Reform UK › 2024

Reform UK in 2024

Polling day: 2 May 2024. 107 councils held elections.

Summary

Same votes, different counting rule

Compare the seats Reform UK actually won under FPTP with a proportional re-count of the same council-level votes. Positive means seats unfairly awarded by FPTP; negative means seats the party was denied by FPTP.

This cycle
71 FPTP council results in 2024
-20 seats
denied by FPTP (2 actual vs 22 benchmark)
2021–2024 window
356 FPTP council-cycles
-26 seats
denied by FPTP (6 actual vs 32 benchmark)

Where the seats came from

Per-council net seat change vs each council's prior appearance in our dataset (typically that council's previous all-out election or its last by-thirds slice). "Debut" rows are councils whose first cycle in our window is 2024 — usually the result of a boundary reorganisation or being a county outside our 2021 LEH coverage.

Seats gained (1 councils)
CouncilWonLast cycleNetVote shareSeat share
Havant20 (2023)+23.5%5.6%
Seats lost (0 councils)

No councils where seat count fell vs prior cycle.

Debut councils (10)
CouncilWonVote shareSeat share
Norwich01.8%0.0%
Warrington01.8%0.0%
Rotherham01.8%0.0%
Rochdale01.5%0.0%
Hastings01.4%0.0%
Basingstoke and Deane00.8%0.0%
Woking00.7%0.0%
Swindon00.5%0.0%
Knowsley00.4%0.0%
Dorset00.3%0.0%
No change (60)

Net-change comparisons are versus each council's most recent appearance in our dataset (2021–2026). For all-out councils that's the previous all-out cycle (typically four years prior); for by-thirds councils it's last year's slice. Cross-cycle ward boundary changes can produce small artefacts — see methodology.