← Southampton (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Southampton 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

16 ward races
18 seats
13 elected below the proportional quota
72.2% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party23,45641.7%1266.7%950.0%+3
Conservative Party17,60531.3%527.8%633.3%-1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)4,4447.9%00.0%15.6%-1
Liberal Democrats3,9117.0%00.0%15.6%-1
Green Party3,4516.1%00.0%15.6%-1
Independent2,2864.1%15.6%00.0%+1
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1,0601.9%00.0%00.0%0
Total56,213100.0%18100.0%18100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Portswood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,307

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John SavageLabour Party1,10633.4%−16.6 ptsElected
2Linda NorrisConservative Party85125.7%
3Adrian FordLiberal Democrats82324.9%
4Kieren BrownGreen Party3139.5%
5Molly ChandlerUK Independence Party (UKIP)1805.4%
6Nicholas ChaffeyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition341.0%

EC ward code E05002465 · Back to ward index

Coxford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,402

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tammy ThomasIndependent1,31738.7%−11.3 ptsElected
2Sally SpicerLabour Party92427.2%
3Joseph LockyerUK Independence Party (UKIP)49814.6%
4Trevor GlasspoolConservative Party39611.6%
5Victoria GaltonLiberal Democrats1133.3%
6Richard McQuillanIndependent842.5%
7Derek ChandlerGreen Party702.1%

EC ward code E05002460 · Back to ward index

Sholing · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,567

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1James BaillieConservative Party1,44540.5%−9.5 ptsElected
2Daniel JefferyLabour Party1,28636.1%
3Derek HumberUK Independence Party (UKIP)55615.6%
4Nicholas FordGreen Party1203.4%
5Kenneth DarkeLiberal Democrats1103.1%
6Declan CluneTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition501.4%

EC ward code E05002468 · Back to ward index

Bitterne · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,776

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Frances MurphyLabour Party1,15041.4%−8.6 ptsElected
2Edward OsmondConservative Party78328.2%
3Kim RoseUK Independence Party (UKIP)54119.5%
4Robert NaishLiberal Democrats1324.8%
5Jodie CopelandGreen Party1284.6%
6Dawn StruttTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition421.5%

EC ward code E05002458 · Back to ward index

Millbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,641

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sarah TaggartLabour Party1,51741.7%−8.3 ptsElected
2Steven GaltonConservative Party1,33236.6%
3Pearline HingstonUK Independence Party (UKIP)44212.1%
4Graham GaltonLiberal Democrats1674.6%
5Jonathan BeanGreen Party1524.2%
6Peter WyattTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition310.9%

EC ward code E05002463 · Back to ward index

Bitterne Park · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,304

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ivan WhiteConservative Party1,39842.3%−7.7 ptsElected
2Stephen FenertyLabour Party1,22337.0%
3Jennifer BarnesGreen Party34210.4%
4James ReadLiberal Democrats2617.9%
5Linda BoultonTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition802.4%

EC ward code E05002459 · Back to ward index

Peartree · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,662

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Eamonn KeoghLabour Party1,65545.2%−4.8 ptsElected
2Marley GuthrieConservative Party1,17832.2%
3Vincent AvellinoUK Independence Party (UKIP)46812.8%
4Eileen BowersLiberal Democrats1804.9%
5Gemma MathiesonGreen Party1604.4%
6Michael MarxTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition210.6%

EC ward code E05002464 · Back to ward index

Shirley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,174

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mark ChalonerLabour Party1,93146.3%−3.7 ptsElected
2Matthew TurpinConservative Party1,14227.4%
3Nicholas RayUK Independence Party (UKIP)42110.1%
4Peter GaltonLiberal Democrats2536.1%
5David FletcherIndependent2295.5%
6John SpottiswoodeGreen Party1984.7%

EC ward code E05002467 · Back to ward index

Redbridge · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,029

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lee WhitbreadLabour Party1,41246.6%−3.4 ptsElected
2Stephen McKinnonUK Independence Party (UKIP)59019.5%
3Preshan JeevaratnamConservative Party43714.4%
4Denise WyattIndependent41313.6%
5Simon StokesLiberal Democrats1013.3%
6Christopher JamesGreen Party762.5%

EC ward code E05002466 · Back to ward index

Bargate · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,753

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Darren PaffeyLabour Party1,28546.7%−3.3 ptsElected
2Spencer BowmanConservative Party86731.5%
3John EastonIndependent2438.8%
4Joseph CoxGreen Party2218.0%
5Thomas GravattLiberal Democrats1375.0%

EC ward code E05002455 · Back to ward index

Freemantle · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,426

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David ShieldsLabour Party1,62347.4%−2.6 ptsElected
2Christopher GraceConservative Party1,06331.0%
3Colin HingstonUK Independence Party (UKIP)3068.9%
4Jonathan MartinGreen Party2567.5%
5Amy GreenwoodLiberal Democrats1785.2%

EC ward code E05002461 · Back to ward index

Bassett · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,041

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John HannidesConservative Party1,45247.7%−2.3 ptsElected
2Matthew RenyardLabour Party71023.3%
3Steven HulbertLiberal Democrats35611.7%
4Jean RomseyUK Independence Party (UKIP)2919.6%
5James PeploeGreen Party2046.7%
6David RawlinsonTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition280.9%

EC ward code E05002456 · Back to ward index

Swaythling · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,386

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sharon MintoffLabour Party1,14548.0%−2.0 ptsElected
2Harmeet Singh BrarConservative Party69329.0%
3Angela CottonGreen Party24110.1%
4Julien PoulainLiberal Democrats2058.6%
5Kevin HayesTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1024.3%

EC ward code E05002469 · Back to ward index

Harefield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,966

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Peter BaillieConservative Party1,52525.7%51.4%+18.1 ptsElected
2Valerie LaurentConservative Party1,36223.0%45.9%+12.6 ptsElected
3Mary LloydLabour Party1,05417.8%35.5%
4Daniel LucasLabour Party88314.9%29.8%
5Christopher BluemelGreen Party2464.1%8.3%
6Carol LloydLiberal Democrats2043.4%6.9%
7John DennisLiberal Democrats1893.2%6.4%
8Carole FletcherTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1712.9%5.8%
9Michael MawleGreen Party1652.8%5.6%
10Alexander O'ReillyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1332.2%4.5%

EC ward code E05002462 · Back to ward index

Woolston · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,566

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Susan BlatchfordLabour Party1,40727.4%54.8%+21.5 ptsElected
2Christopher HammondLabour Party1,27924.9%49.9%+16.5 ptsElected
3Alexander FiuzaConservative Party69513.5%27.1%
4Joseph SpencerConservative Party66713.0%26.0%
5Colin BleachLiberal Democrats2695.2%10.5%
6Susan AtkinsTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition2134.2%8.3%
7Katherine BarbourGreen Party2134.2%8.3%
8Ronald MeldrumGreen Party1402.7%5.5%
9Graham HenryTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1252.4%4.9%
10Keith ReedLiberal Democrats1232.4%4.8%

EC ward code E05002470 · Back to ward index

Bevois · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,682

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen Barnes-AndrewsLabour Party1,86669.6%+19.6 ptsElected
2Felix DaviesConservative Party31911.9%
3Rosie PearceGreen Party2067.7%
4Richard LyonsUK Independence Party (UKIP)1515.6%
5Paul ClarkeLiberal Democrats1104.1%
6Andrew HoweTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition301.1%

EC ward code E05002457 · Back to ward index