← Tandridge (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort

Tandridge 2019

Local elections held 2 May 2019.

14 ward races
14 seats
3 elected below the proportional quota
21.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party5,61229.7%428.6%535.7%-1
Independent3,96121.0%428.6%321.4%+1
OLRG3,90920.7%321.4%321.4%0
Liberal Democrats3,29317.4%321.4%321.4%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)8764.6%00.0%00.0%0
Labour Party8084.3%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party2921.5%00.0%00.0%0
Social Democratic Party1480.8%00.0%00.0%0
Total18,899100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2019)
Previous (2018)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Burstow, Horne and Outwood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,615

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Colin WhiteIndependent67741.9%−8.1 ptsElected
2Lydia RidgeConservative Party58936.5%
3Judy WilkinsonLiberal Democrats1348.3%
4Catherine BaartGreen Party1298.0%
5Fern Warwick-ChingLabour Party865.3%

EC ward code E05007410 · Back to ward index

Bletchingley and Nutfield · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,533

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gillian BlackConservative Party68344.6%−5.4 ptsElected
2Helena WindsorUK Independence Party (UKIP)36423.7%
3Richard FowlerLiberal Democrats34122.2%
4Linda BaharierLabour Party1459.5%

EC ward code E05007409 · Back to ward index

Dormansland and Felcourt · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,282

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lesley SteedsConservative Party58545.6%−4.4 ptsElected
2Bridget DaveyIndependent55243.1%
3Dave WilkesLiberal Democrats14511.3%

EC ward code E05007392 · Back to ward index

Warlingham East and Chelsham and Farleigh · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,446

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Celia CaulcottLiberal Democrats79655.0%+5.0 ptsElected
2Perry ChotaiConservative Party40027.7%
3Martin HaleyUK Independence Party (UKIP)17712.2%
4Michael SnowdenLabour Party735.0%

EC ward code E05007404 · Back to ward index

Portley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,051

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kerry MansfieldLiberal Democrats59556.6%+6.6 ptsElected
2Sakina BradburyConservative Party27626.3%
3Mark FowlerUK Independence Party (UKIP)10610.1%
4Ian GiddingsLabour Party747.0%

EC ward code E05007400 · Back to ward index

Tatsfield and Titsey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 545

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Martin AllenIndependent31658.0%+8.0 ptsElected
2Alex StandenConservative Party13224.2%
3Christopher DeanUK Independence Party (UKIP)6311.6%
4Sarah StewartLabour Party346.2%

EC ward code E05007402 · Back to ward index

Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,035

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dorinda CooperLiberal Democrats64762.5%+12.5 ptsElected
2Adam BradburyConservative Party17917.3%
3Judy MooreUK Independence Party (UKIP)11010.6%
4Carron WalkerLabour Party999.6%

EC ward code E05007403 · Back to ward index

Oxted South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,025

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chris LangtonOLRG1,28263.3%+13.3 ptsElected
2Alan FeeseyConservative Party33416.5%
3Helena ForsytheSocial Democratic Party1487.3%
4Che RamsdenLabour Party1427.0%
5Jonathan SalisburyLiberal Democrats1195.9%

EC ward code E05007399 · Back to ward index

Felbridge · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 752

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kenneth HarwoodConservative Party48965.0%+15.0 ptsElected
2Mike CraneIndependent17523.3%
3Rebecca PetersonGreen Party8811.7%

EC ward code E05007393 · Back to ward index

Lingfield and Crowhurst · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,340

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Liz LockwoodIndependent88766.2%+16.2 ptsElected
2Clive JecksConservative Party33424.9%
3Peter MontagnonLiberal Democrats1198.9%

EC ward code E05007397 · Back to ward index

Oxted North and Tandridge · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,336

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David StampOLRG1,58467.8%+17.8 ptsElected
2Martin FisherConservative Party57824.7%
3Sheelagh CramptonLiberal Democrats1114.8%
4Patrick RogersLabour Party632.7%

EC ward code E05007398 · Back to ward index

Chaldon · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 605

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bob MiltonConservative Party41869.1%+19.1 ptsElected
2Neil ParkerLiberal Democrats11418.8%
3Graham BaileyUK Independence Party (UKIP)569.3%
4Darron WardLabour Party172.8%

EC ward code E05007391 · Back to ward index

Limpsfield · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,481

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Claire BlackwellOLRG1,04370.4%+20.4 ptsElected
2Richard AdamsonConservative Party34923.6%
3Martin CaxtonLiberal Democrats896.0%

EC ward code E05007396 · Back to ward index

Godstone · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,853

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Charlotte SwannIndependent1,35473.1%+23.1 ptsElected
2Nick ChildsConservative Party26614.4%
3David NickolsLiberal Democrats834.5%
4Peter MurphyGreen Party754.0%
5Barbara WantlingLabour Party754.0%

EC ward code E05007394 · Back to ward index