← Swindon (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Swindon 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 20,574 | 39.6% | 12 | 63.2% | 8 | 42.1% | +4 |
| Labour Party | 20,361 | 39.2% | 7 | 36.8% | 8 | 42.1% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,682 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.3% | -1 |
| Green Party | 3,452 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.3% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,364 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.3% | -1 |
| Independent | 468 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 51,901 | 100.0% | 19 | 100.0% | 19 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Old Town · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · −11.0 pts below quota
- Penhill and Upper Stratton · 1 seat · won at 41.5% · −8.5 pts below quota
- Shaw · 1 seat · won at 44.2% · −5.8 pts below quota
- St Margaret and South Marston · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · −5.4 pts below quota
- Liden, Eldene and Park South · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Wroughton and Wichelstowe · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · −3.8 pts below quota
- Rodbourne Cheney · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · −3.7 pts below quota
- Haydon Wick · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- Chiseldon and Lawn · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Mannington and Western · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
- St Andrews · 1 seat · won at 51.8% · above quota
- Eastcott · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Blunsdon and Highworth · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Lydiard and Freshbrook · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Walcot and Park North · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
- Priory Vale · 1 seat · won at 59.4% · above quota
- Covingham and Dorcan · 1 seat · won at 60.8% · above quota
- Central · 1 seat · won at 67.9% · above quota
Race results
Old Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,990
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Burns-Howell | Conservative Party | 1,167 | 39.0% | −11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Hopkins | Labour Party | 1,152 | 38.5% | — | |
| 3 | John Hughes | Green Party | 274 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Oliver | Liberal Democrats | 239 | 8.0% | — | |
| 5 | Jason Costello | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 158 | 5.3% | — |
Penhill and Upper Stratton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,620
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oladapo Ibitoye | Conservative Party | 1,086 | 41.5% | −8.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Katharine Linnegar | Labour Party | 785 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Teresa Page | Independent | 468 | 17.9% | — | |
| 4 | Katharine Henery | Green Party | 172 | 6.6% | — | |
| 5 | Michelle Horrobin | Liberal Democrats | 109 | 4.2% | — |
Shaw · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,825
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Martin | Conservative Party | 1,248 | 44.2% | −5.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Firth | Labour Party | 961 | 34.0% | — | |
| 3 | Ken Kimber | Green Party | 338 | 12.0% | — | |
| 4 | Adrian Costello | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 278 | 9.8% | — |
St Margaret and South Marston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,095
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Jandy | Conservative Party | 1,381 | 44.6% | −5.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Barrie Jennings | Labour Party | 1,336 | 43.2% | — | |
| 3 | Andy Osborne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 378 | 12.2% | — |
Liden, Eldene and Park South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,657
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bazil Solomon | Labour Party | 1,196 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Zachary Hawson | Conservative Party | 914 | 34.4% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Costello | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 387 | 14.6% | — | |
| 4 | Krista Salmon | Liberal Democrats | 160 | 6.0% | — |
Wroughton and Wichelstowe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,583
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cathy Martyn | Conservative Party | 1,193 | 46.2% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jamie Taylor | Liberal Democrats | 768 | 29.7% | — | |
| 3 | Sam James | Labour Party | 233 | 9.0% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Francis | Green Party | 222 | 8.6% | — | |
| 5 | Lincoln Williams | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 167 | 6.5% | — |
Rodbourne Cheney · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,561
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Grant | Labour Party | 1,185 | 46.3% | −3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jake Chandler | Conservative Party | 981 | 38.3% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Edes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 395 | 15.4% | — |
Haydon Wick · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,868
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Renard | Conservative Party | 1,436 | 50.1% | +0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stanislava Adamcova | Labour Party | 806 | 28.1% | — | |
| 3 | Edmund Gerrard | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 364 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Jacek Zmarzlik | Green Party | 262 | 9.1% | — |
Chiseldon and Lawn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,122
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jenny Jefferies | Conservative Party | 1,079 | 50.8% | +0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Sunners | Green Party | 549 | 25.9% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Bates | Labour Party | 494 | 23.3% | — |
Mannington and Western · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,190
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Exell | Labour Party | 1,116 | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Lenton | Conservative Party | 573 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Sheila Attwater | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 289 | 13.2% | — | |
| 4 | Fraser McCormick | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 9.7% | — |
St Andrews · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,847
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Heyes | Conservative Party | 1,476 | 51.8% | +1.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas Craigie | Labour Party | 754 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Steven Pipe | Green Party | 617 | 21.7% | — |
Eastcott · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,896
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Dixon | Labour Party | 1,506 | 52.0% | +2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Toby Robson | Liberal Democrats | 971 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Victoria Pratt | Conservative Party | 245 | 8.5% | — | |
| 4 | Susan Day | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 174 | 6.0% | — |
Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,548
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Ballman | Labour Party | 1,327 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adam John | Conservative Party | 560 | 22.0% | — | |
| 3 | Aubrey Attwater | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 379 | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Andy Bentley | Green Party | 282 | 11.1% | — |
Blunsdon and Highworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,175
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alan Bishop | Conservative Party | 1,654 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jamie Cope | Labour Party | 756 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Day | Green Party | 453 | 14.3% | — | |
| 4 | Malcolm Salmon | Liberal Democrats | 312 | 9.8% | — |
Lydiard and Freshbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,742
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caryl Sydney-Smith | Conservative Party | 1,433 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Trish Philpot | Labour Party | 1,309 | 47.7% | — |
Walcot and Park North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,583
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emma Bushell | Labour Party | 1,384 | 53.6% | +3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Roy Stephen | Conservative Party | 615 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | Steve Halden | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 339 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Dawn Pajak | Liberal Democrats | 245 | 9.5% | — |
Priory Vale · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,120
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinay Manro | Conservative Party | 1,260 | 59.4% | +9.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ravikumar Venkatesh | Labour Party | 860 | 40.6% | — |
Covingham and Dorcan · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,863
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dale Heenan | Conservative Party | 1,742 | 60.8% | +10.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Smith | Labour Party | 747 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Melanie Bailey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 374 | 13.1% | — |
Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,616
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adorabelle Shaikh | Labour Party | 2,454 | 67.9% | +17.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mohammad Akter Chowdhury | Conservative Party | 531 | 14.7% | — | |
| 3 | Raymond James | Liberal Democrats | 348 | 9.6% | — | |
| 4 | Bob Heritage | Green Party | 283 | 7.8% | — |