← Watford (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Watford 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 13,594 | 55.2% | 10 | 76.9% | 7 | 53.8% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 7,151 | 29.0% | 3 | 23.1% | 4 | 30.8% | -1 |
| Conservative Party | 3,581 | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 15.4% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 312 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 24,638 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Leggatts · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
- Callowland · 1 seat · won at 53.4% · above quota
- Central · 1 seat · won at 54.0% · above quota
- Woodside · 1 seat · won at 57.3% · above quota
- Vicarage · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
- Holywell · 1 seat · won at 59.4% · above quota
- Tudor · 1 seat · won at 61.0% · above quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 62.4% · above quota
- Nascot · 1 seat · won at 64.5% · above quota
- Oxhey · 1 seat · won at 68.5% · above quota
- Meriden · 2 seats · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Stanborough · 1 seat · won at 83.2% · above quota
Race results
Leggatts · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,965
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asif Khan | Labour Party | 856 | 43.6% | −6.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jamil Minhas | Liberal Democrats | 614 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Anthony Parker | Conservative Party | 495 | 25.2% | — |
Callowland · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,999
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn Allen-Willamson | Liberal Democrats | 1,068 | 53.4% | +3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Asma Suleman | Labour Party | 750 | 37.5% | — | |
| 3 | Mary Sackett | Conservative Party | 181 | 9.1% | — |
Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,146
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rabi Martins | Liberal Democrats | 1,158 | 54.0% | +4.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Emma Kosmin | Labour Party | 794 | 37.0% | — | |
| 3 | Dennis Wharton | Conservative Party | 194 | 9.0% | — |
Woodside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,672
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Wenham | Liberal Democrats | 958 | 57.3% | +7.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Seamus Williams | Labour Party | 306 | 18.3% | — | |
| 3 | Victoria Lynch | Conservative Party | 218 | 13.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ian Green | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 190 | 11.4% | — |
Vicarage · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,913
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jagtar Singh Dhindsa | Labour Party | 1,101 | 57.6% | +7.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ilmas Isard | Liberal Democrats | 576 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Michelle Sherman | Conservative Party | 236 | 12.3% | — |
Holywell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,632
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Favour Ezeifedi | Labour Party | 969 | 59.4% | +9.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simonie Jeffree | Liberal Democrats | 471 | 28.9% | — | |
| 3 | Jussie Kaur | Conservative Party | 192 | 11.8% | — |
Tudor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,690
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Fahmy | Liberal Democrats | 1,031 | 61.0% | +11.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Diana Ivory | Labour Party | 354 | 20.9% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Cox | Conservative Party | 305 | 18.0% | — |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,545
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Stiff | Liberal Democrats | 1,587 | 62.4% | +12.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Fallon | Conservative Party | 513 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | Dennis Watling | Labour Party | 323 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Blogg | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 122 | 4.8% | — |
Nascot · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,498
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Hofman | Liberal Democrats | 1,611 | 64.5% | +14.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Linda Topping | Conservative Party | 552 | 22.1% | — | |
| 3 | Edward Tunnah | Labour Party | 335 | 13.4% | — |
Oxhey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,918
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imran Hamid | Liberal Democrats | 1,313 | 68.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sue Sleeman | Labour Party | 327 | 17.0% | — | |
| 3 | Joseph Gornicki | Conservative Party | 278 | 14.5% | — |
Meriden · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,504
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Grimston | Liberal Democrats | 960 | 31.9% | 63.9% | +30.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennifer Pattinson | Liberal Democrats | 871 | 29.0% | 57.9% | +24.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carla Curtis-Tansley | Labour Party | 385 | 12.8% | 25.6% | — | |
| 4 | John Dowdle | Labour Party | 374 | 12.4% | 24.9% | — | |
| 5 | Binita Mehta | Conservative Party | 219 | 7.3% | 14.6% | — | |
| 6 | Peter Okojie | Conservative Party | 198 | 6.6% | 13.2% | — |
Stanborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 83.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,653
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Williams | Liberal Democrats | 1,376 | 83.2% | +33.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Omar Ismail | Labour Party | 277 | 16.8% | — |