← Thurrock (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Thurrock 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 11,922 | 38.8% | 6 | 35.3% | 7 | 41.2% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 9,731 | 31.7% | 4 | 23.5% | 5 | 29.4% | -1 |
| Conservative Party | 8,683 | 28.3% | 7 | 41.2% | 5 | 29.4% | +2 |
| Independent | 395 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 30,731 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- The Homesteads · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · −11.5 pts below quota
- Little Thurrock Blackshots · 1 seat · won at 41.6% · −8.4 pts below quota
- Stanford-le-Hope West · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · −7.2 pts below quota
- Grays Riverside · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · −6.8 pts below quota
- Chafford and North Stifford · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Chadwell St Mary · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- South Chafford · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · −4.2 pts below quota
- Grays Thurrock · 1 seat · won at 46.3% · −3.7 pts below quota
- Ockendon · 1 seat · won at 46.5% · −3.5 pts below quota
- Corringham and Fobbing · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · −2.9 pts below quota
- Tilbury St Chads · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · −2.1 pts below quota
- Belhus · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Stanford East and Corringham Town · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Orsett · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Aveley and Uplands · 1 seat · won at 54.6% · above quota
- West Thurrock and South Stifford · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
- East Tilbury · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
Race results
The Homesteads · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,357
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary Collins | Conservative Party | 908 | 38.5% | −11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clive Broad | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 685 | 29.1% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Fletcher | Labour Party | 469 | 19.9% | — | |
| 4 | Gary Byrne | Independent | 295 | 12.5% | — |
Little Thurrock Blackshots · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,698
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joycelyn Redsell | Conservative Party | 706 | 41.6% | −8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennifer Coleman | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 705 | 41.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jacqueline Dobson | Labour Party | 287 | 16.9% | — |
Stanford-le-Hope West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,433
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Piccolo | Conservative Party | 613 | 42.8% | −7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lee Lloyd | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 427 | 29.8% | — | |
| 3 | David Hann | Labour Party | 393 | 27.4% | — |
Grays Riverside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,984
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Fish | Labour Party | 857 | 43.2% | −6.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Carbery | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 748 | 37.7% | — | |
| 3 | Evelina Vulpe | Conservative Party | 379 | 19.1% | — |
Chafford and North Stifford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,483
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garry Hague | Conservative Party | 672 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Umar Kankiya | Labour Party | 493 | 33.2% | — | |
| 3 | James Mower | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 318 | 21.4% | — |
Chadwell St Mary · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,237
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerard Rice | Labour Party | 1,017 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Torri | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 968 | 43.3% | — | |
| 3 | Lee Dove | Conservative Party | 252 | 11.3% | — |
South Chafford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,281
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suzanne Macpherson | Conservative Party | 587 | 45.8% | −4.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Qaisar Abbas | Labour Party | 510 | 39.8% | — | |
| 3 | Torren Snell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 184 | 14.4% | — |
Grays Thurrock · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,209
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Kent | Labour Party | 1,022 | 46.3% | −3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Allen Mayes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 809 | 36.6% | — | |
| 3 | Michelle Macadangdang | Conservative Party | 278 | 12.6% | — | |
| 4 | Thomas Davis | Independent | 100 | 4.5% | — |
Ockendon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,230
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Potter | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,038 | 46.5% | −3.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Barry Johnson | Conservative Party | 634 | 28.4% | — | |
| 3 | Desmond Martins | Labour Party | 558 | 25.0% | — |
Corringham and Fobbing · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,599
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Watkins | Conservative Party | 753 | 47.1% | −2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Speight | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 507 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Vincent Offord | Labour Party | 339 | 21.2% | — |
Tilbury St Chads · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,265
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Allen | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 606 | 47.9% | −2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lynn Worrall | Labour Party | 570 | 45.1% | — | |
| 3 | Adam Carter | Conservative Party | 89 | 7.0% | — |
Belhus · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,892
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Sheridan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 939 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Susan Gray | Labour Party | 648 | 34.2% | — | |
| 3 | John Biddall | Conservative Party | 305 | 16.1% | — |
Stanford East and Corringham Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,217
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Duffin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,107 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Terence Hipsey | Labour Party | 611 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Stuart Smith | Conservative Party | 499 | 22.5% | — |
Orsett · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,944
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Morgan | Conservative Party | 1,057 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Curtis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 634 | 32.6% | — | |
| 3 | Carl Morris | Labour Party | 253 | 13.0% | — |
Aveley and Uplands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,852
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luke Spillman | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,011 | 54.6% | +4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Judith Pothecary | Labour Party | 449 | 24.2% | — | |
| 3 | Georgette Polley | Conservative Party | 392 | 21.2% | — |
West Thurrock and South Stifford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,792
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliver Gerrish | Labour Party | 984 | 54.9% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jacqueline Stephens | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 500 | 27.9% | — | |
| 3 | Anthony Coughlin | Conservative Party | 308 | 17.2% | — |
East Tilbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Sammons | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 736 | 58.5% | +8.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eleanor Lowe | Labour Party | 271 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Polley | Conservative Party | 251 | 20.0% | — |