← Tunbridge Wells (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Tunbridge Wells 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,241 | 28.6% | 5 | 27.8% | 6 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,844 | 27.2% | 5 | 27.8% | 6 | 33.3% | -1 |
| TWellsA | 5,096 | 17.7% | 5 | 27.8% | 3 | 16.7% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 3,471 | 12.1% | 2 | 11.1% | 2 | 11.1% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,438 | 5.0% | 1 | 5.6% | 1 | 5.6% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,290 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 745 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| WEP | 670 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,795 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Paddock Wood West · 1 seat · won at 31.2% · −18.8 pts below quota
- Culverden · 1 seat · won at 32.2% · −17.8 pts below quota
- Sherwood · 1 seat · won at 33.9% · −16.1 pts below quota
- Goudhurst and Lamberhurst · 1 seat · won at 38.9% · −11.1 pts below quota
- Rusthall · 1 seat · won at 41.4% · −8.6 pts below quota
- Benenden and Cranbrook · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · −7.2 pts below quota
- Pembury · 1 seat · won at 44.5% · −5.5 pts below quota
- Frittenden and Sissinghurst · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · −3.6 pts below quota
- Southborough and High Brooms · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · −0.3 pts below quota
- Speldhurst and Bidborough · 1 seat · won at 51.1% · above quota
- Southborough North · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
- Paddock Wood East · 2 seats · won at 36.3% · above quota
- Hawkhurst and Sandhurst · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
- St John's · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
- Pantiles and St Mark's · 1 seat · won at 60.0% · above quota
- Park · 2 seats · won at 46.2% · above quota
Race results
Paddock Wood West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 31.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −18.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 925
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Bailey (ELECTED) | Conservative Party | 289 | 31.2% | −18.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Raymond Moon (NOT ELECTED) | Labour Party | 289 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Tracey Goacher | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 120 | 13.0% | — | |
| 4 | Trevor Bisdee | Green Party | 119 | 12.9% | — | |
| 5 | James Cole | Liberal Democrats | 108 | 11.7% | — |
Culverden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 32.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,245
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Rands | Liberal Democrats | 723 | 32.2% | −17.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eizabeth Orr | WEP | 570 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | Nasir Jamil | Conservative Party | 560 | 24.9% | — | |
| 4 | David Adams | Labour Party | 237 | 10.6% | — | |
| 5 | Paul Standing | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 155 | 6.9% | — |
Sherwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,524
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Pound | Labour Party | 517 | 33.9% | −16.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Samantha White | Conservative Party | 506 | 33.2% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Bullion | Liberal Democrats | 268 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Hoare | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 233 | 15.3% | — |
Goudhurst and Lamberhurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,298
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Hall | Conservative Party | 505 | 38.9% | −11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Knight | Independent | 487 | 37.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jeremy Stirling | Liberal Democrats | 184 | 14.2% | — | |
| 4 | Simon Fowler | Labour Party | 122 | 9.4% | — |
Rusthall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,320
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Funnell | Liberal Democrats | 547 | 41.4% | −8.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bjorn Simpole | Labour Party | 346 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | David Pate | Conservative Party | 283 | 21.4% | — | |
| 4 | Alun Elder-Brown | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 144 | 10.9% | — |
Benenden and Cranbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,800
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nancy Warne | TWellsA | 771 | 42.8% | −7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sally-Ann Marks | Conservative Party | 706 | 39.2% | — | |
| 3 | Wendy Fitzsimmons | Liberal Democrats | 214 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | Anne Musker | Labour Party | 109 | 6.1% | — |
Pembury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,762
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hayward | TWellsA | 784 | 44.5% | −5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Susan Nuttall | Conservative Party | 484 | 27.5% | — | |
| 3 | Colin Sefton | Liberal Democrats | 165 | 9.4% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Bayles | Green Party | 125 | 7.1% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Scott | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 114 | 6.5% | — | |
| 6 | Joel Turner | Labour Party | 90 | 5.1% | — |
Frittenden and Sissinghurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 748
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Fairweather | Conservative Party | 347 | 46.4% | −3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Smith | TWellsA | 321 | 42.9% | — | |
| 3 | Brian Guinnessy | Liberal Democrats | 80 | 10.7% | — |
Southborough and High Brooms · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,701
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luke Everitt | Labour Party | 845 | 49.7% | −0.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alexis Bird | Liberal Democrats | 352 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Puller | Conservative Party | 309 | 18.2% | — | |
| 4 | Christine Marshall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 195 | 11.5% | — |
Speldhurst and Bidborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,971
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucinda Willis | TWellsA | 1,007 | 51.1% | +1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Jukes | Conservative Party | 613 | 31.1% | — | |
| 3 | Iola Palmer-Stirling | Liberal Democrats | 351 | 17.8% | — |
Southborough North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,316
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Poile | Liberal Democrats | 691 | 52.5% | +2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Elliott | Conservative Party | 414 | 31.5% | — | |
| 3 | Nicholas Blackwell | Labour Party | 135 | 10.3% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Lukacs | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 76 | 5.8% | — |
Paddock Wood East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 36.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 907
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodney Atkins | Independent | 416 | 22.9% | 45.9% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Hamilton | Conservative Party | 329 | 18.1% | 36.3% | +3.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | William Hills | Independent | 324 | 17.9% | 35.7% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Camp | Conservative Party | 222 | 12.2% | 24.5% | — | |
| 5 | Derek Boyle | Labour Party | 126 | 6.9% | 13.9% | — | |
| 6 | Josephine Wilby | Green Party | 93 | 5.1% | 10.3% | — | |
| 7 | Martin Brice | Liberal Democrats | 84 | 4.6% | 9.3% | — | |
| 8 | Robert Seggie | Labour Party | 84 | 4.6% | 9.3% | — | |
| 9 | Amanda Wells | Green Party | 82 | 4.5% | 9.0% | — | |
| 10 | Martin Huebscher | Liberal Democrats | 53 | 2.9% | 5.8% | — |
Hawkhurst and Sandhurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,455
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Godfrey Bland | Conservative Party | 797 | 54.8% | +4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Helena Waters | Liberal Democrats | 545 | 37.5% | — | |
| 3 | Ana-Mari Draper | Labour Party | 113 | 7.8% | — |
St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,965
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marguerita Morton | Liberal Democrats | 1,165 | 59.3% | +9.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Oakford | Conservative Party | 347 | 17.7% | — | |
| 3 | Benjamin Phillips | Green Party | 174 | 8.9% | — | |
| 4 | Louise Reid | Labour Party | 154 | 7.8% | — | |
| 5 | Robert Horan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 125 | 6.4% | — |
Pantiles and St Mark's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,245
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Hickey | Liberal Democrats | 1,346 | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lawrence Heasman | Conservative Party | 554 | 24.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Hurst | Green Party | 152 | 6.8% | — | |
| 4 | Céline Thomas | WEP | 100 | 4.5% | — | |
| 5 | Patricia Fowlie | Labour Party | 93 | 4.1% | — |
Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 46.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,354
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Atwood | TWellsA | 1,125 | 23.9% | 47.8% | +14.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rebecca Bruneau | TWellsA | 1,088 | 23.1% | 46.2% | +12.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tracy Moore | Conservative Party | 539 | 11.5% | 22.9% | — | |
| 4 | Rachel Sadler | Liberal Democrats | 486 | 10.3% | 20.7% | — | |
| 5 | Gillian Douglass | Liberal Democrats | 482 | 10.2% | 20.5% | — | |
| 6 | Victoria White | Conservative Party | 437 | 9.3% | 18.6% | — | |
| 7 | Linda Jagger | Labour Party | 211 | 4.5% | 9.0% | — | |
| 8 | Victor Webb | Independent | 211 | 4.5% | 9.0% | — | |
| 9 | Michael Jerrom | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 128 | 2.7% | 5.4% | — |