← Trafford (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort

Trafford 2019

Local elections held 2 May 2019.

21 ward races
21 seats
8 elected below the proportional quota
38.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party27,48841.3%1466.7%942.9%+5
Conservative Party19,57329.4%419.0%628.6%-2
Green Party8,41112.6%14.8%314.3%-2
Liberal Democrats7,07210.6%29.5%29.5%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)3,4275.1%00.0%14.8%-1
The Liberal Party3670.6%00.0%00.0%0
Independent2510.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total66,589100.0%21100.0%21100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2019)
Previous (2018)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Village · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,199

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Julian NewgroshLiberal Democrats1,31041.0%−9.0 ptsElected
2Darren MeacherConservative Party94229.4%
3Waseem HassanLabour Party45614.3%
4Angela O'NeillUK Independence Party (UKIP)2959.2%
5Robert RaikesGreen Party1966.1%

EC ward code E05000839 · Back to ward index

Timperley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,896

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Meenakshi MinnisLiberal Democrats1,65342.4%−7.6 ptsElected
2Angela Bruer-MorrisConservative Party1,26632.5%
3Jadwiga LeighGreen Party42310.9%
4Neil TaylorThe Liberal Party3679.4%
5Pauline RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)1874.8%

EC ward code E05000837 · Back to ward index

Ashton upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,580

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ben HartleyLabour Party1,53542.9%−7.1 ptsElected
2Mike WhettonConservative Party1,39839.1%
3Caroline Robertson-BrownGreen Party2737.6%
4Martin ElliotLiberal Democrats2476.9%
5Brian JohnsonUK Independence Party (UKIP)1273.5%

EC ward code E05000820 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,663

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rose ThompsonLabour Party1,58743.3%−6.7 ptsElected
2Michelle McGrathConservative Party1,29535.4%
3Joe RyanGreen Party3098.4%
4Pauline CliffLiberal Democrats2988.1%
5Tony NaylerUK Independence Party (UKIP)1744.8%

EC ward code E05000823 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,030

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Serena CarrLabour Party1,90447.2%−2.8 ptsElected
2Shengke ZhiConservative Party1,21930.2%
3Daniel GrestyGreen Party3468.6%
4Norine NapierUK Independence Party (UKIP)2556.3%
5Christopher MarrittLiberal Democrats2195.4%
6Stephen FarndonIndependent872.2%

EC ward code E05000822 · Back to ward index

Hale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,944

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Patricia YoungConservative Party1,43048.6%−1.4 ptsElected
2Will FrassLiberal Democrats55518.9%
3Steve LeicesterGreen Party51217.4%
4Benjamin SlaterLabour Party44715.2%

EC ward code E05000831 · Back to ward index

Priory · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,098

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andrew WesternLabour Party1,51148.8%−1.2 ptsElected
2Louis MarksConservative Party67921.9%
3Nick Robertson-BrownGreen Party40413.0%
4Briony StephensonLiberal Democrats3059.8%
5Kevin GrimeUK Independence Party (UKIP)1996.4%

EC ward code E05000833 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,113

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dan BuntingConservative Party1,52749.1%−0.9 ptsElected
2Jill AxfordLabour Party92029.6%
3James McGlashanGreen Party2949.4%
4Alison SmithLiberal Democrats1886.0%
5Kathy MasonUK Independence Party (UKIP)1845.9%

EC ward code E05000834 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,569

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Joanne BennettLabour Party1,34752.4%+2.4 ptsElected
2Matt LeighConservative Party66425.8%
3Jane LeicesterGreen Party35513.8%
4Simon WrightLiberal Democrats2037.9%

EC ward code E05000835 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,184

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Karina CarterLabour Party1,70453.5%+3.5 ptsElected
2Lisa CookeConservative Party96530.3%
3Paul ReganUK Independence Party (UKIP)2798.8%
4Ram NachiappanGreen Party1504.7%
5Ged ZukLiberal Democrats862.7%

EC ward code E05000827 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,377

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jo HardingLabour Party1,84454.6%+4.6 ptsElected
2Lijo JohnConservative Party72421.4%
3Krissy DouglasUK Independence Party (UKIP)34010.1%
4Luciya WhyteGreen Party2908.6%
5Shaun EnnisLiberal Democrats1795.3%

EC ward code E05000838 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,808

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Aidan WilliamsLabour Party98854.6%+4.6 ptsElected
2Lyall AinscowConservative Party32718.1%
3Andrew BeaumontUK Independence Party (UKIP)28315.7%
4Rodrigo Capucho PauloGreen Party1347.4%
5Stephen PowerLiberal Democrats764.2%

EC ward code E05000824 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,808

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dave MorganConservative Party1,61357.4%+7.4 ptsElected
2Barbara TwineyLabour Party37813.5%
3Maggie BoysenLiberal Democrats31311.1%
4Jessica HessionGreen Party1967.0%
5Sandra TaylorIndependent1645.8%
6Ian RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)1445.1%

EC ward code E05000830 · Back to ward index

Flixton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,774

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Shirley ProcterLabour Party2,20358.4%+8.4 ptsElected
2Jonathan CoupeConservative Party91524.2%
3James CookUK Independence Party (UKIP)2877.6%
4Tim WoodwardGreen Party2175.7%
5Ian SutherlandLiberal Democrats1524.0%

EC ward code E05000828 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,900

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Claire ChurchillConservative Party1,72759.6%+9.6 ptsElected
2Deborah LeftwichGreen Party41114.2%
3Ludo Tolhurst-CleaverLiberal Democrats41114.2%
4Thomas HagueLabour Party35112.1%

EC ward code E05000821 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,163

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barry WinstanleyLabour Party1,92961.0%+11.0 ptsElected
2Daniel KupusarevicConservative Party69522.0%
3Gary ReganUK Independence Party (UKIP)2538.0%
4Steven Tennant-SmytheGreen Party1845.8%
5Dawn Carberry-PowerLiberal Democrats1023.2%

EC ward code E05000826 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,875

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Michael WeltonGreen Party2,37761.3%+11.3 ptsElected
2Angela StoneConservative Party1,05727.3%
3Ged CarterLabour Party3138.1%
4David MartinLiberal Democrats1283.3%

EC ward code E05000819 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,606

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mike CordingleyLabour Party1,70365.3%+15.3 ptsElected
2Gareth ParkerConservative Party31011.9%
3Jennie WadsworthGreen Party2529.7%
4Seamus MartinUK Independence Party (UKIP)2128.1%
5Adam DeanLiberal Democrats1295.0%

EC ward code E05000829 · Back to ward index

Stretford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,791

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen AdsheadLabour Party1,84366.0%+16.0 ptsElected
2Kwok LeungConservative Party32911.8%
3Liz O'NeillGreen Party30410.9%
4Barbara McDermottUK Independence Party (UKIP)2087.5%
5Simon LeporiLiberal Democrats1073.8%

EC ward code E05000836 · Back to ward index

Longford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,210

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Anne DuffieldLabour Party2,15067.0%+17.0 ptsElected
2Margaret WestbrookGreen Party40612.6%
3Adam MiyaConservative Party33610.5%
4Anna FryerLiberal Democrats3189.9%

EC ward code E05000832 · Back to ward index

Clifford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,001

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Akilah AkinolaLabour Party2,37579.1%+29.1 ptsElected
2Jess MayoGreen Party37812.6%
3Alex FinneyConservative Party1555.2%
4Dave NicholsonLiberal Democrats933.1%

EC ward code E05000825 · Back to ward index