← Swindon (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Swindon 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

19 ward races
19 seats
9 elected below the proportional quota
47.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party19,91540.2%947.4%842.1%+1
Conservative Party18,80137.9%947.4%842.1%+1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)4,4559.0%00.0%15.3%-1
Liberal Democrats3,7507.6%15.3%15.3%0
Green Party2,2534.5%00.0%15.3%-1
Independent3870.8%00.0%00.0%0
Social Democratic Party130.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total49,574100.0%19100.0%19100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Covingham and Dorcan · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,172

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barbara ParryConservative Party1,32941.9%−8.1 ptsElected
2Mohammed Jamal MiahLabour Party70622.3%
3Brian OsbournUK Independence Party (UKIP)56917.9%
4Anthony HillierIndependent38712.2%
5Margaret HooperLiberal Democrats943.0%
6Christopher NoyceGreen Party872.7%

EC ward code E05008956 · Back to ward index

Liden, Eldene and Park South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,610

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Fay HowardLabour Party1,13843.6%−6.4 ptsElected
2Oladapo IbitoyeConservative Party72527.8%
3Robert SheppardUK Independence Party (UKIP)53720.6%
4David MilesGreen Party1124.3%
5Clive HooperLiberal Democrats983.8%

EC ward code E05008960 · Back to ward index

Eastcott · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,786

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stanley PajakLiberal Democrats1,24844.8%−5.2 ptsElected
2Manetta RodriguesLabour Party1,02036.6%
3Drusilla SummersConservative Party2589.3%
4Andrew BentleyGreen Party1324.7%
5Terence HaywardUK Independence Party (UKIP)1284.6%

EC ward code E05008957 · Back to ward index

Penhill and Upper Stratton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,592

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mark DempseyLabour Party1,19045.9%−4.1 ptsElected
2Raymond FisherConservative Party83432.2%
3Jennifer JefferiesUK Independence Party (UKIP)47618.4%
4Raymond JamesLiberal Democrats923.5%

EC ward code E05010757 · Back to ward index

Old Town · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,882

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jane BallardLabour Party1,36347.3%−2.7 ptsElected
2Brian MattockConservative Party1,06236.8%
3Terence DavisUK Independence Party (UKIP)2087.2%
4John HughesGreen Party1445.0%
5Garry PorterLiberal Democrats1053.6%

EC ward code E05008963 · Back to ward index

Blunsdon and Highworth · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,427

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Maureen PennyConservative Party1,62447.4%−2.6 ptsElected
2Alison DurrantLabour Party1,05330.7%
3John ShortUK Independence Party (UKIP)42912.5%
4Andrew DayGreen Party2005.8%
5Geoffrey KingLiberal Democrats1213.5%

EC ward code E05010755 · Back to ward index

Haydon Wick · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,770

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Oliver DonachieConservative Party1,31947.6%−2.4 ptsElected
2Michelle AgostinoLabour Party76527.6%
3Edmund GerrardUK Independence Party (UKIP)43615.7%
4Andrew FrancisGreen Party1495.4%
5Margaret MistryLiberal Democrats1013.6%

EC ward code E05010756 · Back to ward index

Lydiard and Freshbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,951

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Matthew CourtliffLabour Party1,42148.2%−1.8 ptsElected
2Diane RodgersConservative Party1,26642.9%
3James FarrLiberal Democrats2648.9%

EC ward code E05008961 · Back to ward index

St Margaret and South Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,838

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Russell HollandConservative Party1,40949.6%−0.4 ptsElected
2Andrew PedersonLabour Party88031.0%
3Michael ViretUK Independence Party (UKIP)39313.8%
4Dawn PajakLiberal Democrats812.9%
5Howard MarchGreen Party752.6%

EC ward code E05008969 · Back to ward index

Shaw · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,494

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Keith WilliamsConservative Party1,26850.8%+0.8 ptsElected
2Graham PhilpotLabour Party84033.7%
3Ken KimberGreen Party2218.9%
4Nicholas RobertsLiberal Democrats1656.6%

EC ward code E05008970 · Back to ward index

Mannington and Western · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,139

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kevin SmallLabour Party1,10551.7%+1.7 ptsElected
2Nicholas Burns-HowellConservative Party72633.9%
3Livio PavoneGreen Party1738.1%
4Alex HegenbarthLiberal Democrats1356.3%

EC ward code E05008962 · Back to ward index

Walcot and Park North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,669

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen AllsoppLabour Party1,42453.4%+3.4 ptsElected
2Ellen HeavensConservative Party56321.1%
3Stephen HaldenUK Independence Party (UKIP)43216.2%
4Kathleen McCarthyLiberal Democrats1515.7%
5Jennifer MilesGreen Party863.2%
6Paulos ChatzinopoulosSocial Democratic Party130.5%

EC ward code E05008971 · Back to ward index

Wroughton and Wichelstowe · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,219

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brian FordConservative Party1,21254.6%+4.6 ptsElected
2Talis Kimberley-FairbournGreen Party32614.7%
3Imtiyaz ShaikhLabour Party30513.7%
4Malcolm JefferiesUK Independence Party (UKIP)25811.6%
5Christopher ShepherdLiberal Democrats1185.3%

EC ward code E05008972 · Back to ward index

Priory Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,065

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Malcolm DaviesConservative Party1,13154.8%+4.8 ptsElected
2Robert HeathLabour Party50524.5%
3Gary BelbenUK Independence Party (UKIP)25812.5%
4Gerard TaylorLiberal Democrats884.3%
5Simon FairbournGreen Party834.0%

EC ward code E05008965 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,604

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ericqua BallmanLabour Party1,45455.8%+5.8 ptsElected
2Benjamin PrizemanConservative Party79730.6%
3Francesca Hebden-LeederGreen Party2419.3%
4Zoe McCormickLiberal Democrats1124.3%

EC ward code E05008958 · Back to ward index

Ridgeway · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,134

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gary SumnerConservative Party66959.0%+9.0 ptsElected
2Fiona McAnespieLiberal Democrats23220.5%
3Sam JamesLabour Party1089.5%
4Juan KosidowskiUK Independence Party (UKIP)827.2%
5Paul SunnersGreen Party433.8%

EC ward code E05008966 · Back to ward index

St Andrews · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,273

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Vera TomlinsonConservative Party1,36059.8%+9.8 ptsElected
2Maura ClarkeLabour Party51922.8%
3Susan ShortUK Independence Party (UKIP)24911.0%
4Deborah KingLiberal Democrats1456.4%

EC ward code E05008968 · Back to ward index

Rodbourne Cheney · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,645

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Des MoffattLabour Party1,66062.8%+12.8 ptsElected
2Stephanie ClarkConservative Party69526.3%
3Roderick Hebden-LeederGreen Party1816.8%
4Fraser McCormickLiberal Democrats1094.1%

EC ward code E05008967 · Back to ward index

Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,304

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Robert WrightLabour Party2,45974.4%+24.4 ptsElected
2Jack HowardConservative Party55416.8%
3Ann RichardsLiberal Democrats2918.8%

EC ward code E05008954 · Back to ward index