← Welwyn Hatfield (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Welwyn Hatfield 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 11,150 | 38.6% | 8 | 44.4% | 7 | 38.9% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 9,397 | 32.5% | 5 | 27.8% | 6 | 33.3% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 7,323 | 25.3% | 5 | 27.8% | 5 | 27.8% | 0 |
| Green Party | 733 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 303 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,906 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Haldens · 1 seat · won at 35.8% · −14.2 pts below quota
- Howlands · 1 seat · won at 43.4% · −6.6 pts below quota
- Hatfield Central · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · −4.9 pts below quota
- Hatfield Villages · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Sherrards · 1 seat · won at 46.5% · −3.5 pts below quota
- Hollybush · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · −2.1 pts below quota
- Panshanger · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Peartree · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Hatfield East · 2 seats · won at 34.8% · above quota
- Welwyn East · 1 seat · won at 51.4% · above quota
- Welwyn West · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
- Welham Green and Hatfield South · 1 seat · won at 55.6% · above quota
- Handside · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
- Hatfield South West · 2 seats · won at 43.5% · above quota
- Brookmans Park and Little Heath · 1 seat · won at 67.8% · above quota
- Northaw and Cuffley · 1 seat · won at 68.5% · above quota
Race results
Haldens · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,587
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbara Fitzsimon | Conservative Party | 568 | 35.8% | −14.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jason Robinson | Labour Party | 514 | 32.4% | — | |
| 3 | Darrell Panter | Liberal Democrats | 341 | 21.5% | — | |
| 4 | Berenice Dowlen | Green Party | 164 | 10.3% | — |
Howlands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,603
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jill Weston | Labour Party | 696 | 43.4% | −6.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stan Tunstall | Conservative Party | 523 | 32.6% | — | |
| 3 | Darren Hughes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 193 | 12.0% | — | |
| 4 | Konrad Basch | Liberal Democrats | 191 | 11.9% | — |
Hatfield Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,291
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glyn Hayes | Labour Party | 582 | 45.1% | −4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Bond | Conservative Party | 435 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Adam Edwards | Liberal Democrats | 274 | 21.2% | — |
Hatfield Villages · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,445
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Richardson | Conservative Party | 654 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Margaret Eames-Petersen | Labour Party | 573 | 39.7% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Quenet | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 15.1% | — |
Sherrards · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,979
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frank Marsh | Liberal Democrats | 921 | 46.5% | −3.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pat Mabbott | Conservative Party | 595 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Hilary Carlen | Labour Party | 245 | 12.4% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Naughton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 110 | 5.6% | — | |
| 5 | Lesley Smith | Green Party | 108 | 5.5% | — |
Hollybush · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,295
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Margaret Birleson | Labour Party | 620 | 47.9% | −2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anthony Musk | Conservative Party | 492 | 38.0% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Corbey-West | Liberal Democrats | 183 | 14.1% | — |
Panshanger · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,608
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Quinton | Liberal Democrats | 784 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Iain Mansfield | Conservative Party | 587 | 36.5% | — | |
| 3 | Kyle Macleod | Labour Party | 237 | 14.7% | — |
Peartree · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,235
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayne Ranshaw | Liberal Democrats | 623 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Roberts | Labour Party | 402 | 32.6% | — | |
| 3 | Tony Bailey | Conservative Party | 210 | 17.0% | — |
Hatfield East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,679
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caron Juggins | Conservative Party | 623 | 18.6% | 37.1% | +3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Edward Boulton | Conservative Party | 584 | 17.4% | 34.8% | +1.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jackie Brennan | Liberal Democrats | 553 | 16.5% | 32.9% | — | |
| 4 | Phil Knott | Labour Party | 524 | 15.6% | 31.2% | — | |
| 5 | Gemma Moore | Liberal Democrats | 467 | 13.9% | 27.8% | — | |
| 6 | Cathy Watson | Labour Party | 450 | 13.4% | 26.8% | — | |
| 7 | Ian Gregory | Green Party | 157 | 4.7% | 9.4% | — |
Welwyn East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,759
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger Trigg | Conservative Party | 905 | 51.4% | +1.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Helen Harrington | Liberal Democrats | 511 | 29.1% | — | |
| 3 | Josh Chigwangwa | Labour Party | 343 | 19.5% | — |
Welwyn West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,797
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Kingsbury | Conservative Party | 998 | 55.5% | +5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christina Raven | Liberal Democrats | 557 | 31.0% | — | |
| 3 | Tim Hogan | Green Party | 126 | 7.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ian Merison | Labour Party | 116 | 6.5% | — |
Welham Green and Hatfield South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,588
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaida Caliskan | Liberal Democrats | 883 | 55.6% | +5.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Darren Bennett | Conservative Party | 408 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Eames-Petersen | Labour Party | 297 | 18.7% | — |
Handside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,535
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Dennis | Liberal Democrats | 1,488 | 58.7% | +8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chieme Okuzu | Conservative Party | 667 | 26.3% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Norman | Labour Party | 202 | 8.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ian Nendick | Green Party | 178 | 7.0% | — |
Hatfield South West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 43.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,251
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lenny Brandon | Labour Party | 629 | 25.1% | 50.3% | +17.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Broach | Labour Party | 544 | 21.8% | 43.5% | +10.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Simon Archer | Liberal Democrats | 370 | 14.8% | 29.6% | — | |
| 4 | Jack Adams | Conservative Party | 341 | 13.6% | 27.3% | — | |
| 5 | Paul Wilson | Liberal Democrats | 322 | 12.9% | 25.7% | — | |
| 6 | Aaron Jacob | Conservative Party | 295 | 11.8% | 23.6% | — |
Brookmans Park and Little Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,847
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Boulton | Conservative Party | 1,253 | 67.8% | +17.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Louisa Noel | Liberal Democrats | 376 | 20.4% | — | |
| 3 | Graham Beevers | Labour Party | 218 | 11.8% | — |
Northaw and Cuffley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,478
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Michaelides | Conservative Party | 1,012 | 68.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robina Durrant | Liberal Democrats | 335 | 22.7% | — | |
| 3 | Sheila Barrett | Labour Party | 131 | 8.9% | — |