← Wyre Forest (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Wyre Forest 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 33 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 17,827 | 31.6% | 14 | 42.4% | 11 | 33.3% | +3 |
| ICHC | 9,763 | 17.3% | 8 | 24.2% | 6 | 18.2% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 9,053 | 16.1% | 2 | 6.1% | 6 | 18.2% | -4 |
| Independent | 5,983 | 10.6% | 5 | 15.2% | 3 | 9.1% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,919 | 10.5% | 3 | 9.1% | 3 | 9.1% | 0 |
| Green Party | 4,325 | 7.7% | 1 | 3.0% | 2 | 6.1% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,491 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 6.1% | -2 |
| Total | 56,361 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2019 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and on the eve of it (2018), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Lickhill · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · −12.8 pts below quota
- Broadwaters · 3 seats · won at 33.4% · above quota
- Franche and Habberley North · 3 seats · won at 33.9% · above quota
- Areley Kings and Riverside · 3 seats · won at 35.6% · above quota
- Wribbenhall and Arley · 2 seats · won at 44.5% · above quota
- Wyre Forest Rural · 3 seats · won at 38.2% · above quota
- Foley Park and Hoobrook · 3 seats · won at 39.3% · above quota
- Mitton · 3 seats · won at 41.6% · above quota
- Bewdley and Rock · 3 seats · won at 46.3% · above quota
- Blakebrook and Habberley South · 3 seats · won at 46.5% · above quota
- Offmore and Comberton · 3 seats · won at 58.4% · above quota
- Aggborough and Spennells · 3 seats · won at 63.5% · above quota
Race results
Lickhill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 707
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dixon Sheppard | ICHC | 263 | 37.2% | −12.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Little | Conservative Party | 241 | 34.1% | — | |
| 3 | Carol Warren | Labour Party | 109 | 15.4% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Pratt | Liberal Democrats | 63 | 8.9% | — | |
| 5 | Nick Atkinson | Green Party | 31 | 4.4% | — |
Broadwaters · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 33.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,439
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mary Rayner | Independent | 721 | 16.7% | 50.1% | +25.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Young | ICHC | 682 | 15.8% | 47.4% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sarah Rook | Labour Party | 481 | 11.1% | 33.4% | +8.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Gareth Webster | Labour Party | 461 | 10.7% | 32.0% | — | |
| 5 | Abdur Razzak | Liberal Democrats | 375 | 8.7% | 26.1% | — | |
| 6 | Bill Hopkins | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 370 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 7 | Steve Walker | Conservative Party | 365 | 8.5% | 25.4% | — | |
| 8 | Anita Ostrowski | Green Party | 332 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 9 | Clare Cassidy | Liberal Democrats | 304 | 7.0% | 21.1% | — | |
| 10 | Simon Ford | Liberal Democrats | 227 | 5.3% | 15.8% | — |
Franche and Habberley North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 33.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,919
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susie Griffiths | ICHC | 956 | 16.6% | 49.8% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Ballinger | ICHC | 890 | 15.5% | 46.4% | +21.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Anna l'Huillier | ICHC | 651 | 11.3% | 33.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mike Cheeseman | Conservative Party | 628 | 10.9% | 32.7% | — | |
| 5 | Nigel Knowles | Labour Party | 628 | 10.9% | 32.7% | — | |
| 6 | David Ross | Conservative Party | 536 | 9.3% | 27.9% | — | |
| 7 | Mary McDonnell | Labour Party | 502 | 8.7% | 26.2% | — | |
| 8 | Tony Whitmore | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 338 | 5.9% | 17.6% | — | |
| 9 | Brett Caulfield | Green Party | 318 | 5.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| 10 | Oliver Walker | Liberal Democrats | 311 | 5.4% | 16.2% | — |
Areley Kings and Riverside · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,707
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claire Barnett | ICHC | 724 | 14.1% | 42.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Thomas | ICHC | 724 | 14.1% | 42.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ken Henderson | Conservative Party | 608 | 11.9% | 35.6% | +10.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Lin Henderson | Conservative Party | 564 | 11.0% | 33.0% | — | |
| 5 | Gary Talbot | Conservative Party | 507 | 9.9% | 29.7% | — | |
| 6 | Vi Higgs | Labour Party | 473 | 9.2% | 27.7% | — | |
| 7 | Cliff Brewer | Labour Party | 398 | 7.8% | 23.3% | — | |
| 8 | Rob Lloyd | Labour Party | 395 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 9 | Nick Jolly | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 328 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 10 | Luke Clasper | Green Party | 300 | 5.9% | 17.6% | — | |
| 11 | Anita Beavis | Liberal Democrats | 99 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — |
Wribbenhall and Arley · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,417
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Harrison | Conservative Party | 648 | 22.9% | 45.7% | +12.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Byng | Conservative Party | 631 | 22.3% | 44.5% | +11.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Liz Davies | ICHC | 561 | 19.8% | 39.6% | — | |
| 4 | Megan Williams | Green Party | 397 | 14.0% | 28.0% | — | |
| 5 | Dan Crampton | Labour Party | 392 | 13.8% | 27.7% | — | |
| 6 | Christopher Wood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 205 | 7.2% | 14.5% | — |
Wyre Forest Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,508
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Hardiman | Conservative Party | 1,136 | 15.1% | 45.3% | +20.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marcus Hart | Conservative Party | 1,115 | 14.8% | 44.5% | +19.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Lisa Jones | Conservative Party | 958 | 12.7% | 38.2% | +13.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Adrian Carloss | ICHC | 881 | 11.7% | 35.1% | — | |
| 5 | Vince Smith | ICHC | 777 | 10.3% | 31.0% | — | |
| 6 | Harry Grove | ICHC | 618 | 8.2% | 24.6% | — | |
| 7 | Chris Nicholls | Labour Party | 520 | 6.9% | 20.7% | — | |
| 8 | David Jones | Labour Party | 484 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 9 | Kate Spohrer | Green Party | 423 | 5.6% | 16.9% | — | |
| 10 | Steven Harrington | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 316 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 11 | Barry McFarland | Labour Party | 295 | 3.9% | 11.8% | — |
Foley Park and Hoobrook · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,648
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Desmond | Conservative Party | 788 | 15.9% | 47.8% | +22.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sally Chambers | Conservative Party | 728 | 14.7% | 44.2% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nicky Gale | Conservative Party | 647 | 13.1% | 39.3% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sue Meekings | ICHC | 625 | 12.6% | 37.9% | — | |
| 5 | Dave Finch | Green Party | 404 | 8.2% | 24.5% | — | |
| 6 | Craig Leonard | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 375 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 7 | John Beckingham | Labour Party | 328 | 6.6% | 19.9% | — | |
| 8 | Gerald Crumpton | Labour Party | 299 | 6.0% | 18.1% | — | |
| 9 | Adrian Beavis | Liberal Democrats | 288 | 5.8% | 17.5% | — | |
| 10 | Leia Beavis | Liberal Democrats | 235 | 4.8% | 14.3% | — | |
| 11 | Heidi Worth | Liberal Democrats | 226 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — |
Mitton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 41.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,554
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicky Martin | ICHC | 1,013 | 21.7% | 65.2% | +40.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Rogers | Conservative Party | 662 | 14.2% | 42.6% | +17.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Berenice Dawes | Conservative Party | 647 | 13.9% | 41.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Howard Williams | Conservative Party | 514 | 11.0% | 33.1% | — | |
| 5 | Phil Oliver | Green Party | 426 | 9.1% | 27.4% | — | |
| 6 | Jackie Griffiths | Labour Party | 411 | 8.8% | 26.4% | — | |
| 7 | Jill Hawes | Labour Party | 399 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 8 | Daniel Rees | Labour Party | 365 | 7.8% | 23.5% | — | |
| 9 | Rachel Akathiotis | Liberal Democrats | 225 | 4.8% | 14.5% | — |
Bewdley and Rock · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,870
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anna Coleman | Conservative Party | 969 | 17.3% | 51.8% | +26.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Calne Edginton-White | Independent | 947 | 16.9% | 50.6% | +25.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Roger Coleman | Conservative Party | 866 | 15.4% | 46.3% | +21.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Becky Vale | Conservative Party | 852 | 15.2% | 45.6% | — | |
| 5 | Rod Stanczyszyn | Labour Party | 821 | 14.6% | 43.9% | — | |
| 6 | John Davis | Green Party | 727 | 13.0% | 38.9% | — | |
| 7 | Paul Rogers | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 428 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — |
Blakebrook and Habberley South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,366
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracey Onslow | Conservative Party | 752 | 18.3% | 55.0% | +30.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Vicky Caulfield | Green Party | 645 | 15.7% | 47.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Leigh Whitehouse | Labour Party | 636 | 15.5% | 46.5% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Juliet Smith | Conservative Party | 599 | 14.6% | 43.8% | — | |
| 5 | John Hart | Conservative Party | 577 | 14.1% | 42.2% | — | |
| 6 | David Hollyoak | Liberal Democrats | 497 | 12.1% | 36.4% | — | |
| 7 | George Connolly | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 393 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — |
Offmore and Comberton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,586
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frances Oborski | Liberal Democrats | 1,183 | 24.9% | 74.6% | +49.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shazu Miah | Liberal Democrats | 960 | 20.2% | 60.5% | +35.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alan Totty | Liberal Democrats | 926 | 19.5% | 58.4% | +33.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Dave Field | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 482 | 10.1% | 30.4% | — | |
| 5 | Kevin Gale | Conservative Party | 429 | 9.0% | 27.0% | — | |
| 6 | Nick Savage | Labour Party | 394 | 8.3% | 24.8% | — | |
| 7 | Matthew Viner | Conservative Party | 384 | 8.1% | 24.2% | — |
Aggborough and Spennells · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 63.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +38.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,010
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helen Dyke | Independent | 1,583 | 26.3% | 78.8% | +53.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Dyke | Independent | 1,455 | 24.1% | 72.4% | +47.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Aston | Independent | 1,277 | 21.2% | 63.5% | +38.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Tony Muir | Conservative Party | 476 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 5 | Keith Robertson | ICHC | 398 | 6.6% | 19.8% | — | |
| 6 | Maxine Watkins | Green Party | 322 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 7 | George Price | Labour Party | 262 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — | |
| 8 | Warren Rogers | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 256 | 4.2% | 12.7% | — |