← Salford (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Salford 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

20 ward races
21 seats
6 elected below the proportional quota
28.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party25,96150.4%1990.5%1152.4%+8
Conservative Party11,36022.0%29.5%523.8%-3
UK Independence Party (UKIP)9,04317.5%00.0%419.0%-4
Green Party3,5066.8%00.0%14.8%-1
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1,0372.0%00.0%00.0%0
Independent5351.0%00.0%00.0%0
EDP430.1%00.0%00.0%0
BritRes260.1%00.0%00.0%0
Republic210.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total51,532100.0%21100.0%21100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Walkden South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,255

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Richard CritchleyLabour Party1,42143.7%−6.3 ptsElected
2Anne BroomheadConservative Party1,26638.9%
3Ann LordUK Independence Party (UKIP)39012.0%
4Thomas DylanGreen Party1494.6%
5Jamie CarrTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition290.9%

EC ward code E05000775 · Back to ward index

Swinton South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,389

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Heather FletcherLabour Party1,10546.3%−3.7 ptsElected
2Joe O'NeillUK Independence Party (UKIP)57924.2%
3Nicky TurnerConservative Party44318.5%
4Nicola SmithGreen Party1616.7%
5Matt KilsbyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition492.1%
6Craig HolmesEDP431.8%
7Eddy O'SullivanBritRes90.4%

EC ward code E05000773 · Back to ward index

Kersal · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,588

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Peter ConnorLabour Party1,21947.1%−2.9 ptsElected
2Arnold SaundersConservative Party94236.4%
3Seamus MartinUK Independence Party (UKIP)28310.9%
4Jason ReadingGreen Party1134.4%
5Alan MetcalfeTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition311.2%

EC ward code E05000767 · Back to ward index

Claremont · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,694

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barbara BenthamLabour Party1,29448.0%−2.0 ptsElected
2Mary FerrerUK Independence Party (UKIP)66624.7%
3Bob GoodallConservative Party48918.2%
4Dane YatesGreen Party2459.1%

EC ward code E05000763 · Back to ward index

Pendlebury · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,647

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barry WarnerLabour Party1,28748.6%−1.4 ptsElected
2Andy OlsenUK Independence Party (UKIP)72827.5%
3Jonathan GrosskopfConservative Party37314.1%
4Paul BrighouseGreen Party1616.1%
5Sean WarrenTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition772.9%
6Stuart CreminsRepublic210.8%

EC ward code E05000771 · Back to ward index

Langworthy · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,327

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Paul LongshawLabour Party1,14249.1%−0.9 ptsElected
2Christopher BarnesUK Independence Party (UKIP)58625.2%
3Mark BreezeIndependent26411.3%
4Ian MacdonaldConservative Party1516.5%
5Ian PattinsonGreen Party1396.0%
6Andrew CarssTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition451.9%

EC ward code E05000768 · Back to ward index

Swinton North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,663

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Derek AntrobusLabour Party1,34050.3%+0.3 ptsElected
2Stacey OlsenUK Independence Party (UKIP)61923.2%
3Sharon BulmerConservative Party50018.8%
4Steven WillettGreen Party1375.1%
5Norma Parkinson-GreenTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition672.5%

EC ward code E05000772 · Back to ward index

Boothstown and Ellenbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,729

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bob ClarkeConservative Party1,38950.9%+0.9 ptsElected
2Lee RowbothamLabour Party73927.1%
3Joseph EvansUK Independence Party (UKIP)38614.1%
4Lauren BarnesGreen Party1927.0%
5Kit WatsonTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition230.8%

EC ward code E05000760 · Back to ward index

Weaste and Seedley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,438

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen HeslingLabour Party1,26852.0%+2.0 ptsElected
2Barrie FallowsUK Independence Party (UKIP)59124.2%
3Adam KennaughConservative Party34214.0%
4Rob StephensonGreen Party1727.1%
5Becci HeagneyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition652.7%

EC ward code E05000776 · Back to ward index

Walkden North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,105

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brendan RyanLabour Party1,14654.4%+4.4 ptsElected
2Bernard GillUK Independence Party (UKIP)52625.0%
3Shazia QayyumConservative Party24311.5%
4Diana BattersbyGreen Party1306.2%
5Terry SimmonsTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition602.9%

EC ward code E05000774 · Back to ward index

Cadishead · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,192

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John WalshLabour Party1,22055.7%+5.7 ptsElected
2Stephen FerrerUK Independence Party (UKIP)40918.7%
3Dorothy ChapmanConservative Party36716.7%
4Diane CawoodGreen Party1587.2%
5Melissa AndrewsTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition381.7%

EC ward code E05000762 · Back to ward index

Worsley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,256

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Karen GarridoConservative Party1,83356.3%+6.3 ptsElected
2Stuart DickmanLabour Party84626.0%
3Andrew TownsendUK Independence Party (UKIP)37211.4%
4Christopher BertenshawGreen Party1795.5%
5Thomas ThurmanTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition260.8%

EC ward code E05000778 · Back to ward index

Irwell Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,819

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen CoenLabour Party1,05558.0%+8.0 ptsElected
2Katherine AlderUK Independence Party (UKIP)31617.4%
3Wendy OlsenGreen Party23312.8%
4Thomas ChambersConservative Party1809.9%
5Benjamin WilkesTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition351.9%

EC ward code E05000766 · Back to ward index

Winton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,370

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David LancasterLabour Party1,38158.3%+8.3 ptsElected
2George DarlingtonConservative Party40417.0%
3Paul DoyleIndependent27111.4%
4Susan O'SheaGreen Party1717.2%
5Rob RoyleTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1436.0%

EC ward code E05000777 · Back to ward index

Irlam · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,902

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tracy KellyLabour Party1,11858.8%+8.8 ptsElected
2Brian RobinsonUK Independence Party (UKIP)43522.9%
3Noel GaskellConservative Party24813.0%
4Barry WoodlingGreen Party583.0%
5Michelle O'MahoneyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition432.3%

EC ward code E05000765 · Back to ward index

Ordsall · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,550

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ray MashiterLabour Party1,52159.6%+9.6 ptsElected
2Adam CarneyConservative Party37014.5%
3Emma van DykeGreen Party33113.0%
4Owen HammondUK Independence Party (UKIP)28011.0%
5Ashley TaylorTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition481.9%

EC ward code E05000770 · Back to ward index

Barton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,317

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John MullenLabour Party1,39860.3%+10.3 ptsElected
2Glyn WrightUK Independence Party (UKIP)44519.2%
3Hilary BrunyeeConservative Party28712.4%
4Daniel TowersGreen Party1245.4%
5Susan WrightTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition462.0%
6Wayne TomlinsonBritRes170.7%

EC ward code E05000759 · Back to ward index

Little Hulton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 43.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,914

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Robert SharpeLabour Party1,17130.6%61.2%+27.8 ptsElected
2Colette WeirLabour Party83721.9%43.7%+10.4 ptsElected
3Phil BridgeUK Independence Party (UKIP)64816.9%33.9%
4Bod SkoczypecUK Independence Party (UKIP)41610.9%21.7%
5Nathan JamesConservative Party3178.3%16.6%
6Matthew LightfootConservative Party2296.0%12.0%
7Frederick BattersbyGreen Party2105.5%11.0%

EC ward code E05000769 · Back to ward index

Eccles · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,037

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Peter WheelerLabour Party1,87361.7%+11.7 ptsElected
2Jonathan BootConservative Party70723.3%
3Helen AlkerGreen Party2849.4%
4Sally GriffithsTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1735.7%

EC ward code E05000764 · Back to ward index

Broughton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,426

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jim KingLabour Party1,58065.1%+15.1 ptsElected
2Shneur OdzeUK Independence Party (UKIP)36815.2%
3Yonie SaundersConservative Party28011.5%
4David JonesGreen Party1596.6%
5Andrew SherrattTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition391.6%

EC ward code E05000761 · Back to ward index