← Welwyn Hatfield (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Welwyn Hatfield 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

16 ward races
17 seats
10 elected below the proportional quota
58.8% of seats below quota
6 unfairly awarded seats
35.3% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party14,91648.7%1588.2%952.9%+6
Labour Party7,36024.0%00.0%423.5%-4
Liberal Democrats6,57621.5%211.8%317.6%-1
Green Party1,6555.4%00.0%15.9%-1
ATC860.3%00.0%00.0%0
FBM420.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total30,635100.0%17100.0%17100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Hatfield South West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,551

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stanbury C.R.Conservative Party52633.9%−16.1 ptsElected
2Broach J.R.A.Labour Party51533.2%
3Rowse T.D.C.Liberal Democrats51032.9%

Electorate 5,443 · EC ward code E05011063 · Back to ward index

Sherrards · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,047

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Wachuku F.O.Conservative Party76737.5%−12.5 ptsElected
2Thakkar A.H.Liberal Democrats57528.1%
3Carlen H.Labour Party47723.3%
4Smith L.J.Green Party22811.1%

Electorate 4,513 · EC ward code E05011070 · Back to ward index

Peartree · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,431

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Platt R.Liberal Democrats57840.4%−9.6 ptsElected
2Iwasyk S.Labour Party40828.5%
3Haddow H.R.Conservative Party33623.5%
4Chapman N.M.Green Party1097.6%

Electorate 5,300 · EC ward code E05011069 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,359

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bond J.Conservative Party58042.7%−7.3 ptsElected
2Cook M.J.Labour Party57142.0%
3Kirk M.A.Liberal Democrats1229.0%
4Jones M.ATC866.3%

Electorate 5,535 · EC ward code E05011061 · Back to ward index

Hollybush · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,523

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pace N.Conservative Party65342.9%−7.1 ptsElected
2Mpofu M.Labour Party58338.3%
3Corbey-West C.P.Liberal Democrats1489.7%
4Ferlisi C.J.Green Party1399.1%

Electorate 4,994 · EC ward code E05011065 · Back to ward index

Haldens · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,753

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hellyer A.I.W.Conservative Party76643.7%−6.3 ptsElected
2Larkins M.Labour Party58933.6%
3Richardson R.L.C.Liberal Democrats24514.0%
4Butcher S.Green Party1538.7%

Electorate 4,962 · EC ward code E05011059 · Back to ward index

Hatfield East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,816

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Lake J.A.Conservative Party81044.6%−5.4 ptsElected
2Watson C.Labour Party55230.4%
3Snowdon R.T.Liberal Democrats28915.9%
4Gregory I.H.Green Party1659.1%

Electorate 5,682 · EC ward code E05011062 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Villages · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,699

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kasumu S.F.Conservative Party77445.6%−4.4 ptsElected
2Eames-Petersen M.A.Labour Party58534.4%
3Edwards A.Liberal Democrats19011.2%
4Kukol A.Green Party1508.8%

Electorate 5,480 · EC ward code E05011064 · Back to ward index

Handside · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,844

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thomson F.Conservative Party1,31746.3%−3.7 ptsElected
2Moore G.M.L.Liberal Democrats1,00335.3%
3Beckett H.J.Labour Party31611.1%
4Nendick I.N.C.Green Party2087.3%

Electorate 5,500 · EC ward code E05011060 · Back to ward index

Panshanger · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,653

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tunstall S.Conservative Party81949.5%−0.5 ptsElected
2Panter D.R.Liberal Democrats49129.7%
3Chigwangwa J.Labour Party34320.8%

Electorate 4,515 · EC ward code E05011068 · Back to ward index

Howlands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,832

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1McNamara S.Conservative Party96252.5%+2.5 ptsElected
2Chesterman A.Labour Party68037.1%
3Basch K.Liberal Democrats19010.4%

Electorate 5,386 · EC ward code E05011066 · Back to ward index

Welwyn East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,162

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cragg J.A.Conservative Party1,21856.3%+6.3 ptsElected
2Davis M.Labour Party42519.7%
3Harrington H.N.Liberal Democrats27812.9%
4Berrignton W.N.H.Green Party24111.1%

Electorate 5,170 · EC ward code E05011072 · Back to ward index

Welham Green and Hatfield South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 46.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,566

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Zukowskyj P.M.Liberal Democrats79125.3%50.5%+17.2 ptsElected
2Travell T.F.Conservative Party72723.2%46.4%+13.1 ptsElected
3Lowe P.J.Conservative Party54317.3%34.7%
4Griffiths R.H.Liberal Democrats52516.8%33.5%
5Aicken G.F.H.Labour Party2588.2%16.5%
6Eames-Petersen J.R.Labour Party2457.8%15.6%
7Americanos-Molinaro M.FBM421.3%2.7%

Electorate 5,432 · EC ward code E05011071 · Back to ward index

Welwyn West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,938

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Smith P.R.Conservative Party1,23163.5%+13.5 ptsElected
2Berrignton P.Green Party26213.5%
3Carlen D.J.Labour Party25113.0%
4Reimer A.R.B.Liberal Democrats19410.0%

Electorate 4,909 · EC ward code E05011073 · Back to ward index

Brookmans Park and Little Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,130

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Boulton S.J.Conservative Party1,55973.2%+23.2 ptsElected
2Beevers G.M.Labour Party33915.9%
3Basford P.E.Liberal Democrats23210.9%

Electorate 5,104 · EC ward code E05011058 · Back to ward index

Northaw and Cuffley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,766

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ganney G.M.Conservative Party1,32875.2%+25.2 ptsElected
2Barrett S.A.Labour Party22312.6%
3Johnson E.Liberal Democrats21512.2%

Electorate 4,792 · EC ward code E05011067 · Back to ward index