← Watford (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Watford 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 36 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 29,228 | 42.2% | 25 | 69.4% | 16 | 44.4% | +9 |
| Labour Party | 19,778 | 28.5% | 11 | 30.6% | 11 | 30.6% | 0 |
| Conservative Party | 14,339 | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 7 | 19.4% | -7 |
| Green Party | 3,834 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 5.6% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,782 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 331 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 69,292 | 100.0% | 36 | 100.0% | 36 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2016 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and on the eve of it (2015), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Callowland · 3 seats · won at 36.8% · above quota
- Central · 3 seats · won at 40.3% · above quota
- Park · 3 seats · won at 42.7% · above quota
- Woodside · 3 seats · won at 43.1% · above quota
- Tudor · 3 seats · won at 43.8% · above quota
- Leggatts · 3 seats · won at 44.4% · above quota
- Nascot · 3 seats · won at 45.9% · above quota
- Meriden · 3 seats · won at 48.0% · above quota
- Stanborough · 3 seats · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Vicarage · 3 seats · won at 58.7% · above quota
- Holywell · 3 seats · won at 59.2% · above quota
- Oxhey · 3 seats · won at 64.3% · above quota
Race results
Callowland · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 36.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,789
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sohail Bashir | Labour Party | 691 | 12.9% | 38.6% | +13.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robbie Laird | Liberal Democrats | 676 | 12.6% | 37.8% | +12.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ahsan Khan | Labour Party | 659 | 12.3% | 36.8% | +11.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Paul Arnett | Liberal Democrats | 655 | 12.2% | 36.6% | — | |
| 5 | Favour Ewudo | Labour Party | 627 | 11.7% | 35.1% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Stotesbury | Liberal Democrats | 581 | 10.8% | 32.5% | — | |
| 7 | Alistair Carvell | Green Party | 276 | 5.1% | 15.4% | — | |
| 8 | Sean Sweeney | Green Party | 254 | 4.7% | 14.2% | — | |
| 9 | Timothy Mortimer | Conservative Party | 221 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 10 | Clair Lester | Green Party | 217 | 4.0% | 12.1% | — | |
| 11 | Jon Goddard | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 197 | 3.7% | 11.0% | — | |
| 12 | Yasmin Goldsmith | Conservative Party | 174 | 3.2% | 9.7% | — | |
| 13 | Larry Rach | Conservative Party | 138 | 2.6% | 7.7% | — |
Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,885
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Bolton | Liberal Democrats | 856 | 15.1% | 45.4% | +20.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rabi Martins | Liberal Democrats | 850 | 15.0% | 45.1% | +20.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Aga Dychton | Liberal Democrats | 759 | 13.4% | 40.3% | +15.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Terry Butler | Labour Party | 688 | 12.2% | 36.5% | — | |
| 5 | Sarah Flynn | Labour Party | 682 | 12.1% | 36.2% | — | |
| 6 | Mike Haley | Labour Party | 676 | 12.0% | 35.9% | — | |
| 7 | Barry Silverman | Conservative Party | 214 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 8 | Mary Sackett | Conservative Party | 203 | 3.6% | 10.8% | — | |
| 9 | Basil Sackett | Conservative Party | 189 | 3.3% | 10.0% | — | |
| 10 | Renie Price | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 151 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — | |
| 11 | Su Murray | Green Party | 148 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 12 | Lisa Emery | Green Party | 142 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — | |
| 13 | Neal Emery | Green Party | 97 | 1.7% | 5.1% | — |
Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,772
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Rindl | Liberal Democrats | 1,488 | 17.9% | 53.7% | +28.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nikki Steele | Liberal Democrats | 1,193 | 14.3% | 43.0% | +18.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | David Barks | Liberal Democrats | 1,185 | 14.2% | 42.7% | +17.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Binita Mehta | Conservative Party | 1,114 | 13.4% | 40.2% | — | |
| 5 | Zoë McQuire | Conservative Party | 876 | 10.5% | 31.6% | — | |
| 6 | Rosemarie Moore | Conservative Party | 821 | 9.9% | 29.6% | — | |
| 7 | Susan Billington | Labour Party | 379 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 8 | David Connal | Labour Party | 342 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — | |
| 9 | Junior Sesay | Labour Party | 292 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Blogg | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 209 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — | |
| 11 | Tom Pashby | Green Party | 147 | 1.8% | 5.3% | — | |
| 12 | Elaine Edwards | Green Party | 143 | 1.7% | 5.2% | — | |
| 13 | Stephanie Grant | Green Party | 127 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — |
Woodside · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,688
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Collett | Liberal Democrats | 941 | 18.6% | 55.7% | +30.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Cavinder | Liberal Democrats | 801 | 15.8% | 47.4% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Glen Saffery | Liberal Democrats | 727 | 14.4% | 43.1% | +18.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Tony Rogers | Conservative Party | 487 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 5 | Tony Grillo | Conservative Party | 426 | 8.4% | 25.2% | — | |
| 6 | Estella Willems | Conservative Party | 339 | 6.7% | 20.1% | — | |
| 7 | Richard Smith | Labour Party | 317 | 6.3% | 18.8% | — | |
| 8 | Andy O'Brien | Labour Party | 308 | 6.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 9 | Ian Green | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 301 | 5.9% | 17.8% | — | |
| 10 | Manjivan Singh Dhindsa | Labour Party | 282 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 11 | Alison Wiesner | Green Party | 136 | 2.7% | 8.1% | — |
Tudor · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,802
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Walford | Liberal Democrats | 1,067 | 19.7% | 59.2% | +34.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joe Fahmy | Liberal Democrats | 804 | 14.9% | 44.6% | +19.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stephen Johnson | Liberal Democrats | 790 | 14.6% | 43.8% | +18.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Adam Keene | Conservative Party | 514 | 9.5% | 28.5% | — | |
| 5 | Sean Silver | Conservative Party | 495 | 9.2% | 27.5% | — | |
| 6 | Diana Ivory | Labour Party | 430 | 8.0% | 23.9% | — | |
| 7 | Pam Stacey | Conservative Party | 393 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — | |
| 8 | Denis Calnan | Labour Party | 392 | 7.2% | 21.7% | — | |
| 9 | Mike Jones | Labour Party | 372 | 6.9% | 20.6% | — | |
| 10 | Kiernon Murray | Green Party | 150 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — |
Leggatts · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,659
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Joynes | Labour Party | 907 | 18.2% | 54.7% | +29.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Asif Khan | Labour Party | 844 | 17.0% | 50.9% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Bilqees Mauthoor | Labour Party | 736 | 14.8% | 44.4% | +19.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sally Punter | Conservative Party | 395 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 5 | Neil Punter | Conservative Party | 391 | 7.9% | 23.6% | — | |
| 6 | Elliot Gay | Conservative Party | 346 | 7.0% | 20.9% | — | |
| 7 | Elizabeth Watkin | Liberal Democrats | 340 | 6.8% | 20.5% | — | |
| 8 | Jamil Minhas | Liberal Democrats | 319 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 9 | Yasmine Walford | Liberal Democrats | 313 | 6.3% | 18.9% | — | |
| 10 | Stephanie Ashley | Green Party | 296 | 5.9% | 17.8% | — | |
| 11 | Thineshkumar Balasingam | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 91 | 1.8% | 5.5% | — |
Nascot · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,629
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Watkin | Liberal Democrats | 1,398 | 17.7% | 53.2% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Hofman | Liberal Democrats | 1,263 | 16.0% | 48.0% | +23.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jane Johnson | Liberal Democrats | 1,207 | 15.3% | 45.9% | +20.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Andrew Mortimer | Conservative Party | 1,014 | 12.9% | 38.6% | — | |
| 5 | Linda Topping | Conservative Party | 890 | 11.3% | 33.9% | — | |
| 6 | Amarish Patel | Conservative Party | 667 | 8.5% | 25.4% | — | |
| 7 | Michael Barnes | Labour Party | 321 | 4.1% | 12.2% | — | |
| 8 | Daniel Kerry | Labour Party | 271 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 9 | Edward Tunnah | Labour Party | 249 | 3.2% | 9.5% | — | |
| 10 | Sally Ivins | Green Party | 205 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 11 | David Penn | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 200 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — | |
| 12 | Dorothy Nixon | Green Party | 121 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — | |
| 13 | James Jenkins | Green Party | 80 | 1.0% | 3.0% | — |
Meriden · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,766
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kareen Hastrick | Liberal Democrats | 918 | 17.3% | 52.0% | +27.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Amanda Grimston | Liberal Democrats | 909 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Paddy Kent | Liberal Democrats | 848 | 16.0% | 48.0% | +23.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ian Murphy | Labour Party | 402 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 5 | Omar Ismail | Labour Party | 400 | 7.6% | 22.7% | — | |
| 6 | Seamus Williams | Labour Party | 394 | 7.4% | 22.3% | — | |
| 7 | Nick Lincoln | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 336 | 6.3% | 19.0% | — | |
| 8 | Mark Whitman | Conservative Party | 301 | 5.7% | 17.0% | — | |
| 9 | Phil Cox | Conservative Party | 287 | 5.4% | 16.3% | — | |
| 10 | Ray Gomm | Conservative Party | 283 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 11 | Maureen Challis | Green Party | 157 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — | |
| 12 | Derek Foster | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 63 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — |
Stanborough · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,875
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Scudder | Liberal Democrats | 1,139 | 20.2% | 60.7% | +35.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tim Williams | Liberal Democrats | 1,060 | 18.8% | 56.5% | +31.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Keith Crout | Liberal Democrats | 1,030 | 18.3% | 54.9% | +29.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Chris Hawes | Conservative Party | 447 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 5 | Sarah Hayes | Conservative Party | 430 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 6 | Dennis Wharton | Conservative Party | 362 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 7 | Nevin Atasoy | Labour Party | 328 | 5.8% | 17.5% | — | |
| 8 | Mavis Tyrwhitt | Labour Party | 306 | 5.4% | 16.3% | — | |
| 9 | Norman Tyrwhitt | Labour Party | 288 | 5.1% | 15.4% | — | |
| 10 | Holly Fleming | Green Party | 166 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — | |
| 11 | John McShane | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 69 | 1.2% | 3.7% | — |
Vicarage · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,745
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mo Mills | Labour Party | 1,124 | 21.5% | 64.4% | +39.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jagtar Singh Dhindsa | Labour Party | 1,112 | 21.2% | 63.7% | +38.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nasreen Shah | Labour Party | 1,025 | 19.6% | 58.7% | +33.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Maria Munir | Liberal Democrats | 279 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 5 | Kelly Gay | Conservative Party | 252 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — | |
| 6 | Peter Jeffree | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 4.6% | 13.8% | — | |
| 7 | Imran Hamid | Liberal Democrats | 216 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 8 | David Degan | Green Party | 191 | 3.6% | 10.9% | — | |
| 9 | Pat Shippey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 3.6% | 10.8% | — | |
| 10 | Andrew O'Brien | Conservative Party | 188 | 3.6% | 10.8% | — | |
| 11 | Michelle Sherman | Conservative Party | 183 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 12 | Matthew Long | Green Party | 123 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 13 | Clair Pitkin | Green Party | 114 | 2.2% | 6.5% | — |
Holywell · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 59.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,548
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigel Bell | Labour Party | 1,200 | 25.8% | 77.5% | +52.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jackie Connal | Labour Party | 924 | 19.9% | 59.7% | +34.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Matt Turmaine | Labour Party | 917 | 19.7% | 59.2% | +34.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Simonie Jeffree | Liberal Democrats | 210 | 4.5% | 13.6% | — | |
| 5 | Penelope Mortimer | Conservative Party | 208 | 4.5% | 13.4% | — | |
| 6 | Gavin Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 199 | 4.3% | 12.9% | — | |
| 7 | Frances Kershaw | Liberal Democrats | 184 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 8 | Qaiser Mahmood | Liberal Democrats | 172 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — | |
| 9 | Prasi Bhatt | Conservative Party | 144 | 3.1% | 9.3% | — | |
| 10 | Camilla Khawaja | Conservative Party | 134 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 11 | Rhiannon Grant | Green Party | 133 | 2.9% | 8.6% | — | |
| 12 | Jim Grant | Green Party | 108 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 13 | Anne Simpson | Green Party | 72 | 1.6% | 4.7% | — | |
| 14 | Clive Jones | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 39 | 0.8% | 2.5% | — |
Oxhey · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 64.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,939
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iain Sharpe | Liberal Democrats | 1,307 | 22.5% | 67.4% | +42.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Taylor | Liberal Democrats | 1,256 | 21.6% | 64.8% | +39.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Joanna Maestas | Liberal Democrats | 1,247 | 21.4% | 64.3% | +39.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Deborah Marchant | Labour Party | 338 | 5.8% | 17.4% | — | |
| 5 | Sue Sleeman | Labour Party | 312 | 5.4% | 16.1% | — | |
| 6 | Haydon Chart | Conservative Party | 308 | 5.3% | 15.9% | — | |
| 7 | Dina Bhudia | Conservative Party | 275 | 4.7% | 14.2% | — | |
| 8 | Stephen Vincent | Labour Party | 243 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 9 | Matthew Hale | Green Party | 231 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 10 | Gail Martin | Conservative Party | 230 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 11 | Mark O'Connor | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 69 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — |