← Trafford (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Trafford 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

21 ward races
21 seats
8 elected below the proportional quota
38.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party26,60440.0%942.9%942.9%0
Conservative Party26,50239.8%1047.6%942.9%+1
Liberal Democrats6,1669.3%29.5%29.5%0
Green Party4,2906.4%00.0%14.8%-1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)2,1383.2%00.0%00.0%0
Independent6220.9%00.0%00.0%0
The Liberal Party2250.3%00.0%00.0%0
Total66,547100.0%21100.0%21100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Bucklow-St Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,181

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1James WrightLabour Party83538.3%−11.7 ptsElected
2Tony RuddenIndependent51723.7%
3Geoff TurnerConservative Party37117.0%
4Steve JonesUK Independence Party (UKIP)29613.6%
5Thea JohnsonGreen Party984.5%
6Graham RogersLiberal Democrats642.9%

EC ward code E05000824 · Back to ward index

Flixton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,559

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Paul LallyConservative Party1,47541.4%−8.6 ptsElected
2Simon ThomasLabour Party1,41539.8%
3Mike Bayley-SandersonUK Independence Party (UKIP)42211.9%
4Christine McLaughlinGreen Party1574.4%
5David MartinLiberal Democrats902.5%

EC ward code E05000828 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,101

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Linda BlackburnConservative Party1,40145.2%−4.8 ptsElected
2Jayne DillonLabour Party1,17237.8%
3Ian RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)32110.4%
4Steven TennantGreen Party1284.1%
5David KiermanLiberal Democrats792.5%

EC ward code E05000826 · Back to ward index

Village · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,271

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ray BowkerLiberal Democrats1,48245.3%−4.7 ptsElected
2Thomas CareyConservative Party1,05032.1%
3Tony O'BrienLabour Party61618.8%
4Matthew WestbrookGreen Party1233.8%

EC ward code E05000839 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,280

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Alex WilliamsConservative Party1,53346.7%−3.3 ptsElected
2Daniel JerromeGreen Party77723.7%
3Amy WhyteLabour Party76323.3%
4Julian NewgroshLiberal Democrats2076.3%

EC ward code E05000819 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,979

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Denise WesternLabour Party1,87747.2%−2.8 ptsElected
2Neil FergusonConservative Party1,64141.2%
3Pauline CliffLiberal Democrats2045.1%
4Owain SuttonGreen Party1523.8%
5Stephen FarndonIndependent1052.6%

EC ward code E05000822 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,794

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Catherine HynesLabour Party1,80047.4%−2.6 ptsElected
2Christine TurnerConservative Party1,41937.4%
3Andrew BeaumontConservative Party3409.0%
4Geraldine CogginsGreen Party1443.8%
5Kirsty CullenLiberal Democrats912.4%

EC ward code E05000838 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,062

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brian ShawConservative Party1,46847.9%−2.1 ptsElected
2Sally CarrLabour Party1,04734.2%
3Paul ReganUK Independence Party (UKIP)38812.7%
4Paul SyrettGreen Party973.2%
5James EisenLiberal Democrats622.0%

EC ward code E05000827 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,409

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chris BoyesConservative Party1,76651.8%+1.8 ptsElected
2Serena CarrLabour Party1,25636.8%
3Meenakshi MinnisLiberal Democrats2878.4%
4Joseph RyanGreen Party1002.9%

EC ward code E05000823 · Back to ward index

Timperley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,173

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jane BrophyLiberal Democrats2,17652.1%+2.1 ptsElected
2Carol MounfieldConservative Party1,38833.3%
3Mo AhmedLabour Party43610.4%
4Jadwiga LeighGreen Party1734.1%

EC ward code E05000837 · Back to ward index

Ashton upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,103

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brian RigbyConservative Party1,64252.9%+2.9 ptsElected
2Ben HartleyLabour Party1,07934.8%
3Caroline Robertson-BrownGreen Party2317.4%
4Chris MarrittLiberal Democrats1514.9%

EC ward code E05000820 · Back to ward index

Priory · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,094

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barry BrothertonLabour Party1,70255.0%+5.0 ptsElected
2Paul JayConservative Party82226.6%
3Kevin GrimeUK Independence Party (UKIP)2367.6%
4Michael MacdonaldLiberal Democrats1735.6%
5Mandy KingGreen Party1615.2%

EC ward code E05000833 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,775

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mike FreemanLabour Party1,54755.7%+5.7 ptsElected
2Stephen McHughConservative Party90232.5%
3Jane LeicesterGreen Party1926.9%
4William JonesLiberal Democrats1344.8%

EC ward code E05000835 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,071

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John HoldenConservative Party1,77257.7%+7.7 ptsElected
2Gary KearyLabour Party96531.4%
3Nicholas Robertson-BrownGreen Party1876.1%
4Louise BirdLiberal Democrats1474.8%

EC ward code E05000834 · Back to ward index

Hale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,777

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Denise HaddadConservative Party1,61458.1%+8.1 ptsElected
2Beverley HarrisonLabour Party68424.6%
3Wayne HarrisonLiberal Democrats27810.0%
4Giulio ForcolinGreen Party2017.2%

EC ward code E05000831 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,672

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Laurence WalshLabour Party1,76065.9%+15.9 ptsElected
2Lijo JohnConservative Party44016.5%
3Pauline RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)2619.8%
4Jennie WadsworthGreen Party1465.5%
5Simon LeporiLiberal Democrats652.4%

EC ward code E05000829 · Back to ward index

Stretford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,009

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tom RossLabour Party2,00466.6%+16.6 ptsElected
2Colin HooleyConservative Party65621.8%
3Liz O'NeillGreen Party2498.3%
4Shaun EnnisLiberal Democrats1003.3%

EC ward code E05000836 · Back to ward index

Longford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,404

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Judith LloydLabour Party2,31167.9%+17.9 ptsElected
2Cathy ConchieConservative Party48714.3%
3Margaret WestbrookGreen Party3149.2%
4Val Bayley SandersonUK Independence Party (UKIP)2146.3%
5Chris LovellLiberal Democrats782.3%

EC ward code E05000832 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,905

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Patrick MyersConservative Party2,03069.9%+19.9 ptsElected
2Barbara TwineyLabour Party50917.5%
3Richard ElliotThe Liberal Party2257.7%
4Deborah LeftwichGreen Party1414.9%

EC ward code E05000830 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,945

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sean AnsteeConservative Party2,09071.0%+21.0 ptsElected
2Charlie MayerLabour Party45215.3%
3Kirstie DavidsonLiberal Democrats2358.0%
4Daniel WadsworthGreen Party1685.7%

EC ward code E05000821 · Back to ward index

Clifford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,983

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Whit StennettLabour Party2,37479.6%+29.6 ptsElected
2Jess MayoGreen Party35111.8%
3Alex FinneyConservative Party1956.5%
4Simon WrightLiberal Democrats632.1%

EC ward code E05000825 · Back to ward index