← Tandridge (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Tandridge 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 7,583 | 40.1% | 8 | 57.1% | 7 | 50.0% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,211 | 22.3% | 5 | 35.7% | 3 | 21.4% | +2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,110 | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 14.3% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 2,028 | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| OLRG | 1,721 | 9.1% | 1 | 7.1% | 1 | 7.1% | 0 |
| Green Party | 140 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 107 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 18,900 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Westway · 1 seat · won at 36.0% · −14.0 pts below quota
- Valley · 1 seat · won at 38.7% · −11.3 pts below quota
- Godstone · 1 seat · won at 41.1% · −8.9 pts below quota
- Oxted South · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · −5.2 pts below quota
- Portley · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · −5.2 pts below quota
- Warlingham East and Chelsham and Farleigh · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · −1.5 pts below quota
- Queens Park · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Burstow, Horne and Outwood · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · −0.5 pts below quota
- Bletchingley and Nutfield · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
- Whyteleafe · 1 seat · won at 52.6% · above quota
- Harestone · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Warlingham West · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Oxted North and Tandridge · 1 seat · won at 71.0% · above quota
- Woldingham · 1 seat · won at 71.7% · above quota
Race results
Westway · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,154
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caroline Warner | Liberal Democrats | 416 | 36.0% | −14.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Richardson | Conservative Party | 335 | 29.0% | — | |
| 3 | Sarah Peay | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 220 | 19.1% | — | |
| 4 | Sally Eason | Labour Party | 183 | 15.9% | — |
Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,106
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alun Jones | Liberal Democrats | 428 | 38.7% | −11.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Goodwin | Conservative Party | 265 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jeffrey Bolter | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 163 | 14.7% | — | |
| 4 | Rachel Krengel | Labour Party | 143 | 12.9% | — | |
| 5 | Mark Jones | Independent | 107 | 9.7% | — |
Godstone · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,632
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eileen Blake-Thomas | Conservative Party | 670 | 41.1% | −8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marjory Broughton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 649 | 39.8% | — | |
| 3 | Sarah Macdonnell | Labour Party | 171 | 10.5% | — | |
| 4 | Dave Wilkes | Liberal Democrats | 142 | 8.7% | — |
Oxted South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,845
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Parker | Conservative Party | 826 | 44.8% | −5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Katherine Saunders | Labour Party | 404 | 21.9% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Dean | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 364 | 19.7% | — | |
| 4 | Michaela O'Brien | Green Party | 140 | 7.6% | — | |
| 5 | Brigid McIntosh | Liberal Democrats | 111 | 6.0% | — |
Portley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,160
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Botten | Liberal Democrats | 520 | 44.8% | −5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robin Gwynn | Conservative Party | 387 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Alex Standen | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 136 | 11.7% | — | |
| 4 | Lucy McNally | Labour Party | 117 | 10.1% | — |
Warlingham East and Chelsham and Farleigh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,759
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Pursehouse | Liberal Democrats | 853 | 48.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Perry Chotai | Conservative Party | 471 | 26.8% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Haley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 329 | 18.7% | — | |
| 4 | Patrick Rogers | Labour Party | 106 | 6.0% | — |
Queens Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,083
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geoffrey Duck | Conservative Party | 529 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Costel Petre | Liberal Democrats | 288 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Dick Grant | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 162 | 15.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ollie Chamberlain | Labour Party | 104 | 9.6% | — |
Burstow, Horne and Outwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,513
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Fitzgerald | Conservative Party | 749 | 49.5% | −0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Fowler | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 414 | 27.4% | — | |
| 3 | Judy Wilkinson | Liberal Democrats | 180 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | Fern Warwick-Ching | Labour Party | 170 | 11.2% | — |
Bletchingley and Nutfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,533
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debbie Vickers | Conservative Party | 796 | 51.9% | +1.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Crabb | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 294 | 19.2% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Fowler | Liberal Democrats | 269 | 17.5% | — | |
| 4 | Linda Baharier | Labour Party | 174 | 11.4% | — |
Whyteleafe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,017
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Lee | Liberal Democrats | 535 | 52.6% | +2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Groves | Conservative Party | 361 | 35.5% | — | |
| 3 | Fatima Kamara | Labour Party | 121 | 11.9% | — |
Harestone · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,126
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Cooper | Conservative Party | 612 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anne Bell | Liberal Democrats | 215 | 19.1% | — | |
| 3 | Graham Bailey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 160 | 14.2% | — | |
| 4 | John Watts | Labour Party | 139 | 12.3% | — |
Warlingham West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,037
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Cooley | Conservative Party | 593 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Celia Caulcott | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 21.0% | — | |
| 3 | John Hill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 144 | 13.9% | — | |
| 4 | Jenifer Dugdale | Labour Party | 82 | 7.9% | — |
Oxted North and Tandridge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,423
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackie Wren | OLRG | 1,721 | 71.0% | +21.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gordon Keymer | Conservative Party | 622 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Donald Mahon | Labour Party | 80 | 3.3% | — |
Woldingham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 512
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Jecks | Conservative Party | 367 | 71.7% | +21.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joe Branco | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 75 | 14.6% | — | |
| 3 | Neill Cooper | Liberal Democrats | 36 | 7.0% | — | |
| 4 | Thomas Ebbs | Labour Party | 34 | 6.6% | — |