← New Forest (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
New Forest 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 26 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 48 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 34,767 | 42.1% | 26 | 54.2% | 21 | 43.8% | +5 |
| Liberal Democrats | 24,010 | 29.1% | 14 | 29.2% | 14 | 29.2% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 11,845 | 14.3% | 1 | 2.1% | 7 | 14.6% | -6 |
| Independent | 6,111 | 7.4% | 4 | 8.3% | 3 | 6.3% | +1 |
| Green Party | 5,713 | 6.9% | 3 | 6.3% | 3 | 6.3% | 0 |
| Britain First | 108 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 82,554 | 100.0% | 48 | 100.0% | 48 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Ballard · 1 seat · won at 40.7% · −9.3 pts below quota
- Ringwood South · 2 seats · won at 29.7% · −3.6 pts below quota
- Lyndhurst and Minstead · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Downlands and Forest North · 1 seat · won at 49.0% · −1.0 pts below quota
- Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield · 2 seats · won at 33.4% · above quota
- Forest and Solent · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Brockenhurst and Denny Lodge · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
- Totton Central · 2 seats · won at 35.0% · above quota
- Sway · 1 seat · won at 55.3% · above quota
- Ringwood North and Ellingham · 2 seats · won at 40.3% · above quota
- Bransgore, Burley, Sopley and Ringwood East · 2 seats · won at 40.5% · above quota
- Lymington · 2 seats · won at 41.2% · above quota
- Marchwood and Eling · 2 seats · won at 44.5% · above quota
- Pennington · 2 seats · won at 45.0% · above quota
- Totton South · 2 seats · won at 45.4% · above quota
- Fawley, Blackfield, Calshot and Langley · 2 seats · won at 49.3% · above quota
- Ashurst, Bramshaw, Copythorne and Netley Marsh · 2 seats · won at 49.6% · above quota
- Totton North · 3 seats · won at 41.9% · above quota
- Hythe Central · 2 seats · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Ashley, Bashley and Fernhill · 2 seats · won at 52.5% · above quota
- Fordingbridge, Godshill and Hyde · 2 seats · won at 53.1% · above quota
- Milton · 2 seats · won at 53.6% · above quota
- Dibden and Dibden Purlieu · 2 seats · won at 55.2% · above quota
- Milford and Hordle · 3 seats · won at 47.2% · above quota
- Hythe South · 2 seats · won at 56.2% · above quota
- Barton and Becton · 2 seats · won at 56.2% · above quota
Race results
Ballard · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 854
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tungate, N. | Conservative Party | 348 | 40.7% | −9.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wallis-Dowling, H. | Labour Party | 167 | 19.6% | — | |
| 3 | Baker, C. | Liberal Democrats | 137 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Lambert, N. | Britain First | 108 | 12.6% | — | |
| 5 | Hamilton, E. | Green Party | 94 | 11.0% | — |
Ringwood South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 29.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,738
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heron, J. | Conservative Party | 534 | 15.4% | 30.7% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Swaine, S. | Conservative Party | 517 | 14.9% | 29.7% | −3.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Swyer, J. | Labour Party | 487 | 14.0% | 28.0% | — | |
| 4 | Turner, G. | Labour Party | 482 | 13.9% | 27.7% | — | |
| 5 | Day, P. | Independent | 481 | 13.8% | 27.7% | — | |
| 6 | Deboos, G. | Independent | 464 | 13.3% | 26.7% | — | |
| 7 | Rowe, T. | Green Party | 187 | 5.4% | 10.8% | — | |
| 8 | Allen, J. | Liberal Democrats | 180 | 5.2% | 10.4% | — | |
| 9 | McDonald, C. | Liberal Democrats | 144 | 4.1% | 8.3% | — |
Lyndhurst and Minstead · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,182
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brand, H. | Liberal Democrats | 577 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stratford, B. | Conservative Party | 475 | 40.2% | — | |
| 3 | Willsher, C. | Labour Party | 130 | 11.0% | — |
Downlands and Forest North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,148
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richards, J. | Green Party | 562 | 49.0% | −1.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bellows, A. | Conservative Party | 496 | 43.2% | — | |
| 3 | Phillips, M. | Labour Party | 90 | 7.8% | — |
Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 33.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,178
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glass, A. | Conservative Party | 463 | 19.7% | 39.3% | +6.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Armstrong, P. | Independent | 393 | 16.7% | 33.4% | 0.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Poole, J. | Conservative Party | 375 | 15.9% | 31.8% | — | |
| 4 | Saunders, P. | Independent | 253 | 10.7% | 21.5% | — | |
| 5 | Johnstone, S. | Labour Party | 238 | 10.1% | 20.2% | — | |
| 6 | Read, S. | Liberal Democrats | 236 | 10.0% | 20.0% | — | |
| 7 | Roberts, C. | Labour Party | 221 | 9.4% | 18.8% | — | |
| 8 | Cole, D. | Liberal Democrats | 177 | 7.5% | 15.0% | — |
Forest and Solent · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,100
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole, D. | Conservative Party | 554 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gallagher, J. | Green Party | 380 | 34.5% | — | |
| 3 | Slattery, V. | Labour Party | 166 | 15.1% | — |
Brockenhurst and Denny Lodge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,317
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker, A. | Green Party | 671 | 50.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Harris, M. | Conservative Party | 528 | 40.1% | — | |
| 3 | Horne, J. | Labour Party | 118 | 9.0% | — |
Totton Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,703
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sleep, J. | Conservative Party | 647 | 19.0% | 38.0% | +4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Murray, I. | Conservative Party | 596 | 17.5% | 35.0% | +1.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shepherd, S. | Liberal Democrats | 568 | 16.7% | 33.4% | — | |
| 4 | Kangarani, M. | Liberal Democrats | 555 | 16.3% | 32.6% | — | |
| 5 | Johnstone, A. | Labour Party | 330 | 9.7% | 19.4% | — | |
| 6 | Smith, D. | Labour Party | 287 | 8.4% | 16.9% | — | |
| 7 | Coombes, I. | Independent | 243 | 7.1% | 14.3% | — | |
| 8 | Orchard, F. | Independent | 180 | 5.3% | 10.6% | — |
Sway · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,332
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rickman, B. | Conservative Party | 737 | 55.3% | +5.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | King, S. | Green Party | 487 | 36.6% | — | |
| 3 | Dance, P. | Labour Party | 108 | 8.1% | — |
Ringwood North and Ellingham · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,870
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thierry, M. | Conservative Party | 788 | 21.1% | 42.2% | +8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Haywood, J. | Labour Party | 754 | 20.2% | 40.3% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kelleher, P. | Labour Party | 746 | 20.0% | 39.9% | — | |
| 4 | Scott, D. | Conservative Party | 726 | 19.4% | 38.8% | — | |
| 5 | Fenner, J. | Green Party | 253 | 6.8% | 13.5% | — | |
| 6 | Dadford, L. | Liberal Democrats | 248 | 6.6% | 13.3% | — | |
| 7 | Barron, L. | Liberal Democrats | 224 | 6.0% | 12.0% | — |
Bransgore, Burley, Sopley and Ringwood East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,792
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linford, N. | Independent | 805 | 22.5% | 44.9% | +11.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Millington, N. | Green Party | 725 | 20.2% | 40.5% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Adams, J. | Conservative Party | 649 | 18.1% | 36.2% | — | |
| 4 | Collar, A. | Green Party | 581 | 16.2% | 32.4% | — | |
| 5 | Samber, D. | Conservative Party | 514 | 14.3% | 28.7% | — | |
| 6 | Haywood, P. | Labour Party | 179 | 5.0% | 10.0% | — | |
| 7 | Flack, K. | Labour Party | 130 | 3.6% | 7.3% | — |
Lymington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 41.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,139
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunning, B. | Conservative Party | 962 | 22.5% | 45.0% | +11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | England, J. | Independent | 880 | 20.6% | 41.2% | +7.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Smith, S. | Conservative Party | 723 | 16.9% | 33.8% | — | |
| 4 | Phillips, H. | Liberal Democrats | 586 | 13.7% | 27.4% | — | |
| 5 | Jearrad, T. | Liberal Democrats | 528 | 12.3% | 24.7% | — | |
| 6 | Hart, T. | Labour Party | 348 | 8.1% | 16.3% | — | |
| 7 | Weber, J. | Labour Party | 250 | 5.8% | 11.7% | — |
Marchwood and Eling · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,742
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young, R. | Conservative Party | 938 | 26.9% | 53.8% | +20.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mballa, P. | Liberal Democrats | 776 | 22.3% | 44.5% | +11.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Bennison, S. | Conservative Party | 694 | 19.9% | 39.8% | — | |
| 4 | Shelley, L. | Liberal Democrats | 685 | 19.7% | 39.3% | — | |
| 5 | Kershaw, K. | Labour Party | 197 | 5.7% | 11.3% | — | |
| 6 | Moran, D. | Labour Party | 194 | 5.6% | 11.1% | — |
Pennington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,745
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davies, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,007 | 28.9% | 57.7% | +24.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McCarthy, C. | Liberal Democrats | 785 | 22.5% | 45.0% | +11.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Brindley, T. | Conservative Party | 612 | 17.5% | 35.1% | — | |
| 4 | Loveless, I. | Conservative Party | 541 | 15.5% | 31.0% | — | |
| 5 | Bridges, B. | Labour Party | 283 | 8.1% | 16.2% | — | |
| 6 | Sawkins, J. | Labour Party | 261 | 7.5% | 15.0% | — |
Totton South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,530
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrison, D. | Liberal Democrats | 904 | 29.5% | 59.1% | +25.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rackham, C. | Liberal Democrats | 695 | 22.7% | 45.4% | +12.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carter, L. | Conservative Party | 607 | 19.8% | 39.7% | — | |
| 4 | Harris, L. | Conservative Party | 506 | 16.5% | 33.1% | — | |
| 5 | Goodfellow, A. | Labour Party | 191 | 6.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 6 | Rogers, K. | Labour Party | 157 | 5.1% | 10.3% | — |
Fawley, Blackfield, Calshot and Langley · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,405
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvey, A. | Conservative Party | 747 | 26.6% | 53.2% | +19.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hartmann, M. | Conservative Party | 693 | 24.7% | 49.3% | +16.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Pearson, A. | Liberal Democrats | 499 | 17.8% | 35.5% | — | |
| 4 | Rose, J. | Liberal Democrats | 451 | 16.0% | 32.1% | — | |
| 5 | Gillam, P. | Labour Party | 214 | 7.6% | 15.2% | — | |
| 6 | Garside, M. | Labour Party | 206 | 7.3% | 14.7% | — |
Ashurst, Bramshaw, Copythorne and Netley Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,948
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tipp, D. | Conservative Party | 1,027 | 26.4% | 52.7% | +19.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Reilly, J. | Independent | 966 | 24.8% | 49.6% | +16.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Binns, J. | Conservative Party | 740 | 19.0% | 38.0% | — | |
| 4 | Thompson, B. | Liberal Democrats | 540 | 13.9% | 27.7% | — | |
| 5 | Frend, M. | Labour Party | 350 | 9.0% | 18.0% | — | |
| 6 | Mawby, T. | Labour Party | 272 | 7.0% | 14.0% | — |
Totton North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 41.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,849
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penman, N. | Conservative Party | 1,054 | 19.0% | 57.0% | +32.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Penny, D. | Conservative Party | 814 | 14.7% | 44.0% | +19.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Crisell, K. | Conservative Party | 774 | 14.0% | 41.9% | +16.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Francis, L. | Liberal Democrats | 505 | 9.1% | 27.3% | — | |
| 5 | Brunsdon, A. | Liberal Democrats | 501 | 9.0% | 27.1% | — | |
| 6 | Hardingson, S. | Liberal Democrats | 457 | 8.2% | 24.7% | — | |
| 7 | Garrick, L. | Labour Party | 340 | 6.1% | 18.4% | — | |
| 8 | Bishop, R. | Labour Party | 333 | 6.0% | 18.0% | — | |
| 9 | Garrick, K. | Labour Party | 322 | 5.8% | 17.4% | — | |
| 10 | Scrivens, R. | Independent | 229 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 11 | Lagdon, C. | Independent | 217 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — |
Hythe Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,892
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wade, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,112 | 29.4% | 58.8% | +25.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dowd, P. | Liberal Democrats | 970 | 25.6% | 51.3% | +17.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Harrison, C. | Conservative Party | 741 | 19.6% | 39.2% | — | |
| 4 | Marwood, T. | Conservative Party | 685 | 18.1% | 36.2% | — | |
| 5 | Caric, I. | Labour Party | 147 | 3.9% | 7.8% | — | |
| 6 | Saffin, S. | Labour Party | 128 | 3.4% | 6.8% | — |
Ashley, Bashley and Fernhill · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,850
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blunden, G. | Conservative Party | 981 | 26.5% | 53.0% | +19.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cleary, J. | Conservative Party | 972 | 26.3% | 52.5% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Scott-Johns, M. | Liberal Democrats | 438 | 11.8% | 23.7% | — | |
| 4 | Morgan, S. | Liberal Democrats | 337 | 9.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 5 | Bellamy, C. | Labour Party | 308 | 8.3% | 16.6% | — | |
| 6 | Moxey, P. | Green Party | 271 | 7.3% | 14.6% | — | |
| 7 | Roberts, K. | Labour Party | 244 | 6.6% | 13.2% | — | |
| 8 | Pemberton, J. | Green Party | 149 | 4.0% | 8.1% | — |
Fordingbridge, Godshill and Hyde · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,043
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millar, D. | Liberal Democrats | 1,118 | 27.4% | 54.7% | +21.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Woods, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,085 | 26.6% | 53.1% | +19.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sevier, A. | Conservative Party | 725 | 17.7% | 35.5% | — | |
| 4 | Heron, R. | Conservative Party | 673 | 16.5% | 32.9% | — | |
| 5 | Cameron, L. | Labour Party | 270 | 6.6% | 13.2% | — | |
| 6 | Bessey, J. | Labour Party | 215 | 5.3% | 10.5% | — |
Milton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,511
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davies, S. | Conservative Party | 822 | 27.2% | 54.4% | +21.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clarke, S. | Conservative Party | 810 | 26.8% | 53.6% | +20.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Davies, W. | Liberal Democrats | 598 | 19.8% | 39.6% | — | |
| 4 | Drayton, J. | Liberal Democrats | 497 | 16.4% | 32.9% | — | |
| 5 | Ashman, M. | Labour Party | 295 | 9.8% | 19.5% | — |
Dibden and Dibden Purlieu · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 55.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,584
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wade, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,025 | 32.4% | 64.7% | +31.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Osborne, S. | Liberal Democrats | 874 | 27.6% | 55.2% | +21.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Heron, E. | Conservative Party | 506 | 16.0% | 32.0% | — | |
| 4 | Twydell, D. | Conservative Party | 455 | 14.4% | 28.7% | — | |
| 5 | Smith, L. | Labour Party | 170 | 5.4% | 10.7% | — | |
| 6 | Wilkinson, B. | Labour Party | 137 | 4.3% | 8.7% | — |
Milford and Hordle · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,788
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkins, D. | Conservative Party | 1,418 | 17.0% | 50.9% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ward, C. | Conservative Party | 1,339 | 16.0% | 48.0% | +23.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Reid, A. | Conservative Party | 1,317 | 15.7% | 47.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Spreadbury, I. | Independent | 1,000 | 12.0% | 35.9% | — | |
| 5 | Jagger, E. | Liberal Democrats | 936 | 11.2% | 33.6% | — | |
| 6 | Boddington, D. | Green Party | 827 | 9.9% | 29.7% | — | |
| 7 | Delemare, S. | Liberal Democrats | 705 | 8.4% | 25.3% | — | |
| 8 | Sloan, H. | Labour Party | 488 | 5.8% | 17.5% | — | |
| 9 | Nundy, S. | Labour Party | 335 | 4.0% | 12.0% | — |
Hythe South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,254
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clark, M. | Liberal Democrats | 736 | 29.4% | 58.7% | +25.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cullen, S. | Liberal Democrats | 704 | 28.1% | 56.2% | +22.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Davey, E. | Conservative Party | 364 | 14.5% | 29.0% | — | |
| 4 | Spearing, B. | Conservative Party | 346 | 13.8% | 27.6% | — | |
| 5 | Davison, C. | Labour Party | 186 | 7.4% | 14.8% | — | |
| 6 | Herbert, K. | Labour Party | 171 | 6.8% | 13.6% | — |
Barton and Becton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,935
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craze, K. | Conservative Party | 1,147 | 29.6% | 59.3% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | O'Sullivan, A. | Conservative Party | 1,087 | 28.1% | 56.2% | +22.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Preis, R. | Liberal Democrats | 489 | 12.6% | 25.3% | — | |
| 4 | Lewis, S. | Liberal Democrats | 421 | 10.9% | 21.8% | — | |
| 5 | Bourdillon, K. | Green Party | 310 | 8.0% | 16.0% | — | |
| 6 | Macaskill, D. | Green Party | 216 | 5.6% | 11.2% | — | |
| 7 | Terry, P. | Labour Party | 200 | 5.2% | 10.3% | — |