← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort
Epping Forest 2024
Local elections held 2 May 2024.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 29,990 | 42.1% | 29 | 53.7% | 24 | 44.4% | +5 |
| RES | 12,955 | 18.2% | 13 | 24.1% | 10 | 18.5% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 10,307 | 14.5% | 7 | 13.0% | 8 | 14.8% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 7,964 | 11.2% | 1 | 1.9% | 6 | 11.1% | -5 |
| Independent | 6,242 | 8.8% | 3 | 5.6% | 5 | 9.3% | -2 |
| Green Party | 2,366 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.9% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 324 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| British Democratic Party | 323 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 235 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| English Democrats | 227 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 222 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 71,155 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2024 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2024 election (current) and on the eve of it (2023), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Buckhurst Hill East and Whitebridge · 3 seats · won at 39.4% · above quota
- Theydon Bois with Passingford · 3 seats · won at 41.6% · above quota
- Epping West and Rural · 3 seats · won at 45.4% · above quota
- Buckhurst Hill West · 3 seats · won at 46.6% · above quota
- Grange Hill · 3 seats · won at 46.6% · above quota
- Epping East · 3 seats · won at 48.3% · above quota
- North Weald Bassett · 3 seats · won at 49.4% · above quota
- Rural East · 3 seats · won at 49.7% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey North · 3 seats · won at 57.3% · above quota
- Loughton Fairmead · 3 seats · won at 63.6% · above quota
- Ongar · 3 seats · won at 65.6% · above quota
- Roydon and Lower Nazeing · 3 seats · won at 68.2% · above quota
- Loughton Forest · 3 seats · won at 68.8% · above quota
- Loughton Roding · 3 seats · won at 69.0% · above quota
- Chigwell with Lambourne · 3 seats · won at 70.6% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey South and Rural · 3 seats · won at 74.2% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey West · 3 seats · won at 74.4% · above quota
- Loughton St John's · 3 seats · won at 76.4% · above quota
Race results
Buckhurst Hill East and Whitebridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,622
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brookes, R. | RES | 792 | 16.3% | 48.8% | +23.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cohen, B. | RES | 646 | 13.3% | 39.8% | +14.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gabbett, E. | Green Party | 639 | 13.1% | 39.4% | +14.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Kent, C. | RES | 617 | 12.7% | 38.0% | — | |
| 5 | Aradeon, D. | Green Party | 596 | 12.2% | 36.7% | — | |
| 6 | Bagshaw, J. | Conservative Party | 375 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 7 | Laviolette, A. | Labour Party | 369 | 7.6% | 22.7% | — | |
| 8 | Sparrow, A. | Conservative Party | 327 | 6.7% | 20.2% | — | |
| 9 | Vance, M. | Conservative Party | 320 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — | |
| 10 | Brown, B. | Independent | 186 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — |
Theydon Bois with Passingford · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 41.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,677
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amos, C. | Liberal Democrats | 949 | 18.9% | 56.6% | +31.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cornish, T. | Liberal Democrats | 882 | 17.5% | 52.6% | +27.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jones, S. | Conservative Party | 698 | 13.9% | 41.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Griffiths, R. | Liberal Democrats | 695 | 13.8% | 41.4% | — | |
| 5 | Brady, H. | Conservative Party | 647 | 12.9% | 38.6% | — | |
| 6 | Philip, J. | Conservative Party | 581 | 11.5% | 34.6% | — | |
| 7 | Burgess, C. | Independent | 212 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 8 | Turchin, L. | Independent | 211 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 9 | Mortimer, C. | Labour Party | 157 | 3.1% | 9.4% | — |
Epping West and Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,832
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George, M. | Liberal Democrats | 945 | 17.2% | 51.6% | +26.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sharif, R. | Liberal Democrats | 926 | 16.8% | 50.5% | +25.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Whitbread, H. | Conservative Party | 832 | 15.1% | 45.4% | +20.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Thatcher, E. | Liberal Democrats | 815 | 14.8% | 44.5% | — | |
| 5 | Green, A. | Conservative Party | 751 | 13.7% | 41.0% | — | |
| 6 | Murray, P. | Conservative Party | 699 | 12.7% | 38.2% | — | |
| 7 | Avey, N. | Independent | 332 | 6.0% | 18.1% | — | |
| 8 | Voitov, S. | Labour Party | 196 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — |
Buckhurst Hill West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,515
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Church, B. | Conservative Party | 819 | 18.0% | 54.1% | +29.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Williamson, K. | Conservative Party | 800 | 17.6% | 52.8% | +27.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Patel, S. | Conservative Party | 706 | 15.5% | 46.6% | +21.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Fricker, R. | Green Party | 581 | 12.8% | 38.3% | — | |
| 5 | Radley, K. | Green Party | 550 | 12.1% | 36.3% | — | |
| 6 | Kasperkowicz, T. | Labour Party | 419 | 9.2% | 27.7% | — | |
| 7 | Mihailova, L. | Independent | 340 | 7.5% | 22.4% | — | |
| 8 | Matharu, I. | Liberal Democrats | 330 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — |
Grange Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,505
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lion, A. | Conservative Party | 791 | 17.5% | 52.6% | +27.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Morgan, L. | Independent | 775 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Chahal Holden, R. | Conservative Party | 702 | 15.5% | 46.6% | +21.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ali, O. | Conservative Party | 631 | 14.0% | 41.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rye, D. | Independent | 592 | 13.1% | 39.3% | — | |
| 6 | Ayre, A. | Labour Party | 456 | 10.1% | 30.3% | — | |
| 7 | Aradeon, A. | Independent | 365 | 8.1% | 24.3% | — | |
| 8 | Hume, S. | Liberal Democrats | 203 | 4.5% | 13.5% | — |
Epping East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,759
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitehouse, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,100 | 20.8% | 62.5% | +37.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Whitehouse, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,020 | 19.3% | 58.0% | +33.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Barnard, E. | Liberal Democrats | 850 | 16.1% | 48.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | McCredie, C. | Independent | 599 | 11.4% | 34.1% | — | |
| 5 | Whitbread, M. | Conservative Party | 501 | 9.5% | 28.5% | — | |
| 6 | Abbott, J. | Conservative Party | 477 | 9.0% | 27.1% | — | |
| 7 | Roberts, I. | Conservative Party | 467 | 8.9% | 26.6% | — | |
| 8 | Thomas, P. | Labour Party | 262 | 5.0% | 14.9% | — |
North Weald Bassett · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,093
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromwich, T. | Independent | 889 | 27.1% | 81.3% | +56.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bedford, N. | Conservative Party | 604 | 18.4% | 55.3% | +30.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Burrows, L. | Conservative Party | 540 | 16.5% | 49.4% | +24.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mills, L. | Conservative Party | 472 | 14.4% | 43.2% | — | |
| 5 | Hind, K. | Labour Party | 392 | 12.0% | 35.9% | — | |
| 6 | Stockton, P. | Labour Party | 382 | 11.6% | 34.9% | — |
Rural East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,482
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balcombe, R. | Conservative Party | 817 | 18.4% | 55.1% | +30.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Morgan, R. | Conservative Party | 774 | 17.4% | 52.2% | +27.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hadley, I. | Conservative Party | 737 | 16.6% | 49.7% | +24.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Paine, L. | Liberal Democrats | 697 | 15.7% | 47.0% | — | |
| 5 | Pattani, B. | Liberal Democrats | 465 | 10.5% | 31.4% | — | |
| 6 | Huish, A. | Labour Party | 405 | 9.1% | 27.3% | — | |
| 7 | Bell, P. | Reform UK | 324 | 7.3% | 21.9% | — | |
| 8 | Tilbrook, R. | English Democrats | 227 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — |
Waltham Abbey North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 57.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 781
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morris, M. | Labour Party | 520 | 22.2% | 66.6% | +41.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lea, J. | Conservative Party | 483 | 20.6% | 61.9% | +36.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stocker, D. | Conservative Party | 447 | 19.1% | 57.3% | +32.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Scott, F. | Conservative Party | 417 | 17.8% | 53.4% | — | |
| 5 | Leppert, J. | British Democratic Party | 323 | 13.8% | 41.4% | — | |
| 6 | Walsh, A. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 152 | 6.5% | 19.5% | — |
Loughton Fairmead · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 63.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +38.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,082
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mead, L. | RES | 966 | 29.8% | 89.3% | +64.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kauffman, W. | RES | 761 | 23.4% | 70.3% | +45.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ardakani, A. | RES | 688 | 21.2% | 63.6% | +38.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Rawlings, G. | Labour Party | 332 | 10.2% | 30.7% | — | |
| 5 | Smith, A. | Labour Party | 287 | 8.8% | 26.5% | — | |
| 6 | Nagpal, B. | Conservative Party | 213 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — |
Ongar · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,261
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dadd, M. | Conservative Party | 911 | 24.1% | 72.2% | +47.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McIvor, J. | Conservative Party | 828 | 21.9% | 65.7% | +40.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Keska, P. | Conservative Party | 827 | 21.9% | 65.6% | +40.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Wingfield, A. | Labour Party | 337 | 8.9% | 26.7% | — | |
| 5 | Huish, R. | Labour Party | 332 | 8.8% | 26.3% | — | |
| 6 | White, T. | Labour Party | 296 | 7.8% | 23.5% | — | |
| 7 | Richardson, M. | Liberal Democrats | 252 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — |
Roydon and Lower Nazeing · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 994
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bassett, R. | Conservative Party | 883 | 29.6% | 88.9% | +63.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Whitbread, C. | Conservative Party | 715 | 24.0% | 72.0% | +47.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Pugsley, R. | Conservative Party | 678 | 22.7% | 68.2% | +43.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Kyriacou, A. | Labour Party | 470 | 15.8% | 47.3% | — | |
| 5 | Harvey, M. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 235 | 7.9% | 23.6% | — |
Loughton Forest · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,696
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baldwin, R. | RES | 1,220 | 24.0% | 71.9% | +46.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Owen, M. | RES | 1,171 | 23.0% | 69.0% | +44.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Allgood, I. | RES | 1,167 | 22.9% | 68.8% | +43.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Metcalfe, S. | Conservative Party | 361 | 7.1% | 21.3% | — | |
| 5 | Hawes, K. | Conservative Party | 354 | 7.0% | 20.9% | — | |
| 6 | Ridding, J. | Conservative Party | 288 | 5.7% | 17.0% | — | |
| 7 | Draper, T. | Labour Party | 279 | 5.5% | 16.5% | — | |
| 8 | Davies, N. | Liberal Democrats | 178 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 9 | Jones, S. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 70 | 1.4% | 4.1% | — |
Loughton Roding · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 69.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +44.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,111
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murray, S. | Independent | 1,098 | 32.9% | 98.8% | +73.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rackham, S. | RES | 826 | 24.8% | 74.3% | +49.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nweke, C. | RES | 767 | 23.0% | 69.0% | +44.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Wild, D. | Labour Party | 327 | 9.8% | 29.4% | — | |
| 5 | Fontenelle, M. | Independent | 186 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 6 | Parry, T. | Conservative Party | 130 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — |
Chigwell with Lambourne · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 70.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +45.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,341
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McCann, C. | Conservative Party | 1,164 | 28.9% | 86.8% | +61.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rizvi, K. | Conservative Party | 1,018 | 25.3% | 75.9% | +50.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sunger, D. | Conservative Party | 947 | 23.5% | 70.6% | +45.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Malik, S. | Independent | 457 | 11.4% | 34.1% | — | |
| 5 | Casaluci, T. | Labour Party | 437 | 10.9% | 32.6% | — |
Waltham Abbey South and Rural · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 74.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +49.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 839
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heather, S. | Conservative Party | 715 | 28.4% | 85.3% | +60.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Markham, M. | Conservative Party | 676 | 26.9% | 80.6% | +55.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Matthews, T. | Conservative Party | 622 | 24.7% | 74.2% | +49.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Harris, S. | Labour Party | 503 | 20.0% | 60.0% | — |
Waltham Abbey West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 74.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +49.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 804
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parsons, J. | Conservative Party | 663 | 27.5% | 82.5% | +57.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lucas, J. | Conservative Party | 618 | 25.6% | 76.9% | +51.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Yerrell, S. | Conservative Party | 598 | 24.8% | 74.4% | +49.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Greyson, B. | Labour Party | 532 | 22.1% | 66.2% | — |
Loughton St John's · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 76.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,325
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pond, C. | RES | 1,216 | 30.6% | 91.8% | +66.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kauffman, H. | RES | 1,106 | 27.8% | 83.5% | +58.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Wiskin, G. | RES | 1,012 | 25.5% | 76.4% | +51.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Metcalfe, V. | Conservative Party | 366 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 5 | Roberts, E. | Labour Party | 274 | 6.9% | 20.7% | — |