← Trafford (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Trafford 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

21 ward races
25 seats
7 elected below the proportional quota
28.0% of seats below quota
4 unfairly awarded seats
16.0% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 25 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party40,45345.5%1664.0%1248.0%+4
Conservative Party29,90633.6%728.0%832.0%-1
Green Party11,16712.5%14.0%312.0%-2
Liberal Democrats7,1018.0%14.0%28.0%-1
WEP1340.2%00.0%00.0%0
Independent1200.1%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)750.1%00.0%00.0%0
DEMNET420.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total88,998100.0%25100.0%25100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Hale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,958

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chalkin D.N.Conservative Party1,49937.9%−12.1 ptsElected
2Leicester J.F.Green Party1,30733.0%
3Frass W.Liberal Democrats73718.6%
4Little S.E.Labour Party41510.5%

Electorate 7,495 · EC ward code E05000831 · Back to ward index

Village · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,390

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Blackburn L.L.Conservative Party1,29338.1%−11.9 ptsElected
2Ennis S.G.Liberal Democrats1,02830.3%
3Jones W.Labour Party90126.6%
4Raikes R.Green Party1685.0%

Electorate 7,972 · EC ward code E05000839 · Back to ward index

Timperley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,387

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brophy J.E.Liberal Democrats1,76240.2%−9.8 ptsElected
2Donnelly S.J.Conservative Party1,52834.8%
3Legg A.T.Labour Party79918.2%
4Leigh J.T.Green Party2986.8%

Electorate 8,353 · EC ward code E05000837 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,230

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Boyes C.Conservative Party1,89444.8%−5.2 ptsElected
2Hornby F.F.R.Labour Party1,87544.3%
3Ryan J.Green Party2556.0%
4Cliff P.A.Liberal Democrats2064.9%

Electorate 7,831 · EC ward code E05000823 · Back to ward index

Ashton upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,096

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gilbert S.J.Labour Party1,93847.3%−2.7 ptsElected
2Dwyer K.G.Conservative Party1,72242.0%
3Robertson-Brown C.L.Green Party3147.7%
4Lovell C.J.Liberal Democrats1223.0%

Electorate 7,699 · EC ward code E05000820 · Back to ward index

St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,589

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Holden J.C.Conservative Party1,72948.2%−1.8 ptsElected
2Mills J.Labour Party1,31736.7%
3McGlashan J.Green Party2356.5%
4Bird L.C.Liberal Democrats1744.8%
5Wood L.A.WEP1343.7%

Electorate 8,671 · EC ward code E05000834 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,623

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Western D.A.Labour Party2,26048.9%−1.1 ptsElected
2Chakraborty K.Conservative Party1,70836.9%
3Young A.P.Green Party3196.9%
4Marritt C.P.Liberal Democrats2164.7%
5Farndon S.J.Independent1202.6%

Electorate 10,149 · EC ward code E05000822 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,628

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Axford J.M.Labour Party1,88251.9%+1.9 ptsElected
2Dillon S.Conservative Party1,46740.4%
3Tennant S.Green Party1724.7%
4Marshall J.P./.Liberal Democrats1072.9%

Electorate 7,703 · EC ward code E05000826 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,442

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Maitland S.Labour Party1,83753.4%+3.4 ptsElected
2Coupe J.R.Conservative Party1,37840.0%
3Horner A.P.Green Party1464.2%
4Zuk G.A.Liberal Democrats812.4%

Electorate 7,745 · EC ward code E05000827 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,274

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Coggins G.P.Green Party2,38755.8%+5.8 ptsElected
2Zhi S.Conservative Party1,22728.7%
3Slater B.Labour Party56713.3%
4Martin D.H.Liberal Democrats932.2%

Electorate 9,189 · EC ward code E05000819 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,179

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Freeman M.Labour Party1,81257.0%+7.0 ptsElected
2Bell D.J.Conservative Party97130.5%
3Leicester S.E.Green Party2688.4%
4Ramsbottom M.S.Liberal Democrats1284.0%

Electorate 7,635 · EC ward code E05000835 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,786

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hynes C.L.Labour Party2,21458.5%+8.5 ptsElected
2Chinthala A.R.Conservative Party1,10129.1%
3Whyte L.Green Party3248.6%
4Franklin-Johnston J.R.Liberal Democrats1473.9%

Electorate 8,496 · EC ward code E05000838 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St. Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,063

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Wright J.A.Labour Party1,24460.3%+10.3 ptsElected
2Maxwell T.P.S.Conservative Party58528.4%
3Capucho Paulo R.Green Party1477.1%
4Wright S.A.Liberal Democrats874.2%

Electorate 7,213 · EC ward code E05000824 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,247

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Myers P.J.Conservative Party2,00861.8%+11.8 ptsElected
2Twiney B.R.Labour Party67120.7%
3Schorah D.G.Green Party33710.4%
4Lepori S.E.Liberal Democrats2317.1%

Electorate 7,503 · EC ward code E05000830 · Back to ward index

Stretford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,213

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ross T.W.Labour Party2,16067.2%+17.2 ptsElected
2Hooley C.R.Conservative Party62519.5%
3O'Neill L.Green Party35611.1%
4Power S.L.Liberal Democrats722.2%

Electorate 7,974 · EC ward code E05000836 · Back to ward index

Flixton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,655

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Carter G.Labour Party2,20230.1%60.3%+26.9 ptsElected
2O'Sullivan D.C.Labour Party1,90026.0%52.0%+18.7 ptsElected
3Taylor S.A.Conservative Party1,29317.7%35.4%
4Towers G.Conservative Party87111.9%23.8%
5Cotter K.Green Party3995.5%10.9%
6Cavanagh A.J.Green Party2803.8%7.7%
7Kinsella T.J.Liberal Democrats1792.4%4.9%
8Sutherland N.I.Liberal Democrats1101.5%3.0%
9Swansborough P.J.UK Independence Party (UKIP)751.0%2.1%

Electorate 8,383 · EC ward code E05000828 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,979

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Walsh L.J.Labour Party2,11471.0%+21.0 ptsElected
2Voronov I.Conservative Party51317.2%
3Patel S.Green Party2127.1%
4Carberry-Power D.L.Liberal Democrats1404.7%

Electorate 8,666 · EC ward code E05000829 · Back to ward index

Priory · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,510

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brotherton B.Labour Party2,02928.9%57.8%+24.5 ptsElected
2Dagnall L.Labour Party1,98128.2%56.4%+23.1 ptsElected
3Duncan R.Conservative Party1,04314.9%29.7%
4Stonehill S.C.D.Conservative Party77811.1%22.2%
5Robertson-Brown N.Green Party4406.3%12.5%
6Turner D.Green Party3675.2%10.5%
7Stephenson B.R.Liberal Democrats1732.5%4.9%
8Kierman D.J.Liberal Democrats1662.4%4.7%
9Garrod E.D.DEMNET420.6%1.2%

Electorate 8,121 · EC ward code E05000833 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,089

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mirza M.Conservative Party1,81429.4%58.7%+25.4 ptsElected
2Whetton M.P.Conservative Party1,76328.5%57.1%+23.7 ptsElected
3Green B.M.Green Party68411.1%22.1%
4Hague T.R.Labour Party67210.9%21.8%
5Mayer C.W.Labour Party4717.6%15.3%
6Skelton M.E.Green Party3315.4%10.7%
7Tolhurst-Cleaver L.Liberal Democrats2263.7%7.3%
8Miniaci M.E.Liberal Democrats2163.5%7.0%

Electorate 7,316 · EC ward code E05000821 · Back to ward index

Clifford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,476

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hassan W.Labour Party2,65076.2%+26.2 ptsElected
2Mayo J.Green Party46913.5%
3Halliday C.J.Conservative Party2547.3%
4Hick A.P.G.Liberal Democrats1033.0%

Electorate 9,053 · EC ward code E05000825 · Back to ward index

Longford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 59.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,467

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Haughey S.J.Labour Party2,47035.6%71.3%+37.9 ptsElected
2Lloyd J.A.Labour Party2,07229.9%59.8%+26.4 ptsElected
3Wadsworth J.P.Green Party5177.5%14.9%
4Westbrook M.E.Green Party4356.3%12.5%
5John L.Conservative Party4336.2%12.5%
6May D.R.Conservative Party4095.9%11.8%
7Fryer A.C.Liberal Democrats3875.6%11.2%
8Campion M.M.Liberal Democrats2103.0%6.1%

Electorate 9,472 · EC ward code E05000832 · Back to ward index