareth Williams | Labour Party | 259 | 12.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lionel Winder | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 183 | 9.1% | — |
Wellington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 699
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prabesh KC | Conservative Party | 328 | 46.9% | −3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Yvette Dean-Bunting | Labour Party | 286 | 40.9% | — | |
| 3 | Thomas Mitchell | Liberal Democrats | 85 | 12.2% | — |
Cove and Southwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,624
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Masterson | Conservative Party | 800 | 49.3% | −0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jill Whyman | Liberal Democrats | 331 | 20.4% | — | |
| 3 | Madi Jabbi | Labour Party | 251 | 15.5% | — | |
| 4 | Jennifer Parsons | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 242 | 14.9% | — |
Cherrywood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,348
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christine Guinness | Labour Party | 666 | 49.4% | −0.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Leonard Amos | Conservative Party | 334 | 24.8% | — | |
| 3 | Sam Attwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 218 | 16.2% | — | |
| 4 | Shaun Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 130 | 9.6% | — |
Manor Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,930
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Crerar | Conservative Party | 1,022 | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Mairs | Labour Party | 669 | 34.7% | — | |
| 3 | Gillian Bailey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 239 | 12.4% | — |
Aldershot Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,310
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sophie Porter | Labour Party | 749 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeffery Boxall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 308 | 23.5% | — | |
| 3 | Muhammad Mashood | Conservative Party | 253 | 19.3% | — |
North Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,505
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaynor Austin | Labour Party | 940 | 62.5% | +12.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stuart Trussler | Conservative Party | 565 | 37.5% | — |
Fernhill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,355
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Marsh | Conservative Party | 865 | 63.8% | +13.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Guinness | Labour Party | 323 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | William Walker | CollDemU | 167 | 12.3% | — |
St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,211
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Cullum | Conservative Party | 877 | 72.4% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | June Smith | Labour Party | 334 | 27.6% | — |