← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Epping Forest 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 7,214 | 48.3% | 14 | 77.8% | 10 | 55.6% | +4 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,349 | 22.4% | 3 | 16.7% | 4 | 22.2% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 2,940 | 19.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 22.2% | -4 |
| Independent | 690 | 4.6% | 1 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Green Party | 314 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| BDP | 187 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 107 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 67 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| ENG DEM | 34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| SHARED | 32 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 14,934 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and immediately before it (2022). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2023 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Grange Hill · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · −11.7 pts below quota
- Waltham Abbey Paternoster · 1 seat · won at 39.4% · −10.6 pts below quota
- Buckhurst Hill West · 1 seat · won at 44.4% · −5.6 pts below quota
- Lower Sheering · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Shelley · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · −0.9 pts below quota
- Waltham Abbey South West · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Epping Lindsey and Thornwood Common · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey North East · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
- Chipping Ongar Greensted and Marden Ash · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
- North Weald Bassett · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Roydon · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
- Lower Nazeing · 1 seat · won at 65.1% · above quota
- Epping Hemnall · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
- Hastingwood Matching and Sheering Village · 1 seat · won at 67.2% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey High Beach · 1 seat · won at 67.5% · above quota
- Lambourne · 1 seat · won at 69.6% · above quota
- Broadley Common Epping Upland and Nazeing · 1 seat · won at 69.7% · above quota
Race results
Grange Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,090
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan, L. | Independent | 417 | 38.3% | −11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Saunders, D. | Conservative Party | 374 | 34.3% | — | |
| 3 | Gollo, O. | Labour Party | 240 | 22.0% | — | |
| 4 | Hanch, T. | Green Party | 59 | 5.4% | — |
Waltham Abbey Paternoster · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 743
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markham, M. | Conservative Party | 293 | 39.4% | −10.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Greyson, R. | Labour Party | 250 | 33.6% | — | |
| 3 | Leppert, J. | BDP | 187 | 25.2% | — | |
| 4 | Gardner, B. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 13 | 1.7% | — |
Buckhurst Hill West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,645
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patel, J. | Conservative Party | 730 | 44.4% | −5.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kasperkowicz, T. | Labour Party | 273 | 16.6% | — | |
| 3 | Share-Bernia, J. | Independent | 222 | 13.5% | — | |
| 4 | Matharu, I. | Liberal Democrats | 190 | 11.6% | — | |
| 5 | Fricker, A. | Green Party | 147 | 8.9% | — | |
| 6 | Vesselinov, L. | Independent | 51 | 3.1% | — | |
| 7 | Hall, T. | SHARED | 32 | 1.9% | — |
Lower Sheering · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 497
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paine, L. | Liberal Democrats | 226 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Baker, S. | Conservative Party | 206 | 41.4% | — | |
| 3 | Williams, J. | Labour Party | 65 | 13.1% | — |
Shelley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 330
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bedford, N. | Conservative Party | 162 | 49.1% | −0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Acornley, T. | Labour Party | 110 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | Tilbrook, R. | ENG DEM | 34 | 10.3% | — | |
| 4 | Sinfield, P. | Liberal Democrats | 24 | 7.3% | — |
Waltham Abbey South West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 597
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parsons, J. | Conservative Party | 312 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wild, D. | Labour Party | 133 | 22.3% | — | |
| 3 | Plummer, D. | Green Party | 108 | 18.1% | — | |
| 4 | Beecroft, M. | Liberal Democrats | 32 | 5.4% | — | |
| 5 | Asker, J. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 12 | 2.0% | — |
Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 896
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kane, S. | Conservative Party | 487 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Harris, S. | Labour Party | 367 | 41.0% | — | |
| 3 | Pattison, I. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 42 | 4.7% | — |
Epping Lindsey and Thornwood Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,922
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharif, R. | Liberal Democrats | 1,052 | 54.7% | +4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jones, S. | Conservative Party | 750 | 39.0% | — | |
| 3 | Bullough, S. | Labour Party | 120 | 6.2% | — |
Waltham Abbey North East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 754
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucas, J. | Conservative Party | 426 | 56.5% | +6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ayre, A. | Labour Party | 208 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Chadburn, P. | Liberal Democrats | 120 | 15.9% | — |
Chipping Ongar Greensted and Marden Ash · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 902
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keska, P. | Conservative Party | 520 | 57.6% | +7.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Huish, R. | Labour Party | 168 | 18.6% | — | |
| 3 | Richardson, M. | Liberal Democrats | 157 | 17.4% | — | |
| 4 | Bell, P. | Reform UK | 57 | 6.3% | — |
North Weald Bassett · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 876
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McIvor, J. | Conservative Party | 507 | 57.9% | +7.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hind, K. | Labour Party | 221 | 25.2% | — | |
| 3 | Barnard, E. | Liberal Democrats | 148 | 16.9% | — |
Roydon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 485
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitbread, C. | Conservative Party | 315 | 64.9% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kyriacou-Drummond, A. | Labour Party | 170 | 35.1% | — |
Lower Nazeing · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 720
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bassett, R. | Conservative Party | 469 | 65.1% | +15.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marsh, E. | Labour Party | 104 | 14.4% | — | |
| 3 | Thatcher, E. | Liberal Democrats | 97 | 13.5% | — | |
| 4 | Harvey, M. | Reform UK | 50 | 6.9% | — |
Epping Hemnall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,703
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McCredie, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,123 | 65.9% | +15.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Whitbread, M. | Conservative Party | 450 | 26.4% | — | |
| 3 | Collier, I. | Labour Party | 130 | 7.6% | — |
Hastingwood Matching and Sheering Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 564
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan, R. | Conservative Party | 379 | 67.2% | +17.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gwynn, M. | Labour Party | 123 | 21.8% | — | |
| 3 | Ward, P. | Liberal Democrats | 62 | 11.0% | — |
Waltham Abbey High Beach · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 428
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthews, T. | Conservative Party | 289 | 67.5% | +17.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Morris, M. | Labour Party | 139 | 32.5% | — |
Lambourne · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 369
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McCann, C. | Conservative Party | 257 | 69.6% | +19.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wingfield, A. | Labour Party | 62 | 16.8% | — | |
| 3 | Davies, N. | Liberal Democrats | 50 | 13.6% | — |
Broadley Common Epping Upland and Nazeing · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 413
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green, A. | Conservative Party | 288 | 69.7% | +19.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Griffiths, R. | Liberal Democrats | 68 | 16.5% | — | |
| 3 | Sangha, S. | Labour Party | 57 | 13.8% | — |